Trail Blazers vs Thunder Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Jan. 11

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jan 11, 2024, 4:30 PM
  • The Thunder are -13.5 favorites vs. the Trail Blazers
  • Total (Over/Under): 235.5 points
  • Watch the game on BSOK | RTNW

The Portland Trail Blazers visit Paycom Center to take on the Oklahoma City Thunder on Thursday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EST in Oklahoma City, OK.

The Thunder are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at ().

The Trail Blazers vs Thunder Over/Under is total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Trail Blazers are 16-20 against the spread, while the Thunder are 24-11 against the spread.


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Trail Blazers vs. Thunder Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Portland Trail Blazers O
Oklahoma City Thunder U

Thunder vs Trail Blazers Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Thunder will win Thursday‘s game with 89.8% confidence, factoring in recent team & player performances for the Trail Blazers and Thunder, plus player injuries and defensive & offensive matchups.

Thunder vs Trail Blazers Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Thunder will cover the spread for Thursday‘s game with 51.0% confidence.


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  • The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 25 away games (+12.50 Units / 50% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 19 of their last 26 games (+11.40 Units / 39% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 16 of their last 26 away games (+11.35 Units / 43% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 43 of their last 72 games (+10.95 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 14 of their last 27 away games (+10.20 Units / 38% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 48 of their last 73 games (+19.75 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the Team Total Over in 29 of their last 38 games at home (+18.75 Units / 43% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the Moneyline in 48 of their last 79 games (+17.85 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have covered the Spread in 47 of their last 79 games (+14.10 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have covered the 1Q Spread in 48 of their last 79 games (+13.90 Units / 16% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Trail Blazers have gone 16-20 (-5.95 Units / -15.08% ROI).

  • 10-26 against the Moneyline (-1.15 Units / -2.96% ROI)
  • 17-19 against the Over for game total points (-3.9 Units / -9.84% ROI)
  • 19-17 against the Under for game total points (+0.35 Units / 0.89% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Thunder have gone 24-11 (+11.95 Units / 30.29% ROI).

  • 25-11 against the Moneyline (+13.65 Units / 19.36% ROI)
  • 22-13 against the Over for game total points (+7.7 Units / 19.44% ROI)
  • 13-22 against the Under for game total points (-11.2 Units / -28.28% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 25 of their last 73 games (-29.05 Units / -35% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the Team Total Under in 9 of their last 38 games at home (-24.35 Units / -56% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 28 of their last 70 games (-16.65 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the Game Total Under in 30 of their last 73 games (-16.20 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 13 of their last 38 games (-14.90 Units / -35% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have only covered the 1Q Spread in 28 of their last 76 games (-22.55 Units / -27% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 32 of their last 78 games (-19.65 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have only covered the 1H Spread in 30 of their last 75 games (-16.85 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 9 of their last 37 games (-15.35 Units / -40% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 21 of their last 70 games (-15.25 Units / -20% ROI)

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Portland Trail Blazers: Keys to the Game vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder

The Trail Blazers are 0-5 (.000) when allowing 15 or more three-pointers this season — T-worst in the NBA. The Thunder have made 13.2 three-pointers per game this season — T-10th-highest in the NBA.

The Trail Blazers are 1-8 (.111) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three this season — 4th-worst in the NBA. The Thunder have shot 40% from three this season — best in the NBA.

The Trail Blazers were 18-25 (.419) when scoring fewer second chance points than their opponent last season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .456

The Trail Blazers were 4-15 (.211) when allowing 15 or more three-pointers last season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .298

Oklahoma City Thunder: Keys to the Game vs. the Portland Trail Blazers

The Thunder were undefeated (9-0) when their eFG is 60% or better last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .808

The Thunder are 18-7 (.720) when they win the turnover margin this season — 4th-best in the NBA. The Trail Blazers have averaged 15.3 turnovers per game this season — T-3rd-highest in the NBA.

The Thunder are 18-1 (.947) when scoring 15 or more fastbreak points this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .551

The Thunder are undefeated (7-0) when winning the rebounding margin this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .623

Injury Report: Thunder vs. Trail BlazersThursday‘s Game, Jan. 11

  • Oklahoma City Thunder – No Injuries Reported
  • Deandre Ayton (Portland Trail Blazers): Knee, Out
  • Jerami Grant (Portland Trail Blazers): Concussion, Out
  • Malcolm Brogdon (Portland Trail Blazers): Knee, Out
  • Robert Williams (Portland Trail Blazers): Knee, Out For Season
  • Ish Wainright (Portland Trail Blazers): Knee, Out

Portland Trail Blazers Offensive Stats & Trends

The Trail Blazers have averaged 1.20 points per shot (1,923 points/1,604 shots) in the second half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.32

The Trail Blazers are shooting 43% (645/1,499) at home this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 48%

The Trail Blazers have an eFG% of 50% this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 55%

The Trail Blazers have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.4 (410 assists/ 298 TOs) in the first half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.9

Oklahoma City Thunder Offensive Stats & Trends

The Thunder are shooting 42% from three (247/585) in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The Thunder have an eFG% of 60% in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 55%

The Thunder have averaged 9.9 second chance points per game (358 points/36 games) this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.0

The Thunder are shooting 41% from three (222/536) on the road this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

Portland Trail Blazers Defensive Stats & Trends

The Trail Blazers have averaged 32.0 defensive rebounds per game (1,153 rebounds/36 games) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.1

The Trail Blazers have allowed opponents to shoot 21% from three (31/148) in close and late situations this season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 35%

The Trail Blazers have allowed opponents to shoot 52% (812/1,572) in the first half this season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 47%

The Trail Blazers allowed opponents to shoot 40% from three (538/1,343) at home last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 36%

Oklahoma City Thunder Defensive Stats & Trends

The Thunder have allowed 19.8 offensive rebounds per game (714 rebounds/36 games) this season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 16.8

The Thunder have allowed 9.8 offensive rebounds per game (354 rebounds/36 games) in the first half this season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 8.1

The Thunder have allowed 19.3 offensive rebounds per game (1,118 rebounds/58 games) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 16.5

The Thunder have averaged 6.4 blocks per game (231 blocks/36 games) this season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.