Trail Blazers vs Thunder Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Jan. 23

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jan 23, 2024, 4:30 PM
  • The Thunder are -14.5 favorites vs. the Trail Blazers
  • Total (Over/Under): 234.5 points
  • Watch the game on BSOK | RTNW

The Portland Trail Blazers visit Paycom Center to take on the Oklahoma City Thunder on Tuesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EST in Oklahoma City, OK.

The Thunder are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -13.5 (-115).

The Trail Blazers vs Thunder Over/Under is 233.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Trail Blazers are 19-23 against the spread, while the Thunder are 28-13 against the spread.


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Trail Blazers vs. Thunder Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Portland Trail Blazers+13.5 -105O 233.5 -110+650
Oklahoma City Thunder -13.5 -115U 233.5 -110-1000

Thunder vs Trail Blazers Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Thunder will win Tuesday‘s game with 92.6% confidence, factoring in recent team & player performances for the Trail Blazers and Thunder, plus player injuries and defensive & offensive matchups.

Thunder vs Trail Blazers Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Thunder will cover the spread for Tuesday‘s game with 51.1% confidence.


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  • The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 17 of their last 21 away games (+12.80 Units / 55% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 17 of their last 29 away games (+11.95 Units / 41% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 27 of their last 41 games (+11.55 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 22 of their last 32 games (+10.95 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 46 of their last 78 games (+10.60 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 51 of their last 79 games (+19.35 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the Moneyline in 32 of their last 46 games (+18.70 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the Team Total Over in 29 of their last 39 games at home (+17.65 Units / 40% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have covered the Spread in 31 of their last 46 games (+15.60 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have covered the 4Q Spread in 23 of their last 33 games (+13.25 Units / 37% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Trail Blazers have gone 19-23 (-6.2 Units / -13.49% ROI).

  • 12-30 against the Moneyline (-0.8 Units / -1.78% ROI)
  • 19-23 against the Over for game total points (-6.3 Units / -13.62% ROI)
  • 23-19 against the Under for game total points (+2.15 Units / 4.66% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Thunder have gone 28-13 (+13.7 Units / 29.72% ROI).

  • 29-13 against the Moneyline (+15.9 Units / 17.63% ROI)
  • 24-17 against the Over for game total points (+5.3 Units / 11.47% ROI)
  • 17-24 against the Under for game total points (-9.4 Units / -20.35% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 28 of their last 79 games (-29.55 Units / -33% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the Team Total Under in 10 of their last 39 games at home (-23.45 Units / -52% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 32 of their last 76 games (-14.80 Units / -18% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the Game Total Under in 34 of their last 79 games (-14.40 Units / -17% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 18 of their last 44 games (-11.00 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 32 of their last 78 games (-19.75 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have only covered the 1Q Spread in 31 of their last 78 games (-18.65 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 22 of their last 76 games (-18.45 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have only covered the 1H Spread in 31 of their last 78 games (-18.00 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 19 of their last 67 games (-16.85 Units / -24% ROI)

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Portland Trail Blazers: Keys to the Game vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder

The Trail Blazers are 2-10 (.167) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three this season — 8th-worst in the NBA. The Thunder have shot 39% from three this season — 2nd-best in the NBA.

The Trail Blazers are 7-17 (.292) when scoring 15 or more second chance points this season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .552

The Trail Blazers are 4-11 (.267) when scoring fewer second chance points than their opponent this season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .430

The Trail Blazers were 10-13 (.435) when scoring 15 or more second chance points last season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .531

Oklahoma City Thunder: Keys to the Game vs. the Portland Trail Blazers

The Thunder were undefeated (9-0) when their eFG is 60% or better last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .808

The Thunder were 18-26 (.409) when their opponent attempts 25 or more free throws last season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .457

The Thunder are winless (0-4) when allowing an eFG of 60% or better this season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .170

The Thunder are 20-8 (.714) when they win the turnover margin this season — T-4th-best in the NBA. The Trail Blazers have averaged 15.1 turnovers per game this season — 4th-highest in the NBA.

Injury Report: Thunder vs. Trail BlazersTuesday‘s Game, Jan. 23

  • Oklahoma City Thunder – No Injuries Reported
  • Deandre Ayton (Portland Trail Blazers): Knee, Out
  • Jerami Grant (Portland Trail Blazers): Concussion, Out
  • Malcolm Brogdon (Portland Trail Blazers): Knee, Out
  • Robert Williams (Portland Trail Blazers): Knee, Out For Season
  • Ish Wainright (Portland Trail Blazers): Knee, Out

Portland Trail Blazers Offensive Stats & Trends

The Trail Blazers have an eFG% of 50% this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 55%

The Trail Blazers are shooting 43% (1,647/3,791) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%

The Trail Blazers have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.5 (1,371 assists/ 885 TOs) in the second half since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Trail Blazers are shooting 43% (803/1,858) in the second half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%

Oklahoma City Thunder Offensive Stats & Trends

The Thunder are shooting 42% from three (289/691) in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The Thunder have a TS% of 56% in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 51%

The Thunder have averaged 13.3 offensive rebounds per game (557 rebounds/42 games) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 16.7

The Thunder are shooting 41% from three (275/675) on the road this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

Portland Trail Blazers Defensive Stats & Trends

The Trail Blazers have averaged 31.8 defensive rebounds per game (1,336 rebounds/42 games) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.1

The Trail Blazers have allowed opponents to shoot 23% from three (39/166) in close and late situations this season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 35%

The Trail Blazers averaged 33.4 defensive rebounds per game (2,738 rebounds/82 games) last season — tied for 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Trail Blazers have 335 steals this season — 9th most among NBA teams

Oklahoma City Thunder Defensive Stats & Trends

The Thunder have allowed 9.9 offensive rebounds per game (415 rebounds/42 games) in the first half this season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 8.1

The Thunder have allowed 19.7 offensive rebounds per game (829 rebounds/42 games) this season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 16.7

The Thunder averaged 8.2 steals per game (676 steals/82 games) last season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3

The Thunder have allowed 19.2 offensive rebounds per game (1,190 rebounds/62 games) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 16.5


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.