Trail Blazers vs Lakers Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Jan. 21

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jan 21, 2024, 4:30 PM
  • The Lakers are -10.5 favorites vs. the Trail Blazers
  • Total (Over/Under): 227.5 points
  • Watch the game on SPEC | RTNW

The Portland Trail Blazers visit Crypto.com Arena to take on the Los Angeles Lakers on Sunday. Tipoff is scheduled for 10:00pm EST in Los Angeles, CA.

The Lakers are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -10.5 (-115).

The Trail Blazers vs Lakers Over/Under is 227.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Trail Blazers are 19-22 against the spread, while the Lakers are 19-25 against the spread.


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Trail Blazers vs. Lakers Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Portland Trail Blazers+10.5 -105O 227.5 -110+400
Los Angeles Lakers -10.5 -115U 227.5 -110-550

Lakers vs Trail Blazers Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Lakers will win Sunday‘s game with 86.5% confidence, factoring in recent team & player performances for the Trail Blazers and Lakers, plus player injuries and defensive & offensive matchups.

Lakers vs Trail Blazers Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Lakers will cover the spread for Sunday‘s game with 52.0% confidence.


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  • The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 17 of their last 28 away games (+12.95 Units / 46% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 22 of their last 31 games (+12.15 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 16 of their last 20 away games (+11.80 Units / 54% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have covered the 4Q Spread in 20 of their last 28 away games (+11.20 Units / 36% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 26 of their last 40 games (+10.55 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 34 of their last 48 games at home (+18.40 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 30 of their last 44 games at home (+14.40 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the Game Total Under in 32 of their last 48 games at home (+14.35 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have covered the 4Q Spread in 29 of their last 44 games at home (+12.55 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 30 of their last 48 games at home (+12.35 Units / 23% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Trail Blazers have gone 19-22 (-5.15 Units / -11.47% ROI).

  • 12-29 against the Moneyline (+0.2 Units / 0.46% ROI)
  • 18-23 against the Over for game total points (-7.3 Units / -16.17% ROI)
  • 23-18 against the Under for game total points (+3.25 Units / 7.21% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Lakers have gone 19-25 (-8.6 Units / -17.73% ROI).

  • 22-22 against the Moneyline (-5.65 Units / -7.26% ROI)
  • 22-22 against the Over for game total points (-2.2 Units / -4.55% ROI)
  • 22-22 against the Under for game total points (-2.25 Units / -4.64% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 40 of their last 97 games (-30.50 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have only covered the 1H Spread in 39 of their last 97 games (-24.15 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 14 of their last 48 games at home (-23.60 Units / -44% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 42 of their last 96 games (-21.40 Units / -17% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the Team Total Over in 37 of their last 88 games (-21.40 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 32 of their last 77 games (-18.55 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have only covered the 1Q Spread in 31 of their last 78 games (-18.55 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 22 of their last 75 games (-17.45 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have only covered the 1H Spread in 31 of their last 77 games (-16.90 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 19 of their last 66 games (-15.85 Units / -23% ROI)

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Portland Trail Blazers: Keys to the Game vs. the Los Angeles Lakers

The Trail Blazers are winless (0-11) when allowing an eFG of 60% or better this season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .170

The Trail Blazers are 5-11 (.312) when allowing 15 or more second chance points this season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .447

The Trail Blazers are 4-13 (.235) when they lose the turnover margin this season — 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .466

The Trail Blazers were 14-31 (.311) when losing the rebounding margin last season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .366

Los Angeles Lakers: Keys to the Game vs. the Portland Trail Blazers

The Lakers were 20-16 (.556) when allowing 15 or more second chance points last season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .466

The Lakers were 9-24 (.273) when losing the rebounding margin last season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .366

The Lakers were 20-11 (.645) when scoring 15 or more second chance points last season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .531

The Lakers are 13-4 (.765) when making 15 or more three-pointers since the start of the 2022-23 season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .677

Injury Report: Lakers vs. Trail BlazersSunday‘s Game, Jan. 21

  • Gabe Vincent (Los Angeles Lakers): Knee, Out
  • LeBron James (Los Angeles Lakers): Calf, Game Time Decision
  • Jarred Vanderbilt (Los Angeles Lakers): Heel, Game Time Decision
  • Anthony Davis (Los Angeles Lakers): Hip, Game Time Decision
  • Deandre Ayton (Portland Trail Blazers): Knee, Out
  • Jerami Grant (Portland Trail Blazers): Concussion, Out
  • Malcolm Brogdon (Portland Trail Blazers): Knee, Out
  • Robert Williams (Portland Trail Blazers): Knee, Out For Season
  • Ish Wainright (Portland Trail Blazers): Knee, Out

Portland Trail Blazers Offensive Stats & Trends

The Trail Blazers have averaged 1.20 points per shot (2,175 points/1,813 shots) in the second half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.32

The Trail Blazers have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.5 (906 assists/ 619 TOs) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.9

The Trail Blazers have an eFG% of 50% this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 55%

The Trail Blazers are shooting 43% (1,605/3,701) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%

Los Angeles Lakers Offensive Stats & Trends

The Lakers have averaged 4.1 second chance points per game (177 points/43 games) in the second half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.1

The Lakers have averaged 9.9 second chance points per game (427 points/43 games) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.0

The Lakers had an assist to turnover ratio of 2.0 (304 assists/ 149 TOs) in close and late situations last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.6

The Lakers had 26.6 free throw attempts per game last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 23.5

Portland Trail Blazers Defensive Stats & Trends

The Trail Blazers have averaged 32.0 defensive rebounds per game (1,310 rebounds/41 games) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.1

The Trail Blazers have allowed opponents to shoot 23% from three (39/166) in close and late situations this season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 35%

The Trail Blazers have averaged 32.9 defensive rebounds per game (4,048 rebounds/123 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Trail Blazers have allowed opponents to shoot 52% (928/1,792) in the first half this season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 47%

Los Angeles Lakers Defensive Stats & Trends

The Lakers have averaged 37.2 defensive rebounds per game (1,599 rebounds/43 games) this season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.1

The Lakers averaged 38.0 defensive rebounds per game (3,116 rebounds/82 games) last season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Lakers have 330 steals this season — 7th most among NBA teams

The Lakers have averaged 37.7 defensive rebounds per game (4,715 rebounds/125 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.