Warriors vs Bulls Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Jan. 12

Golden State Warriors logo on the left and Chicago Bulls logo on the right
  • The Bulls are -3.5 favorites vs. the Warriors
  • Total (Over/Under): 227.5 points
  • Watch the game on NBCH | NSBA

The Golden State Warriors visit United Center to take on the Chicago Bulls on Friday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EST in Chicago, IL.

The Bulls are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-105).

The Warriors vs Bulls Over/Under is 228.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Warriors are 17-20 against the spread, while the Bulls are 20-18 against the spread.


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Warriors vs. Bulls Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Golden State Warriors+3.5 -115O 228.5 -110+125
Chicago Bulls -3.5 -105U 228.5 -110-155

Bulls vs Warriors Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Bulls will win Friday‘s game with 61.2% confidence, factoring in recent team & player performances for the Warriors and Bulls, plus player injuries and defensive & offensive matchups.

Bulls vs Warriors Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Warriors will cover the spread for Friday‘s game with 55.8% confidence.


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  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the 1H Moneyline in 28 of their last 44 away games (+15.80 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have covered the 2Q Spread in 27 of their last 44 away games (+9.35 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the Game Total Over in 19 of their last 28 games (+9.10 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 20 of their last 30 games (+9.10 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 14 of their last 19 games (+8.60 Units / 42% ROI)
  • The Chicago Bulls have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 45 of their last 71 games (+16.60 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Chicago Bulls have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 38 of their last 64 games (+14.95 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Chicago Bulls have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 48 of their last 78 games (+14.90 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Chicago Bulls have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 28 of their last 46 games (+13.70 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Chicago Bulls have covered the 4Q Spread in 37 of their last 59 games (+13.05 Units / 20% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Warriors have gone 17-20 (-5 Units / -12.3% ROI).

  • 17-20 against the Moneyline (-6.4 Units / -8.63% ROI)
  • 22-15 against the Over for game total points (+5.5 Units / 13.53% ROI)
  • 15-22 against the Under for game total points (-9.25 Units / -22.7% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Bulls have gone 20-18 (+0.2 Units / 0.47% ROI).

  • 18-21 against the Moneyline (-0.15 Units / -0.28% ROI)
  • 19-19 against the Over for game total points (-1.9 Units / -4.43% ROI)
  • 19-19 against the Under for game total points (-1.9 Units / -4.43% ROI)
  • The Chicago Bulls have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 29 of their last 77 games (-25.15 Units / -29% ROI)
  • The Chicago Bulls have only hit the Team Total Over in 31 of their last 78 games (-23.10 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Chicago Bulls have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 30 of their last 78 games (-22.90 Units / -27% ROI)
  • The Chicago Bulls have only covered the 1Q Spread in 24 of their last 67 games (-22.90 Units / -31% ROI)
  • The Chicago Bulls have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 24 of their last 67 games (-21.05 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only covered the 3Q Spread in 34 of their last 90 games (-26.85 Units / -27% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only covered the 1Q Spread in 28 of their last 79 games (-25.00 Units / -29% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 37 of their last 86 games (-23.90 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 33 of their last 79 games (-23.25 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only covered the 1H Spread in 26 of their last 71 games (-23.20 Units / -30% ROI)

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Golden State Warriors: Keys to the Game vs. the Chicago Bulls

The Warriors were 29-10 (.744) when winning the rebounding margin last season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .634

The Warriors are 3-5 (.375) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points this season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .555

The Warriors are 20-31 (.392) when allowing 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2022-23 season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .459

The Warriors were 13-22 (.371) when allowing 15 or more second chance points last season — tied for 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .466

Chicago Bulls: Keys to the Game vs. the Golden State Warriors

The Bulls are 6-14 (.300) when losing the rebounding margin this season — 9th-worst in the NBA. The Warriors have averaged 54.7 rebounds/game this season — 5th-highest in the NBA.

The Bulls were 15-31 (.326) when allowing 110 or more points last season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .355

The Bulls were 6-10 (.375) when scoring 15 or more second chance points last season — 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .531

The Bulls were 10-16 (.385) when their opponent attempts 25 or more free throws last season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .457

Injury Report: Bulls vs. WarriorsFriday‘s Game, Jan. 12

  • Lonzo Ball (Chicago Bulls): Knee, Out For Season
  • Zach LaVine (Chicago Bulls): Foot, Out
  • Onuralp Bitim (Chicago Bulls): Illness, Game Time Decision
  • Gary Payton II (Golden State Warriors): Calf, Out
  • Usman Garuba (Golden State Warriors): Finger, Out

Golden State Warriors Offensive Stats & Trends

The Warriors made 16.6 three-pointers per game last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.3

The Warriors averaged 14.4 assists per game (1,181 assists/82 games) in the second half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.0

The Warriors averaged 30.5 assists per game (1,250 assists/41 games) at home last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 25.6

The Warriors averaged 8.2 turnovers per game (673 turnovers/82 games) in the second half last season — highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.0

Chicago Bulls Offensive Stats & Trends

The Bulls have averaged 19.7 points in the paint per game (768 points/39 games) in the first half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 25.3

The Bulls have averaged 5.4 turnovers per game (209 turnovers/39 games) in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 6.7

The Bulls averaged 4.9 second chance points per game (400 points/82 games) in the first half last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 6.7

The Bulls have an eFG% of 50% in the first half this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 55%

Golden State Warriors Defensive Stats & Trends

The Warriors have averaged 3.6 blocks per game (132 blocks/37 games) this season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.2

The Warriors averaged 36.6 defensive rebounds per game (2,999 rebounds/82 games) last season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Warriors have averaged 6.6 steals per game (246 steals/37 games) this season — tied for 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Warriors have averaged 7.0 steals per game (834 steals/119 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3

Chicago Bulls Defensive Stats & Trends

The Bulls averaged 36.1 defensive rebounds per game (2,958 rebounds/82 games) last season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Bulls have 312 steals this season — 3rd most among NBA teams

The Bulls averaged 7.9 steals per game (644 steals/82 games) last season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3

The Bulls have 956 steals since the start of the 2022-23 season — 5th most among NBA teams


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About the Author

Shane Jackson

Read More @Sjacksonmgm

Shane Jackson is a Web Content Writer for BetMGM, covering MLB and NBA. After graduating from the University of Kansas, his previous stops include MLB.com, Lawrence Journal-World, Manhattan Mercury, Bet Chicago Sports, WynnBET, and Sportsbook Review.

Shane Jackson is a Web Content Writer for BetMGM, covering MLB and NBA. After graduating from the University of Kansas, his previous stops include MLB.com, Lawrence Journal-World, Manhattan Mercury, Bet Chicago Sports, WynnBET, and Sportsbook Review.