Warriors vs Hawks Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Feb. 3

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 03, 2024, 4:32 PM
  • The Hawks are -2.5 favorites vs. the Warriors
  • Total (Over/Under): 246.5 points
  • Watch the game on BSSE | NSBA

The Golden State Warriors visit State Farm Arena to take on the Atlanta Hawks on Saturday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EST in Atlanta, GA.

The Hawks are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -1.5 (-105).

The Warriors vs Hawks Over/Under is 244.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Warriors are 22-22 against the spread, while the Hawks are 13-35 against the spread.


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Warriors vs. Hawks Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Golden State Warriors+1.5 -115O 244.5 -110+100
Atlanta Hawks -1.5 -105U 244.5 -110-120

Hawks vs Warriors Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Hawks will win Saturday‘s game with 57.7% confidence, factoring in recent team & player performances for the Warriors and Hawks, plus player injuries and defensive & offensive matchups.

Hawks vs Warriors Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Warriors will cover the spread for Saturday‘s game with 56.9% confidence.


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  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the 1H Moneyline in 22 of their last 31 away games (+17.35 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the Game Total Over in 24 of their last 36 games (+10.80 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 25 of their last 38 games (+10.70 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 13 of their last 18 away games (+9.75 Units / 42% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 19 of their last 28 games (+9.10 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 28 of their last 40 games at home (+15.95 Units / 36% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have hit the Game Total Over in 27 of their last 41 games at home (+11.60 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have hit the Team Total Over in 47 of their last 78 games (+11.10 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 16 of their last 21 games (+10.40 Units / 45% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 14 of their last 18 games at home (+9.90 Units / 41% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Warriors have gone 22-22 (-2.2 Units / -4.44% ROI).

  • 21-24 against the Moneyline (-8.35 Units / -9.49% ROI)
  • 27-18 against the Over for game total points (+7.2 Units / 14.56% ROI)
  • 18-27 against the Under for game total points (-11.75 Units / -23.71% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Hawks have gone 13-35 (-25.45 Units / -48.25% ROI).

  • 21-27 against the Moneyline (-12 Units / -15.32% ROI)
  • 26-21 against the Over for game total points (+2.9 Units / 5.49% ROI)
  • 21-26 against the Under for game total points (-7.6 Units / -14.39% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have only covered the Spread in 28 of their last 84 games (-33.55 Units / -36% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have only hit the Team Total Under in 32 of their last 80 games (-23.35 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have only covered the 3Q Spread in 11 of their last 42 games (-22.85 Units / -50% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 11 of their last 40 games at home (-20.45 Units / -45% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 20 of their last 63 games (-20.10 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only covered the 1Q Spread in 31 of their last 87 games (-27.45 Units / -29% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only covered the 1H Spread in 29 of their last 79 games (-25.70 Units / -30% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only covered the 3Q Spread in 36 of their last 88 games (-20.35 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 38 of their last 86 games (-19.80 Units / -17% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only covered the 4Q Spread in 21 of their last 58 games (-19.15 Units / -30% ROI)

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Golden State Warriors: Keys to the Game vs. the Atlanta Hawks

The Warriors were 13-22 (.371) when allowing 15 or more second chance points last season — tied for 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .466

The Warriors were 1-16 (.059) when allowing an eFG of 60% or better last season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .188

The Warriors are 10-14 (.417) when scoring 15 or more second chance points this season — tied for 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .565

The Warriors are 3-2 (.600) when turning the ball over fewer than 10 times since the start of the 2022-23 season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .559

Atlanta Hawks: Keys to the Game vs. the Golden State Warriors

The Hawks are 5-20 (.200) when losing the rebounding margin this season — T-5th-worst in the NBA. The Warriors have averaged 54.3 rebounds/game this season — 4th-highest in the NBA.

The Hawks were 8-1 (.889) when making 15 or more three-pointers last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .700

The Hawks are 11-14 (.440) when attempting 25 or more free throws this season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .563

The Hawks are 12-36 (.250) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three since the start of the 2022-23 season — T-9th-worst in the NBA. The Warriors have shot 38% from three since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd-best in the NBA.

Injury Report: Hawks vs. WarriorsSaturday‘s Game, Feb. 3

  • Mouhamed Gueye (Atlanta Hawks): Back, Out
  • Dejounte Murray (Atlanta Hawks): Hamstring, Game Time Decision
  • Vit Krejci (Atlanta Hawks): Shoulder, Out
  • Bruno Fernando (Atlanta Hawks): Back, Out
  • De’Andre Hunter (Atlanta Hawks): Knee, Game Time Decision
  • Chris Paul (Golden State Warriors): Hand, Out
  • Gary Payton II (Golden State Warriors): Hamstring, Out
  • Moses Moody (Golden State Warriors): Calf, Game Time Decision

Golden State Warriors Offensive Stats & Trends

The Warriors made 16.6 three-pointers per game last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.3

The Warriors averaged 14.4 assists per game (1,181 assists/82 games) in the second half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.0

The Warriors averaged 29.8 assists per game (2,446 assists/82 games) last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 25.3

The Warriors averaged 30.5 assists per game (1,250 assists/41 games) at home last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 25.6

Atlanta Hawks Offensive Stats & Trends

The Hawks are shooting 47% (2,086/4,481) this season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 48%

The Hawks averaged 1.28 points per shot (9,711 points/7,574 shots) last season — tied for 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.30

The Hawks have made 13.7 three-pointers per game this season — tied for 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.8

The Hawks have 24.9 free throw attempts per game this season — tied for 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 22.9

Golden State Warriors Defensive Stats & Trends

The Warriors have averaged 3.9 blocks per game (175 blocks/45 games) this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.2

The Warriors averaged 3.9 blocks per game (323 blocks/82 games) last season — tied for 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Warriors have averaged 36.0 defensive rebounds per game (1,621 rebounds/45 games) this season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.1

The Warriors have averaged 6.6 steals per game (299 steals/45 games) this season — tied for 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.4

Atlanta Hawks Defensive Stats & Trends

The Hawks have averaged 33.6 defensive rebounds per game (1,611 rebounds/48 games) this season — tied for 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.1

The Hawks have allowed opponents to shoot 42% from three (330/791) in the second half this season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 36%

The Hawks have averaged 7.9 steals per game (379 steals/48 games) this season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.4

The Hawks have allowed 18.2 fast break points per game (436 points/24 games) at home this season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 13.8


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.