Trail Blazers vs Nuggets Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Feb. 4

  • The Nuggets are -13.5 favorites vs. the Trail Blazers
  • Total (Over/Under): 220.5 points
  • Watch the game on NBAt | ALT | RTNW

The Portland Trail Blazers visit Ball Arena to take on the Denver Nuggets on Sunday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:30pm EST in Denver, CO.

The Nuggets are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -14.5 (-110).

The Trail Blazers vs Nuggets Over/Under is 219.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Trail Blazers are 24-25 against the spread, while the Nuggets are 21-27 against the spread.


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Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Portland Trail Blazers+14.5 -110O 219.5 -110+750
Denver Nuggets -14.5 -110U 219.5 -110-1200

Nuggets vs Trail Blazers Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Nuggets will win Sunday‘s game with 92.7% confidence, factoring in recent team & player performances for the Trail Blazers and Nuggets, plus player injuries and defensive & offensive matchups.

Nuggets vs Trail Blazers Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Nuggets will cover the spread for Sunday‘s game with 51.2% confidence.


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  • The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 32 of their last 48 games (+14.20 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 54 games (+11.50 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 26 of their last 39 games (+11.40 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 18 of their last 36 games (+10.55 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 18 of their last 25 away games (+10.50 Units / 38% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 63 of their last 97 games (+25.10 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the Moneyline in 51 of their last 71 games (+20.85 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the Game Total Under in 52 of their last 83 games (+20.10 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 50 of their last 78 games (+20.05 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 19 of their last 24 games at home (+12.90 Units / 27% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Trail Blazers have gone 24-25 (-3.4 Units / -6.34% ROI).

  • 15-34 against the Moneyline (+4.4 Units / 8.49% ROI)
  • 22-27 against the Over for game total points (-7.7 Units / -14.27% ROI)
  • 27-22 against the Under for game total points (+2.85 Units / 5.29% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Nuggets have gone 21-27 (-8.85 Units / -15.99% ROI).

  • 34-16 against the Moneyline (+8.95 Units / 5.66% ROI)
  • 18-31 against the Over for game total points (-16.1 Units / -29.3% ROI)
  • 31-18 against the Under for game total points (+11.2 Units / 20.36% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 34 of their last 97 games (-35.80 Units / -33% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 36 of their last 94 games (-28.40 Units / -27% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the Game Total Over in 29 of their last 83 games (-28.20 Units / -31% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only covered the 2Q Spread in 21 of their last 63 games (-23.05 Units / -33% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 44 of their last 99 games (-22.70 Units / -18% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 16 of their last 48 games (-19.65 Units / -37% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 13 of their last 50 games (-18.45 Units / -36% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have only covered the 1Q Spread in 25 of their last 66 games (-18.05 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 15 of their last 62 games (-15.55 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 13 of their last 39 games (-14.90 Units / -36% ROI)

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Portland Trail Blazers: Keys to the Game vs. the Denver Nuggets

The Trail Blazers are winless (0-12) when allowing an eFG of 60% or better this season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .180

The Trail Blazers are 5-15 (.250) when they lose the turnover margin this season — 5th-worst in the NBA. The Nuggets have averaged 12.5 turnovers per game this season — T-3rd-lowest in the NBA.

The Trail Blazers were 10-13 (.435) when scoring 15 or more second chance points last season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .531

The Trail Blazers were 22-43 (.338) when allowing 110 or more points last season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .355

Denver Nuggets: Keys to the Game vs. the Portland Trail Blazers

The Nuggets are 26-9 (.743) when winning the rebounding margin this season — 8th-best in the NBA. The Trail Blazers have averaged 50.6 rebounds/game this season — T-7th-lowest in the NBA.

The Nuggets were 15-3 (.833) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .556

The Nuggets are 22-2 (.917) when shooting 50% or better from the field this season — 6th-best in the NBA. The Trail Blazers have allowed opponents to shoot 49% this season — T-4th-worst in the NBA.

The Nuggets are 22-4 (.846) when forcing 10 or more steals since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .595

Injury Report: Nuggets vs. Trail BlazersSunday‘s Game, Feb. 4

  • Vlatko Cancar (Denver Nuggets): Knee, Out
  • Julian Strawther (Denver Nuggets): Knee, Game Time Decision
  • Moses Brown (Portland Trail Blazers): Wrist, Out
  • Shaedon Sharpe (Portland Trail Blazers): Abdomen, Out
  • Robert Williams (Portland Trail Blazers): Knee, Out For Season

Portland Trail Blazers Offensive Stats & Trends

The Trail Blazers have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.4 (604 assists/ 420 TOs) on the road this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.9

The Trail Blazers have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.5 (1,102 assists/ 727 TOs) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.9

The Trail Blazers have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.5 (1,447 assists/ 936 TOs) in the second half since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Trail Blazers are shooting 44% (1,936/4,400) this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 48%

Denver Nuggets Offensive Stats & Trends

The Nuggets shot 51% (1,831/3,563) at home last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 48%

The Nuggets are shooting 51% (2,912/5,671) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 48%

The Nuggets shot 52% (1,889/3,652) in the first half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 48%

The Nuggets shot 50% (3,574/7,088) last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 48%

Portland Trail Blazers Defensive Stats & Trends

The Trail Blazers have allowed opponents to shoot 24% from three (50/207) in close and late situations this season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 35%

The Trail Blazers have averaged 32.9 defensive rebounds per game (4,310 rebounds/131 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Trail Blazers have averaged 32.1 defensive rebounds per game (1,572 rebounds/49 games) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.1

The Trail Blazers averaged 33.4 defensive rebounds per game (2,738 rebounds/82 games) last season — tied for 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

Denver Nuggets Defensive Stats & Trends

The Nuggets have averaged 6.7 steals per game (337 steals/50 games) this season — tied for 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.4

The Nuggets have allowed 11.3 made three-pointers per game this season — 2nd best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 12.8

The Nuggets have averaged 4.6 blocks per game (297 blocks/65 games) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

The Nuggets have averaged 5.1 blocks per game (340 blocks/67 games) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8


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