Trail Blazers vs Timberwolves Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Jan. 12

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jan 12, 2024, 4:30 PM
  • The Timberwolves are -15.5 favorites vs. the Trail Blazers
  • Total (Over/Under): 221.5 points
  • Watch the game on BSN | RTNW

The Portland Trail Blazers visit Target Center to take on the Minnesota Timberwolves on Friday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EST in Minneapolis, MN.

The Timberwolves are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -15.5 (-115).

The Trail Blazers vs Timberwolves Over/Under is 220.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Trail Blazers are 16-21 against the spread, while the Timberwolves are 18-18 against the spread.


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Trail Blazers vs. Timberwolves Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Portland Trail Blazers+15.5 -105O 220.5 -110+800
Minnesota Timberwolves -15.5 -115U 220.5 -110-1400

Timberwolves vs Trail Blazers Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Timberwolves will win Friday‘s game with 94.1% confidence, factoring in recent team & player performances for the Trail Blazers and Timberwolves, plus player injuries and defensive & offensive matchups.

Timberwolves vs Trail Blazers Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Timberwolves will cover the spread for Friday‘s game with 53.7% confidence.


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  • The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 20 of their last 27 games (+12.40 Units / 41% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 44 of their last 73 games (+11.95 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 26 away games (+11.50 Units / 44% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 16 of their last 27 away games (+11.35 Units / 42% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 15 of their last 19 away games (+10.80 Units / 52% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 50 of their last 83 games (+15.20 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the Moneyline in 25 of their last 34 games (+14.25 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have covered the 3Q Spread in 49 of their last 84 games (+12.55 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 50 of their last 84 games (+12.25 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 15 of their last 20 games at home (+11.30 Units / 36% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Trail Blazers have gone 16-21 (-7.05 Units / -17.39% ROI).

  • 10-27 against the Moneyline (-2.15 Units / -5.4% ROI)
  • 17-20 against the Over for game total points (-5 Units / -12.27% ROI)
  • 20-17 against the Under for game total points (+1.35 Units / 3.32% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Timberwolves have gone 18-18 (-1.8 Units / -4.42% ROI).

  • 26-11 against the Moneyline (+12.85 Units / 15.54% ROI)
  • 19-17 against the Over for game total points (+0.3 Units / 0.74% ROI)
  • 17-19 against the Under for game total points (-3.9 Units / -9.58% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 32 of their last 83 games (-23.25 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 34 of their last 84 games (-22.60 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 12 of their last 36 games at home (-14.80 Units / -37% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only covered the 1H Spread in 19 of their last 48 games (-12.55 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the Game Total Over in 12 of their last 35 games at home (-12.20 Units / -32% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have only covered the 1Q Spread in 28 of their last 77 games (-23.70 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 32 of their last 79 games (-20.85 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have only covered the 1H Spread in 30 of their last 76 games (-17.85 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have only covered the Spread in 32 of their last 76 games (-16.35 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 9 of their last 38 games (-16.35 Units / -41% ROI)

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Portland Trail Blazers: Keys to the Game vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves

The Trail Blazers are 1-9 (.100) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three this season — 4th-worst in the NBA. The Timberwolves have shot 38% from three this season — 6th-best in the NBA.

The Trail Blazers are winless (0-9) when allowing an eFG of 60% or better this season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .174

The Trail Blazers are winless (0-5) when allowing 15 or more three-pointers this season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .355

The Trail Blazers were 12-27 (.308) when their opponent attempts 25 or more free throws last season — 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .457

Minnesota Timberwolves: Keys to the Game vs. the Portland Trail Blazers

The Timberwolves are undefeated (7-0) when forcing 10 or more steals this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .563

The Timberwolves are 8-3 (.727) when they win the turnover margin this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .540

The Timberwolves are 8-3 (.727) when they win the turnover margin this season — 2nd-best in the NBA. The Trail Blazers have averaged 15.2 turnovers per game this season — 4th-highest in the NBA.

The Timberwolves are 24-7 (.774) when allowing 12 or more offensive rebounds this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .508

Injury Report: Timberwolves vs. Trail BlazersFriday‘s Game, Jan. 12

  • Jaden McDaniels (Minnesota Timberwolves): Ankle, Out
  • Jordan McLaughlin (Minnesota Timberwolves): Knee, Game Time Decision
  • Jaylen Clark (Minnesota Timberwolves): Achilles, Out
  • Deandre Ayton (Portland Trail Blazers): Knee, Out
  • Jerami Grant (Portland Trail Blazers): Concussion, Out
  • Malcolm Brogdon (Portland Trail Blazers): Knee, Out
  • Robert Williams (Portland Trail Blazers): Knee, Out For Season
  • Ish Wainright (Portland Trail Blazers): Knee, Out

Portland Trail Blazers Offensive Stats & Trends

The Trail Blazers have an eFG% of 50% this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 55%

The Trail Blazers are shooting 43% (1,451/3,365) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%

The Trail Blazers have averaged 1.19 points per shot (1,961 points/1,651 shots) in the second half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.32

The Trail Blazers are shooting 43% (645/1,499) at home this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 48%

Minnesota Timberwolves Offensive Stats & Trends

The Timberwolves had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.7 (2,145 assists/ 1,258 TOs) last season — tied for 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Timberwolves have averaged 15.1 offensive rebounds per game (560 rebounds/37 games) this season — 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 16.8

The Timberwolves have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.6 (419 assists/ 257 TOs) at home this season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 2.0

The Timberwolves have an eFG% of 56% this season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 55%

Portland Trail Blazers Defensive Stats & Trends

The Trail Blazers have averaged 31.9 defensive rebounds per game (1,182 rebounds/37 games) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.1

The Trail Blazers have allowed opponents to shoot 21% from three (31/148) in close and late situations this season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 35%

The Trail Blazers averaged 33.4 defensive rebounds per game (2,738 rebounds/82 games) last season — tied for 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Trail Blazers averaged 6.7 steals per game (553 steals/82 games) last season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3

Minnesota Timberwolves Defensive Stats & Trends

The Timberwolves have averaged 36.8 defensive rebounds per game (1,363 rebounds/37 games) this season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.1

The Timberwolves have averaged 6.0 blocks per game (222 blocks/37 games) this season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.2

The Timberwolves averaged 8.0 steals per game (657 steals/82 games) last season — tied for 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3

The Timberwolves have allowed an average of 1.14 points per shot (1,647 points/1,448 shots) at home this season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 1.28


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