Warriors vs Grizzlies Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Jan. 15

min read
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jan 15, 2024, 4:30 PM
  • The Warriors are -7.5 favorites vs. the Grizzlies
  • Total (Over/Under): 227.5 points
  • Watch the game on TNT | BSSM | NSBA

The Golden State Warriors visit FedExForum to take on the Memphis Grizzlies on Monday. Tipoff is scheduled for 6:00pm EST in Memphis, TN.

The Warriors are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -7.5 (-110).

The Warriors vs Grizzlies Over/Under is 226.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Warriors are 19-20 against the spread, while the Grizzlies are 16-23 against the spread.


Bet now on Grizzlies vs Warriors and all NBA games with BetMGM


Warriors vs. Grizzlies Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Golden State Warriors-7.5 -110O 226.5 -110-300
Memphis Grizzlies +7.5 -110U 226.5 -110+240

Grizzlies vs Warriors Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Warriors will win Monday‘s game with 75.0% confidence, factoring in recent team & player performances for the Warriors and Grizzlies, plus player injuries and defensive & offensive matchups.

Grizzlies vs Warriors Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Grizzlies will cover the spread for Monday‘s game with 51.2% confidence.


Bet now on Grizzlies vs Warriors and all NBA games with BetMGM


  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the 1H Moneyline in 28 of their last 45 away games (+17.30 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the Game Total Over in 21 of their last 30 games (+11.10 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 22 of their last 32 games (+11.10 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 15 of their last 21 games (+8.60 Units / 38% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have covered the 2Q Spread in 27 of their last 45 away games (+8.25 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the Team Total Under in 55 of their last 84 games (+22.10 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 52 of their last 81 games (+19.85 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the Game Total Under in 50 of their last 83 games (+14.80 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 49 of their last 83 games (+11.35 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 14 games (+9.20 Units / 47% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Warriors have gone 19-20 (-3 Units / -6.99% ROI).

  • 18-21 against the Moneyline (-6.2 Units / -8.14% ROI)
  • 24-15 against the Over for game total points (+7.5 Units / 17.5% ROI)
  • 15-24 against the Under for game total points (-11.45 Units / -26.66% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Grizzlies have gone 16-23 (-9.35 Units / -21.74% ROI).

  • 14-25 against the Moneyline (-3.2 Units / -6.62% ROI)
  • 16-23 against the Over for game total points (-9.3 Units / -21.68% ROI)
  • 23-16 against the Under for game total points (+5.4 Units / 12.59% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the Team Total Over in 29 of their last 84 games (-33.85 Units / -35% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 28 of their last 79 games (-29.85 Units / -30% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 31 of their last 85 games (-28.50 Units / -30% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only covered the 2Q Spread in 28 of their last 79 games (-28.05 Units / -32% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only covered the Spread in 33 of their last 84 games (-23.10 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only covered the 1Q Spread in 29 of their last 81 games (-25.10 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only covered the 3Q Spread in 36 of their last 92 games (-24.85 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 38 of their last 88 games (-23.80 Units / -19% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only covered the 1H Spread in 27 of their last 73 games (-23.30 Units / -29% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 34 of their last 81 games (-23.25 Units / -20% ROI)

Jump to:

Golden State Warriors: Keys to the Game vs. the Memphis Grizzlies

The Warriors were 1-16 (.059) when allowing an eFG of 60% or better last season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .188

The Warriors are 10-3 (.769) when shooting 40% or better from three this season — 10th-best in the NBA. The Grizzlies have allowed opponents to shoot 39% from three this season — 6th-worst in the NBA.

The Warriors were 26-6 (.812) when shooting 50% or better from the field last season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .733

The Warriors are 2-10 (.167) when allowing their opponent to shoot 50% or better from the field this season — tied for 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .216

Memphis Grizzlies: Keys to the Game vs. the Golden State Warriors

The Grizzlies are 4-8 (.333) when attempting 25 or more free throws this season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .570

The Grizzlies were 26-11 (.703) when allowing 15 or more second chance points last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .466

The Grizzlies are 5-6 (.455) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points this season — tied for 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .554

The Grizzlies were 40-15 (.727) when scoring 15 or more fastbreak points last season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .554

Injury Report: Grizzlies vs. WarriorsMonday‘s Game, Jan. 15

  • Ja Morant (Memphis Grizzlies): Suspension, Out
  • Brandon Clarke (Memphis Grizzlies): Achilles, Out
  • Steven Adams (Memphis Grizzlies): Knee, Out For Season
  • Jake LaRavia (Memphis Grizzlies): Eye, Out
  • Marcus Smart (Memphis Grizzlies): Foot, Out
  • Luke Kennard (Memphis Grizzlies): Knee, Out
  • Gary Payton II (Golden State Warriors): Calf, Out
  • Usman Garuba (Golden State Warriors): Finger, Out

Golden State Warriors Offensive Stats & Trends

The Warriors averaged 8.2 turnovers per game (673 turnovers/82 games) in the second half last season — highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.0

The Warriors made 16.6 three-pointers per game last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.3

The Warriors have averaged 5.3 fast break points per game (205 points/39 games) in the first half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.4

The Warriors averaged 29.8 assists per game (2,446 assists/82 games) last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 25.3

Memphis Grizzlies Offensive Stats & Trends

The Grizzlies had a TS% of 44% in close and late situations last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 49%

The Grizzlies are shooting 34% from three (520/1,533) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 37%

The Grizzlies averaged 58.3 points in the paint per game (4,784 points/82 games) last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 50.5

The Grizzlies had an eFG% of 47% in close and late situations last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 52%

Golden State Warriors Defensive Stats & Trends

The Warriors averaged 3.9 blocks per game (323 blocks/82 games) last season — tied for 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Warriors have averaged 36.3 defensive rebounds per game (4,387 rebounds/121 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Warriors have averaged 3.8 blocks per game (463 blocks/121 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8

The Warriors have averaged 3.6 blocks per game (140 blocks/39 games) this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.2

Memphis Grizzlies Defensive Stats & Trends

The Grizzlies have allowed a TS% of 43% in close and late situations this season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 50%

The Grizzlies have allowed an eFG% of 45% in close and late situations this season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 53%

The Grizzlies averaged 5.8 blocks per game (473 blocks/82 games) last season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Grizzlies allowed opponents to shoot 45% (3,340/7,365) last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 48%


Bet now on Grizzlies vs Warriors and all NBA games with BetMGM


Bet on NBA Odds at BetMGM

At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated NBA betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.

About the Author

BetMGM Betting

Read More @BETMGM

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.