Trail Blazers vs Timberwolves Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Mar. 4

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 04, 2024, 4:30 PM
  • The Timberwolves are -14.5 favorites vs. the Trail Blazers
  • Total (Over/Under): 211.5 points
  • Watch the game on BSN | RTNW

The Portland Trail Blazers visit Target Center to take on the Minnesota Timberwolves on Monday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EST in Minneapolis, MN.

The Timberwolves are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -14.5 (-105).

The Trail Blazers vs Timberwolves Over/Under is 210.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Trail Blazers are 27-32 against the spread, while the Timberwolves are 30-30 against the spread.


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Trail Blazers vs. Timberwolves Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Portland Trail Blazers+14.5 -115O 210.5 -110+750
Minnesota Timberwolves -14.5 -105U 210.5 -110-1200

Timberwolves vs Trail Blazers Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Timberwolves will win Monday‘s game with 94.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Trail Blazers and Timberwolves.

Timberwolves vs Trail Blazers Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Timberwolves will cover the spread for Monday‘s game with 52.1% confidence.


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  • The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 38 of their last 58 games (+15.65 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 33 of their last 49 games (+15.15 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 35 away games (+11.20 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 19 of their last 36 away games (+9.95 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 19 of their last 28 away games (+9.50 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 52 of their last 82 games (+19.40 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 26 of their last 34 games at home (+19.15 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 47 of their last 76 games (+15.50 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have covered the 3Q Spread in 42 of their last 71 games (+12.60 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the Team Total Under in 18 of their last 24 games at home (+11.05 Units / 40% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Trail Blazers have gone 27-32 (-8.05 Units / -12.44% ROI).

  • 17-42 against the Moneyline (-2.75 Units / -4.35% ROI)
  • 27-32 against the Over for game total points (-8.2 Units / -12.63% ROI)
  • 32-27 against the Under for game total points (+2.35 Units / 3.62% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Timberwolves have gone 30-30 (-3.1 Units / -4.6% ROI).

  • 42-19 against the Moneyline (+2.15 Units / 1.13% ROI)
  • 29-31 against the Over for game total points (-5.1 Units / -7.59% ROI)
  • 31-29 against the Under for game total points (-0.85 Units / -1.27% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 31 of their last 84 games (-28.25 Units / -30% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the Moneyline in 26 of their last 40 games at home (-23.85 Units / -15% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 29 of their last 76 games (-22.90 Units / -27% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 31 of their last 76 games (-19.25 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 21 of their last 55 games (-15.30 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 20 of their last 58 games (-22.20 Units / -35% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have only covered the 1Q Spread in 29 of their last 76 games (-20.65 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 16 of their last 49 games (-19.65 Units / -37% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 17 of their last 60 games (-18.65 Units / -30% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have only covered the 1H Spread in 31 of their last 76 games (-15.80 Units / -19% ROI)

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Portland Trail Blazers: Keys to the Game vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves

The Trail Blazers were 15-31 (.326) when they lose the turnover margin last season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .460

The Trail Blazers were 14-31 (.311) when losing the rebounding margin last season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .366

The Trail Blazers were 10-13 (.435) when scoring 15 or more second chance points last season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .531

The Trail Blazers are 5-16 (.238) when scoring fewer second chance points than their opponent this season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .426

Minnesota Timberwolves: Keys to the Game vs. the Portland Trail Blazers

The Timberwolves are 16-4 (.800) when they win the turnover margin this season — best in the NBA. The Trail Blazers have averaged 15.1 turnovers per game this season — 3rd-highest in the NBA.

The Timberwolves are 13-5 (.722) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points this season — tied for 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .580

The Timberwolves are winless (0-6) when allowing an eFG of 60% or better this season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .169

The Timberwolves are undefeated (8-0) when forcing 10 or more steals this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .573

Injury Report: Timberwolves vs. Trail BlazersMonday‘s Game, Mar. 4

  • Rudy Gobert (Minnesota Timberwolves): Ankle, Game Time Decision
  • Jaylen Clark (Minnesota Timberwolves): Achilles, Out
  • Scoot Henderson (Portland Trail Blazers): Groin, Out
  • Rayan Rupert (Portland Trail Blazers): Ankle, Out
  • Moses Brown (Portland Trail Blazers): Wrist, Out
  • Shaedon Sharpe (Portland Trail Blazers): Abdomen, Out
  • Malcolm Brogdon (Portland Trail Blazers): Elbow, Out
  • Robert Williams (Portland Trail Blazers): Knee, Out For Season

Portland Trail Blazers Offensive Stats & Trends

The Trail Blazers have an eFG% of 51% in the second half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 55%

The Trail Blazers have an eFG% of 51% this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 55%

The Trail Blazers have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.5 (1,179 assists/ 775 TOs) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 2.0

The Trail Blazers have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.5 (1,477 assists/ 964 TOs) in the second half since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

Minnesota Timberwolves Offensive Stats & Trends

The Timberwolves are shooting 39% from three (667/1,697) this season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 37%

The Timberwolves had a TS% of 52% last season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 51%

The Timberwolves are shooting 40% from three (363/918) on the road this season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The Timberwolves averaged 54.2 points in the paint per game (4,446 points/82 games) last season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 50.5

Portland Trail Blazers Defensive Stats & Trends

The Trail Blazers have averaged 32.0 defensive rebounds per game (1,663 rebounds/52 games) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.1

The Trail Blazers have averaged 32.8 defensive rebounds per game (4,401 rebounds/134 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Trail Blazers have averaged 4.6 blocks per game (240 blocks/52 games) this season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.2

The Trail Blazers averaged 33.4 defensive rebounds per game (2,738 rebounds/82 games) last season — tied for 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

Minnesota Timberwolves Defensive Stats & Trends

The Timberwolves have allowed a TS% of 47% at home this season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 51%

The Timberwolves have allowed an eFG% of 48% at home this season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 54%

The Timberwolves have averaged 36.7 defensive rebounds per game (1,943 rebounds/53 games) this season — tied for 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.1

The Timberwolves have allowed an eFG% of 51% this season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 55%


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