Warriors vs Bucks Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Jan. 13

min read
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jan 13, 2024, 4:30 PM
  • The Bucks are -11.5 favorites vs. the Warriors
  • Total (Over/Under): 246.5 points
  • Watch the game on NBAt | BSWI | NSBA

The Golden State Warriors visit Fiserv Forum to take on the Milwaukee Bucks on Saturday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EST in Milwaukee, WI.

The Bucks are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -13.5 (-110).

The Warriors vs Bucks Over/Under is 240.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Warriors are 18-20 against the spread, while the Bucks are 16-21 against the spread.


Bet now on Bucks vs Warriors and all NBA games with BetMGM


Warriors vs. Bucks Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Golden State Warriors+13.5 -110O 240.5 -105+675
Milwaukee Bucks -13.5 -110U 240.5 -115-1100

Bucks vs Warriors Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Bucks will win Saturday‘s game with 87.3% confidence, factoring in recent team & player performances for the Warriors and Bucks, plus player injuries and defensive & offensive matchups.

Bucks vs Warriors Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Warriors will cover the spread for Saturday‘s game with 51.0% confidence.


Bet now on Bucks vs Warriors and all NBA games with BetMGM


  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the 1H Moneyline in 28 of their last 45 away games (+14.80 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the Game Total Over in 20 of their last 29 games (+10.10 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 21 of their last 31 games (+10.10 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 11 of their last 15 away games (+8.75 Units / 48% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have covered the 2Q Spread in 27 of their last 45 away games (+8.25 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the Game Total Over in 41 of their last 64 games (+15.70 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 43 of their last 69 games (+14.35 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have covered the 1H Spread in 25 of their last 36 games at home (+12.65 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 33 of their last 53 games (+12.25 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 1H Moneyline in 53 of their last 79 games (+10.45 Units / 6% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Warriors have gone 18-20 (-4 Units / -9.58% ROI).

  • 18-20 against the Moneyline (-5.2 Units / -6.92% ROI)
  • 23-15 against the Over for game total points (+6.5 Units / 15.57% ROI)
  • 15-23 against the Under for game total points (-10.35 Units / -24.73% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Bucks have gone 16-21 (-7.2 Units / -17.12% ROI).

  • 26-12 against the Moneyline (-0.8 Units / -0.6% ROI)
  • 23-15 against the Over for game total points (+6.5 Units / 15.53% ROI)
  • 15-23 against the Under for game total points (-10.25 Units / -24.55% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the Game Total Under in 23 of their last 64 games (-22.05 Units / -31% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 26 of their last 69 games (-20.95 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 27 of their last 62 games (-19.95 Units / -19% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the Moneyline in 35 of their last 56 games (-19.75 Units / -9% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 21 of their last 45 games (-18.00 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only covered the 3Q Spread in 35 of their last 91 games (-25.85 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only covered the 1H Spread in 26 of their last 72 games (-24.30 Units / -31% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only covered the 1Q Spread in 29 of their last 80 games (-24.00 Units / -27% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 38 of their last 87 games (-22.80 Units / -19% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only covered the 4Q Spread in 17 of their last 51 games (-19.95 Units / -36% ROI)

Jump to:

Golden State Warriors: Keys to the Game vs. the Milwaukee Bucks

The Warriors were 29-10 (.744) when winning the rebounding margin last season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .634

The Warriors were 2-12 (.143) when their eFG is 50% or worse last season — tied for 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .223

The Warriors are 10-2 (.833) when shooting 40% or better from three this season — tied for 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .673

The Warriors are 4-10 (.286) when their opponent attempts 25 or more free throws this season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .434

Milwaukee Bucks: Keys to the Game vs. the Golden State Warriors

The Bucks were 27-3 (.900) when scoring 15 or more fastbreak points last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .554

The Bucks were 27-11 (.711) when allowing 15 or more second chance points last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .466

The Bucks are 12-3 (.800) when scoring more second chance points than their opponent this season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: .562

The Bucks were 25-7 (.781) when attempting 25 or more free throws last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .543

Injury Report: Bucks vs. WarriorsSaturday‘s Game, Jan. 13

  • Jae Crowder (Milwaukee Bucks): Groin, Out
  • Pat Connaughton (Milwaukee Bucks): Ankle, Out
  • Gary Payton II (Golden State Warriors): Calf, Out
  • Usman Garuba (Golden State Warriors): Finger, Out

Golden State Warriors Offensive Stats & Trends

The Warriors averaged 30.5 assists per game (1,250 assists/41 games) at home last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 25.6

The Warriors averaged 29.8 assists per game (2,446 assists/82 games) last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 25.3

The Warriors made 16.6 three-pointers per game last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.3

The Warriors averaged 16.3 turnovers per game (1,336 turnovers/82 games) last season — highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.1

Milwaukee Bucks Offensive Stats & Trends

The Bucks have averaged 1.45 points per shot (2,392 points/1,651 shots) in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.32

The Bucks have averaged 62.9 points per game (2,392 points/38 games) in the second half this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 57.5

The Bucks have an eFG% of 59% on the road this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 54%

The Bucks have an eFG% of 59% in the second half this season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 55%

Golden State Warriors Defensive Stats & Trends

The Warriors have averaged 3.6 blocks per game (136 blocks/38 games) this season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.2

The Warriors averaged 36.6 defensive rebounds per game (2,999 rebounds/82 games) last season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Warriors have averaged 3.8 blocks per game (459 blocks/120 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8

The Warriors have averaged 35.7 defensive rebounds per game (1,356 rebounds/38 games) this season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.1

Milwaukee Bucks Defensive Stats & Trends

The Bucks averaged 39.7 defensive rebounds per game (3,254 rebounds/82 games) last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Bucks have averaged 38.9 defensive rebounds per game (4,670 rebounds/120 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Bucks allowed an average of 1.21 points per shot (4,679 points/3,854 shots) on the road last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 1.31

The Bucks allowed an eFG% of 52% on the road last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 55%


Bet now on Bucks vs Warriors and all NBA games with BetMGM


Bet on NBA Odds at BetMGM

At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated NBA betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.

About the Author

BetMGM Betting

Read More @BETMGM

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.