Warriors vs Grizzlies Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Feb. 2

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 02, 2024, 4:30 PM
  • The Warriors are -8.5 favorites vs. the Grizzlies
  • Total (Over/Under): 224.5 points
  • Watch the game on NBAt | BSSM | NSBA

The Golden State Warriors visit FedExForum to take on the Memphis Grizzlies on Friday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EST in Memphis, TN.

The Warriors are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -8.5 (-110).

The Warriors vs Grizzlies Over/Under is 224.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Warriors are 21-22 against the spread, while the Grizzlies are 23-25 against the spread.


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Warriors vs. Grizzlies Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Golden State Warriors-8.5 -110O 224.5 -110-350
Memphis Grizzlies +8.5 -110U 224.5 -110+280

Grizzlies vs Warriors Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Warriors will win Friday‘s game with 78.4% confidence, factoring in recent team & player performances for the Warriors and Grizzlies, plus player injuries and defensive & offensive matchups.

Grizzlies vs Warriors Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Warriors will cover the spread for Friday‘s game with 51.0% confidence.


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  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the 1H Moneyline in 21 of their last 30 away games (+16.35 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the Game Total Over in 24 of their last 35 games (+11.90 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 24 of their last 37 games (+9.70 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 12 of their last 17 away games (+8.75 Units / 41% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 18 of their last 27 games (+8.10 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 55 of their last 85 games (+21.80 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the 1H Moneyline in 9 of their last 12 games (+17.15 Units / 143% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the Team Total Under in 22 of their last 27 games at home (+16.40 Units / 53% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 23 games (+15.15 Units / 53% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 49 of their last 80 games (+14.65 Units / 16% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Warriors have gone 21-22 (-3.2 Units / -6.61% ROI).

  • 20-24 against the Moneyline (-9.35 Units / -10.99% ROI)
  • 27-17 against the Over for game total points (+8.3 Units / 17.17% ROI)
  • 17-27 against the Under for game total points (-12.75 Units / -26.32% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Grizzlies have gone 23-25 (-4.55 Units / -8.6% ROI).

  • 18-30 against the Moneyline (+2.75 Units / 4.8% ROI)
  • 19-29 against the Over for game total points (-12.9 Units / -24.43% ROI)
  • 29-19 against the Under for game total points (+8.1 Units / 15.34% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 30 of their last 85 games (-30.30 Units / -32% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the Team Total Over in 32 of their last 84 games (-27.55 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 31 of their last 80 games (-23.60 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only covered the 2Q Spread in 34 of their last 85 games (-21.05 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the Game Total Over in 34 of their last 84 games (-19.90 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only covered the 1H Spread in 28 of their last 78 games (-26.70 Units / -31% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only covered the 1Q Spread in 31 of their last 86 games (-26.40 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 37 of their last 85 games (-20.80 Units / -18% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only covered the 3Q Spread in 36 of their last 88 games (-20.50 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only covered the 4Q Spread in 20 of their last 57 games (-20.15 Units / -32% ROI)

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Golden State Warriors: Keys to the Game vs. the Memphis Grizzlies

The Warriors are 7-9 (.438) when attempting 25 or more free throws this season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .561

The Warriors were 1-16 (.059) when allowing an eFG of 60% or better last season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .188

The Warriors are 12-4 (.750) when shooting 40% or better from three this season — T-10th-best in the NBA. The Grizzlies have allowed opponents to shoot 38% from three this season — 7th-worst in the NBA.

The Warriors were 13-22 (.371) when allowing 15 or more second chance points last season — tied for 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .466

Memphis Grizzlies: Keys to the Game vs. the Golden State Warriors

The Grizzlies are winless (0-14) when allowing their opponent to shoot 50% or better from the field this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .228

The Grizzlies are 2-14 (.125) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three this season — tied for 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .330

The Grizzlies are 3-11 (.214) when allowing 15 or more three-pointers this season — 7th-worst in the NBA. The Warriors have made 15.0 three-pointers per game this season — T-2nd-highest in the NBA.

The Grizzlies were 26-11 (.703) when allowing 15 or more second chance points last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .466

Injury Report: Grizzlies vs. WarriorsFriday‘s Game, Feb. 2

  • Ja Morant (Memphis Grizzlies): Shoulder, Out For Season
  • Brandon Clarke (Memphis Grizzlies): Achilles, Out
  • Desmond Bane (Memphis Grizzlies): Ankle, Out
  • Steven Adams (Memphis Grizzlies): Knee, Out For Season
  • Jake LaRavia (Memphis Grizzlies): Ankle, Out
  • Vince Williams Jr. (Memphis Grizzlies): Knee, Game Time Decision
  • Marcus Smart (Memphis Grizzlies): Finger, Out
  • Luke Kennard (Memphis Grizzlies): Knee, Game Time Decision
  • John Konchar (Memphis Grizzlies): Ankle, Game Time Decision
  • Ziaire Williams (Memphis Grizzlies): Hand, Game Time Decision
  • Derrick Rose (Memphis Grizzlies): Hamstring, Game Time Decision
  • Chris Paul (Golden State Warriors): Hand, Out
  • Gary Payton II (Golden State Warriors): Hamstring, Out
  • Moses Moody (Golden State Warriors): Calf, Game Time Decision

Golden State Warriors Offensive Stats & Trends

The Warriors averaged 14.4 assists per game (1,181 assists/82 games) in the second half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.0

The Warriors made 16.6 three-pointers per game last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.3

The Warriors averaged 30.5 assists per game (1,250 assists/41 games) at home last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 25.6

The Warriors averaged 8.2 turnovers per game (673 turnovers/82 games) in the second half last season — highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.0

Memphis Grizzlies Offensive Stats & Trends

The Grizzlies had a TS% of 44% in close and late situations last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 49%

The Grizzlies are shooting 44% (1,861/4,244) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 48%

The Grizzlies are shooting 43% (832/1,944) at home this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 48%

The Grizzlies have averaged 1.18 points per shot (2,300 points/1,944 shots) at home this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.31

Golden State Warriors Defensive Stats & Trends

The Warriors averaged 3.9 blocks per game (323 blocks/82 games) last season — tied for 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Warriors have averaged 3.8 blocks per game (252 blocks/67 games) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

The Warriors have averaged 3.9 blocks per game (490 blocks/126 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8

The Warriors have averaged 3.8 blocks per game (167 blocks/44 games) this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.2

Memphis Grizzlies Defensive Stats & Trends

The Grizzlies averaged 5.8 blocks per game (473 blocks/82 games) last season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Grizzlies have blocked 302 shots this season — 3rd most among NBA teams

The Grizzlies have averaged 36.0 defensive rebounds per game (4,682 rebounds/130 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Grizzlies averaged 8.3 steals per game (680 steals/82 games) last season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.