Warriors vs Grizzlies Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Apr. 1

  • The are favorites vs. the
  • Total (Over/Under): Total points
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The Golden State Warriors visit FedExForum to take on the Memphis Grizzlies on Tuesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EDT in Memphis, TN.

The are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at ().

The Warriors vs Grizzlies Over/Under is total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Warriors are 37-35 against the spread, while the Grizzlies are 38-36 against the spread.


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Warriors vs. Grizzlies Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Golden State Warriors O
Memphis Grizzlies U

Grizzlies vs Warriors Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Warriors will win Tuesday‘s game with 77.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Warriors and Grizzlies.

Grizzlies vs Warriors Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Grizzlies will cover the spread for Tuesday‘s game with 55.0% confidence.


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  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 18 of their last 24 games (+12.80 Units / 38% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 24 of their last 35 games (+11.50 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 33 of their last 52 games (+11.30 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have covered the 4Q Spread in 16 of their last 24 games (+9.15 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the Team Total Under in 37 of their last 62 games (+8.50 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 25 of their last 35 games at home (+13.55 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have covered the 3Q Spread in 43 of their last 71 games (+11.95 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the Team Total Over in 50 of their last 83 games (+11.90 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 36 of their last 57 games (+11.85 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 36 of their last 61 games (+10.45 Units / 15% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Warriors have gone 37-35 (-1.6 Units / -1.96% ROI).

  • 43-31 against the Moneyline (-10.5 Units / -5.16% ROI)
  • 37-37 against the Over for game total points (-3.7 Units / -4.55% ROI)
  • 37-37 against the Under for game total points (-3.7 Units / -4.55% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Grizzlies have gone 38-36 (-1.6 Units / -1.94% ROI).

  • 44-31 against the Moneyline (+1.9 Units / 1.17% ROI)
  • 43-32 against the Over for game total points (+7.8 Units / 9.45% ROI)
  • 32-43 against the Under for game total points (-15.3 Units / -18.55% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 10 of their last 41 games (-37.90 Units / -54% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the Team Total Under in 33 of their last 83 games (-24.17 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only covered the 1H Spread in 12 of their last 43 games (-23.80 Units / -48% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 30 of their last 77 games (-20.40 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 21 of their last 57 games (-20.25 Units / -31% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 25 of their last 64 games (-40.70 Units / -30% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only covered the 1Q Spread in 27 of their last 75 games (-23.60 Units / -27% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 23 of their last 58 games (-23.25 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 32 of their last 78 games (-21.27 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only covered the 1H Spread in 21 of their last 57 games (-21.00 Units / -32% ROI)

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Golden State Warriors: Keys to the Game vs. the Memphis Grizzlies

The Warriors are 29-14 (.674) when they win the turnover margin this season — T-6th-best in the NBA. The Grizzlies have averaged 15.8 turnovers per game this season — 3rd-highest in the NBA.

The Warriors are 35-10 (.778) when scoring 110 or more points this season — 6th-best in the NBA. The Grizzlies have allowed 117.1 points per game this season — 6th-worst in the NBA.

The Warriors are undefeated (10-0) when shooting 50% or better from the field this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .749

The Warriors were 23-2 (.920) when shooting 50% or better from the field last season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .789

Memphis Grizzlies: Keys to the Game vs. the Golden State Warriors

The Grizzlies were 1-6 (.143) when forcing fewer than 5 steals last season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .385

The Grizzlies were 1-28 (.034) when allowing their opponent to shoot 50% or better from the field last season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .207

The Grizzlies are 7-1 (.875) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .452

The Grizzlies are 26-29 (.473) when attempting 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2023-24 season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .547

Golden State Warriors Offensive Stats & Trends

The Warriors have made 14.8 three-pointers per game on the road since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.9

The Warriors averaged 12.5 fast break points per game (1,024 points/82 games) last season — tied for 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.4

The Warriors have made 15.0 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.2

The Warriors have averaged 19.0 offensive rebounds per game (1,408 rebounds/74 games) this season — tied for 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 17.0

Memphis Grizzlies Offensive Stats & Trends

The Grizzlies had an eFG% of 51% last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 55%

The Grizzlies averaged 105.8 points per game (8,677 points/82 games) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 114.3

The Grizzlies shot 43% (1,551/3,600) at home last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 48%

The Grizzlies had a TS% of 48% last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 52%

Golden State Warriors Defensive Stats & Trends

The Warriors averaged 36.8 defensive rebounds per game (3,018 rebounds/82 games) last season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Warriors averaged 7.0 steals per game (572 steals/82 games) last season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Warriors have averaged 9.2 steals per game (681 steals/74 games) this season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.2

The Warriors have averaged 8.3 steals per game (650 steals/78 games) on the road since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.9

Memphis Grizzlies Defensive Stats & Trends

The Grizzlies forced 16.2 turnovers per game (663 turnovers/41 games) at home last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 13.6

The Grizzlies have averaged 6.1 blocks per game (479 blocks/78 games) on the road since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

The Grizzlies allowed opponents to shoot 41% (370/903) in close and late situations last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 46%

The Grizzlies averaged 6.1 blocks per game (501 blocks/82 games) last season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.