Trail Blazers vs Hawks Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Mar. 27

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 27, 2024, 4:30 PM
  • The Hawks are -10.5 favorites vs. the Trail Blazers
  • Total (Over/Under): 216.5 points
  • Watch the game on BSSE | RTNW

The Portland Trail Blazers visit State Farm Arena to take on the Atlanta Hawks on Wednesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EDT in Atlanta, GA.

The Hawks are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -10.5 (-110).

The Trail Blazers vs Hawks Over/Under is 217.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Trail Blazers are 34-37 against the spread, while the Hawks are 25-46 against the spread.


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Trail Blazers vs. Hawks Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Portland Trail Blazers+10.5 -110O 217.5 -110+425
Atlanta Hawks -10.5 -110U 217.5 -110-600

Hawks vs Trail Blazers Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Hawks will win Wednesday‘s game with 81.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Trail Blazers and Hawks.

Hawks vs Trail Blazers Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Trail Blazers will cover the spread for Wednesday‘s game with 53.5% confidence.


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  • The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 43 of their last 71 games (+13.05 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 21 of their last 32 away games (+9.65 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 15 of their last 20 games (+9.30 Units / 40% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the Team Total Over in 18 of their last 26 games (+8.80 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 36 of their last 62 games (+8.60 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 27 of their last 37 games (+15.35 Units / 36% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 28 of their last 40 games at home (+14.25 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have hit the Game Total Over in 27 of their last 41 games at home (+11.60 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have hit the Team Total Over in 50 of their last 83 games (+11.60 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 26 of their last 44 games (+7.70 Units / 15% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Trail Blazers have gone 34-37 (-6.7 Units / -8.46% ROI).

  • 19-53 against the Moneyline (-11.2 Units / -14.62% ROI)
  • 36-36 against the Over for game total points (-3.6 Units / -4.54% ROI)
  • 36-36 against the Under for game total points (-3.55 Units / -4.49% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Hawks have gone 25-46 (-25.6 Units / -32.78% ROI).

  • 32-39 against the Moneyline (-12.85 Units / -11.34% ROI)
  • 37-32 against the Over for game total points (+1.85 Units / 2.4% ROI)
  • 32-37 against the Under for game total points (-8.7 Units / -11.29% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have only covered the 3Q Spread in 20 of their last 65 games (-30.65 Units / -41% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have only covered the Spread in 30 of their last 85 games (-30.50 Units / -33% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 34 of their last 85 games (-24.00 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have only hit the Team Total Under in 33 of their last 83 games (-23.35 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 11 of their last 39 games (-20.85 Units / -47% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 20 of their last 73 games (-24.00 Units / -32% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 26 of their last 71 games (-23.15 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have only covered the 1Q Spread in 29 of their last 73 games (-19.25 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have only covered the 1H Spread in 30 of their last 75 games (-19.05 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 24 of their last 62 games (-17.60 Units / -24% ROI)

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Portland Trail Blazers: Keys to the Game vs. the Atlanta Hawks

The Trail Blazers are 2-10 (.167) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .535

The Trail Blazers are 4-20 (.167) when shooting 70% or worse from the free throw line since the start of the 2022-23 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .407

The Trail Blazers are 7-15 (.318) when attempting 25 or more free throws this season — 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .555

The Trail Blazers were 18-18 (.500) when allowing 15 or more second chance points last season — tied for 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .466

Atlanta Hawks: Keys to the Game vs. the Portland Trail Blazers

The Hawks are 13-18 (.419) when attempting 25 or more free throws this season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .555

The Hawks are 28-1 (.966) when forcing an eFG of 50% or worse since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .798

The Hawks were 3-15 (.167) when allowing 15 or more three-pointers last season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .298

The Hawks are 18-23 (.439) when scoring 15 or more second chance points this season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .550

Injury Report: Hawks vs. Trail BlazersWednesday‘s Game, Mar. 27

  • Onyeka Okongwu (Atlanta Hawks): Toe, Out
  • Mouhamed Gueye (Atlanta Hawks): Back, Game Time Decision
  • Scoot Henderson (Portland Trail Blazers): Groin, Out
  • Rayan Rupert (Portland Trail Blazers): Ankle, Out
  • Moses Brown (Portland Trail Blazers): Wrist, Out
  • Shaedon Sharpe (Portland Trail Blazers): Abdomen, Out
  • Malcolm Brogdon (Portland Trail Blazers): Elbow, Out
  • Robert Williams (Portland Trail Blazers): Knee, Out For Season

Portland Trail Blazers Offensive Stats & Trends

The Trail Blazers have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.5 (1,649 assists/ 1,091 TOs) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 2.0

The Trail Blazers are shooting 44% (2,848/6,430) this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%

The Trail Blazers have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.4 (773 assists/ 534 TOs) on the road this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.9

The Trail Blazers are shooting 44% (1,371/3,112) in the second half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%

Atlanta Hawks Offensive Stats & Trends

The Hawks have averaged 16.1 second chance points per game (581 points/36 games) on the road this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.6

The Hawks averaged 14.3 second chance points per game (1,174 points/82 games) last season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.6

The Hawks averaged 12.9 turnovers per game (1,060 turnovers/82 games) last season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.1

The Hawks have averaged 5.8 fast break points per game (409 points/71 games) in the second half this season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 6.8

Portland Trail Blazers Defensive Stats & Trends

The Trail Blazers have averaged 32.2 defensive rebounds per game (2,321 rebounds/72 games) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Trail Blazers have averaged 32.9 defensive rebounds per game (5,059 rebounds/154 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Trail Blazers averaged 33.4 defensive rebounds per game (2,738 rebounds/82 games) last season — tied for 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Trail Blazers have averaged 4.5 blocks per game (325 blocks/72 games) this season — tied for 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.2

Atlanta Hawks Defensive Stats & Trends

The Hawks have allowed opponents to shoot 41% from three (495/1,211) in the second half this season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 36%

The Hawks have allowed an eFG% of 59% in the second half this season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 55%

The Hawks have averaged 4.6 blocks per game (325 blocks/71 games) this season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.2

The Hawks have averaged 34.5 defensive rebounds per game (5,276 rebounds/153 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2


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