Trail Blazers vs Pelicans Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Mar. 16

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 16, 2024, 5:30 PM
  • The Pelicans are -13.5 favorites vs. the Trail Blazers
  • Total (Over/Under): 213.5 points
  • Watch the game on BSNO | RTNW

The Portland Trail Blazers visit Smoothie King Center to take on the New Orleans Pelicans on Saturday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:00pm EDT in New Orleans, LA.

The Pelicans are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -13.5 (-105).

The Trail Blazers vs Pelicans Over/Under is 215.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Trail Blazers are 31-34 against the spread, while the Pelicans are 36-28 against the spread.


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Trail Blazers vs. Pelicans Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Portland Trail Blazers+13.5 -115O 215.5 -110+650
New Orleans Pelicans -13.5 -105U 215.5 -110-1000

Pelicans vs Trail Blazers Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Pelicans will win Saturday‘s game with 93.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Trail Blazers and Pelicans.

Pelicans vs Trail Blazers Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Pelicans will cover the spread for Saturday‘s game with 54.0% confidence.


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  • The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 41 of their last 65 games (+15.70 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 34 of their last 56 games (+11.20 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 36 away games (+10.25 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have covered the 4Q Spread in 21 of their last 32 away games (+9.50 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 19 of their last 29 away games (+8.80 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 1H Moneyline in 57 of their last 80 games (+35.85 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have covered the 1H Spread in 50 of their last 80 games (+17.70 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 36 of their last 53 games (+16.50 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 40 of their last 62 games (+13.95 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 23 of their last 34 games at home (+12.85 Units / 25% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Trail Blazers have gone 31-34 (-6.4 Units / -8.82% ROI).

  • 19-47 against the Moneyline (-5.2 Units / -7.37% ROI)
  • 31-35 against the Over for game total points (-7.5 Units / -10.32% ROI)
  • 35-31 against the Under for game total points (+0.95 Units / 1.31% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Pelicans have gone 36-28 (+5.2 Units / 7.16% ROI).

  • 40-26 against the Moneyline (+7.05 Units / 5.02% ROI)
  • 28-38 against the Over for game total points (-13.8 Units / -19.01% ROI)
  • 38-28 against the Under for game total points (+7.2 Units / 9.92% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 30 of their last 80 games (-25.55 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the Game Total Over in 32 of their last 80 games (-20.80 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 32 of their last 80 games (-18.80 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only covered the 3Q Spread in 14 of their last 39 games at home (-13.35 Units / -30% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 12 of their last 33 games at home (-12.20 Units / -32% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 22 of their last 65 games (-24.80 Units / -33% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have only covered the 1Q Spread in 31 of their last 79 games (-21.55 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 19 of their last 67 games (-21.00 Units / -30% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 20 of their last 56 games (-19.25 Units / -30% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have only covered the 1H Spread in 32 of their last 79 games (-17.90 Units / -20% ROI)

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Portland Trail Blazers: Keys to the Game vs. the New Orleans Pelicans

The Trail Blazers are 2-14 (.125) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three this season — T-4th-worst in the NBA. The Pelicans have shot 38% from three this season — 5th-best in the NBA.

The Trail Blazers are 1-7 (.125) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .538

The Trail Blazers are 6-32 (.158) when losing the rebounding margin this season — 4th-worst in the NBA. The Pelicans have averaged 52.2 rebounds/game this season — T-8th-highest in the NBA.

The Trail Blazers were 2-17 (.105) when their eFG is 50% or worse last season — 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .223

New Orleans Pelicans: Keys to the Game vs. the Portland Trail Blazers

The Pelicans were 14-22 (.389) when their opponent attempts 25 or more free throws last season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .457

The Pelicans were 4-17 (.190) when allowing 15 or more three-pointers last season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .298

The Pelicans were 10-8 (.556) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points last season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .444

The Pelicans are 11-4 (.733) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points this season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .580

Injury Report: Pelicans vs. Trail BlazersSaturday‘s Game, Mar. 16

  • Jose Alvarado (New Orleans Pelicans): Not Injury Related, Game Time Decision
  • Brandon Ingram (New Orleans Pelicans): Illness, Game Time Decision
  • Dyson Daniels (New Orleans Pelicans): Knee, Out
  • CJ McCollum (New Orleans Pelicans): Ankle, Out
  • Naji Marshall (New Orleans Pelicans): Not Injury Related, Game Time Decision
  • Scoot Henderson (Portland Trail Blazers): Groin, Out
  • Rayan Rupert (Portland Trail Blazers): Ankle, Out
  • Moses Brown (Portland Trail Blazers): Wrist, Out
  • Shaedon Sharpe (Portland Trail Blazers): Abdomen, Out
  • Malcolm Brogdon (Portland Trail Blazers): Elbow, Out
  • Robert Williams (Portland Trail Blazers): Knee, Out For Season

Portland Trail Blazers Offensive Stats & Trends

The Trail Blazers have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.5 (1,179 assists/ 775 TOs) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 2.0

The Trail Blazers have averaged 22.7 assists per game (1,179 assists/52 games) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 26.7

The Trail Blazers are shooting 44% (984/2,254) in the second half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 48%

The Trail Blazers have averaged 10.6 assists per game (551 assists/52 games) in the second half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.7

New Orleans Pelicans Offensive Stats & Trends

The Pelicans are shooting 40% from three (364/904) in the first half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 37%

The Pelicans made 11.0 three-pointers per game last season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.3

The Pelicans have 24.1 free throw attempts per game this season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 22.7

The Pelicans have averaged 1.32 points per shot (6,272 points/4,740 shots) this season — tied for 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.30

Portland Trail Blazers Defensive Stats & Trends

The Trail Blazers have averaged 32.0 defensive rebounds per game (1,663 rebounds/52 games) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.1

The Trail Blazers have averaged 32.8 defensive rebounds per game (4,401 rebounds/134 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Trail Blazers allowed opponents to shoot 40% from three (538/1,343) at home last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 36%

The Trail Blazers averaged 6.7 steals per game (553 steals/82 games) last season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3

New Orleans Pelicans Defensive Stats & Trends

The Pelicans have allowed opponents to shoot 33% from three (839/2,578) in the first half since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 37%

The Pelicans have averaged 35.5 defensive rebounds per game (4,825 rebounds/136 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Pelicans allowed opponents to shoot 33% from three (487/1,491) in the first half last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 36%

The Pelicans averaged 4.1 blocks per game (337 blocks/82 games) last season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7


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