Trail Blazers vs Nuggets Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Feb. 2

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 02, 2024, 4:31 PM
  • The Nuggets are -11.5 favorites vs. the Trail Blazers
  • Total (Over/Under): 220.5 points
  • Watch the game on ALT | RTNW

The Portland Trail Blazers visit Ball Arena to take on the Denver Nuggets on Friday. Tipoff is scheduled for 9:00pm EST in Denver, CO.

The Nuggets are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -12.5 (-110).

The Trail Blazers vs Nuggets Over/Under is 219.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Trail Blazers are 23-25 against the spread, while the Nuggets are 21-26 against the spread.


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Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Portland Trail Blazers+12.5 -110O 219.5 -115+550
Denver Nuggets -12.5 -110U 219.5 -105-800

Nuggets vs Trail Blazers Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Nuggets will win Friday‘s game with 86.6% confidence, factoring in recent team & player performances for the Trail Blazers and Nuggets, plus player injuries and defensive & offensive matchups.

Nuggets vs Trail Blazers Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Trail Blazers will cover the spread for Friday‘s game with 51.0% confidence.


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  • The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 31 of their last 47 games (+13.20 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 53 games (+12.50 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 18 of their last 24 away games (+11.50 Units / 43% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 25 of their last 38 games (+10.40 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 17 of their last 32 away games (+9.95 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 62 of their last 96 games (+24.10 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the Game Total Under in 52 of their last 82 games (+21.20 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the Moneyline in 50 of their last 70 games (+19.85 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 49 of their last 77 games (+19.05 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 18 of their last 23 games at home (+11.90 Units / 26% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Trail Blazers have gone 23-25 (-4.4 Units / -8.37% ROI).

  • 15-33 against the Moneyline (+5.4 Units / 10.62% ROI)
  • 21-27 against the Over for game total points (-8.7 Units / -16.46% ROI)
  • 27-21 against the Under for game total points (+3.95 Units / 7.49% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Nuggets have gone 21-26 (-7.75 Units / -14.29% ROI).

  • 33-16 against the Moneyline (+7.95 Units / 5.38% ROI)
  • 17-31 against the Over for game total points (-17.1 Units / -31.75% ROI)
  • 31-17 against the Under for game total points (+12.3 Units / 22.82% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 36 of their last 100 games (-35.10 Units / -32% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the Game Total Over in 28 of their last 82 games (-29.20 Units / -32% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 36 of their last 93 games (-27.30 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 43 of their last 98 games (-23.70 Units / -19% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only covered the 2Q Spread in 21 of their last 62 games (-21.90 Units / -32% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 16 of their last 47 games (-18.55 Units / -36% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 13 of their last 49 games (-17.45 Units / -34% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have only covered the 1Q Spread in 25 of their last 65 games (-16.95 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have only covered the 1H Spread in 33 of their last 79 games (-14.85 Units / -17% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 15 of their last 61 games (-14.55 Units / -23% ROI)

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Portland Trail Blazers: Keys to the Game vs. the Denver Nuggets

The Trail Blazers are 1-7 (.125) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .545

The Trail Blazers are 5-15 (.250) when they lose the turnover margin this season — 5th-worst in the NBA. The Nuggets have averaged 12.5 turnovers per game this season — T-4th-lowest in the NBA.

The Trail Blazers were 15-31 (.326) when they lose the turnover margin last season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .460

The Trail Blazers are 9-17 (.346) when scoring 15 or more second chance points this season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .563

Denver Nuggets: Keys to the Game vs. the Portland Trail Blazers

The Nuggets were 15-3 (.833) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .556

The Nuggets are 22-4 (.846) when forcing 10 or more steals since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .594

The Nuggets are 17-5 (.773) when they win the turnover margin this season — best in the NBA. The Trail Blazers have averaged 14.9 turnovers per game this season — 4th-highest in the NBA.

The Nuggets are 28-7 (.800) when scoring 110 or more points this season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .638

Injury Report: Nuggets vs. Trail BlazersFriday‘s Game, Feb. 2

  • Vlatko Cancar (Denver Nuggets): Knee, Out
  • Julian Strawther (Denver Nuggets): Knee, Game Time Decision
  • Moses Brown (Portland Trail Blazers): Wrist, Out
  • Shaedon Sharpe (Portland Trail Blazers): Abdomen, Out
  • Robert Williams (Portland Trail Blazers): Knee, Out For Season

Portland Trail Blazers Offensive Stats & Trends

The Trail Blazers have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.5 (1,088 assists/ 717 TOs) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.9

The Trail Blazers have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.4 (590 assists/ 410 TOs) on the road this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.9

The Trail Blazers have an eFG% of 51% in the second half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 55%

The Trail Blazers have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.5 (561 assists/ 378 TOs) in the first half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 2.0

Denver Nuggets Offensive Stats & Trends

The Nuggets shot 52% (1,889/3,652) in the first half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 48%

The Nuggets have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.5 (702 assists/ 284 TOs) at home this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 2.0

The Nuggets are shooting 51% (2,866/5,580) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 48%

The Nuggets shot 50% (3,574/7,088) last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 48%

Portland Trail Blazers Defensive Stats & Trends

The Trail Blazers have averaged 32.2 defensive rebounds per game (1,548 rebounds/48 games) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.1

The Trail Blazers have averaged 7.8 steals per game (376 steals/48 games) this season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.4

The Trail Blazers allowed opponents to shoot 40% from three (538/1,343) at home last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 36%

The Trail Blazers averaged 33.4 defensive rebounds per game (2,738 rebounds/82 games) last season — tied for 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

Denver Nuggets Defensive Stats & Trends

The Nuggets have averaged 6.8 steals per game (334 steals/49 games) this season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.4

The Nuggets allowed opponents to shoot 33% from three (449/1,382) at home last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 36%

The Nuggets have allowed 6.1 second chance points per game (299 points/49 games) in the second half this season — 2nd best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 7.1

The Nuggets have forced 12.2 turnovers per game (597 turnovers/49 games) this season — 4th lowest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 13.7


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.