Warriors vs Lakers Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Apr. 9

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Apr 09, 2024, 4:32 PM
  • The Lakers are -2.5 favorites vs. the Warriors
  • Total (Over/Under): 234.5 points
  • Watch the game on TNT

The Golden State Warriors visit Crypto.com Arena to take on the Los Angeles Lakers on Tuesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 10:00pm EDT in Los Angeles, CA.

The Lakers are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-110).

The Warriors vs Lakers Over/Under is 235.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Warriors are 42-35 against the spread, while the Lakers are 38-42 against the spread.


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Warriors vs. Lakers Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Golden State Warriors+2.5 -110O 235.5 -110+125
Los Angeles Lakers -2.5 -110U 235.5 -110-150

Lakers vs Warriors Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Lakers will win Tuesday‘s game with 56.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Warriors and Lakers.

Lakers vs Warriors Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Warriors will cover the spread for Tuesday‘s game with 51.7% confidence.


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  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the 1H Moneyline in 27 of their last 41 away games (+14.75 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 19 away games (+12.20 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have covered the Spread in 26 of their last 39 away games (+11.70 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 42 of their last 71 games (+10.00 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the Game Total Under in 23 of their last 35 games (+9.80 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 63 of their last 98 games (+22.90 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the Moneyline in 21 of their last 30 games (+21.50 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 37 of their last 58 games (+13.75 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the Game Total Over in 35 of their last 56 games (+13.00 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the 1H Moneyline in 24 of their last 40 games (+10.65 Units / 15% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Warriors have gone 42-35 (+3.5 Units / 4.08% ROI).

  • 43-35 against the Moneyline (-8.3 Units / -4.83% ROI)
  • 39-39 against the Over for game total points (-3.9 Units / -4.55% ROI)
  • 39-39 against the Under for game total points (-3.9 Units / -4.55% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Lakers have gone 38-42 (-8.2 Units / -9.32% ROI).

  • 46-34 against the Moneyline (+15.65 Units / 9.33% ROI)
  • 44-35 against the Over for game total points (+5.5 Units / 6.25% ROI)
  • 35-44 against the Under for game total points (-13.35 Units / -15.18% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 35 of their last 98 games (-36.85 Units / -33% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 29 of their last 78 games (-24.90 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 38 of their last 92 games (-22.60 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have only covered the 1H Spread in 42 of their last 98 games (-21.65 Units / -19% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the Game Total Under in 24 of their last 64 games (-18.85 Units / -27% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only covered the 4Q Spread in 39 of their last 91 games (-20.65 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 30 of their last 75 games (-20.55 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only hit the Game Total Over in 12 of their last 35 games (-13.30 Units / -35% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only covered the 1H Spread in 42 of their last 90 games (-12.85 Units / -12% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 26 of their last 60 games (-12.25 Units / -18% ROI)

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Golden State Warriors: Keys to the Game vs. the Los Angeles Lakers

The Warriors are 27-4 (.871) when shooting 40% or better from three this season — 2nd-best in the NBA. The Lakers have allowed opponents to shoot 37% from three this season — T-8th-worst in the NBA.

The Warriors were 2-21 (.087) when allowing their opponent to shoot 50% or better from the field last season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .263

The Warriors are 22-2 (.917) when shooting 50% or better from the field this season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .792

The Warriors are 8-16 (.333) when their opponent attempts 25 or more free throws this season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .447

Los Angeles Lakers: Keys to the Game vs. the Golden State Warriors

The Lakers were 20-11 (.645) when scoring 15 or more second chance points last season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .531

The Lakers are winless (0-7) when scoring fewer than 100 points since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .093

The Lakers are 11-5 (.688) when scoring 15 or more second chance points this season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .550

The Lakers are 14-4 (.778) when making 15 or more three-pointers this season — 5th-best in the NBA. The Warriors have allowed 13.4 made three-pointers per game this season — T-9th-worst in the NBA.

Injury Report: Lakers vs. WarriorsTuesday‘s Game, Apr. 9

  • Gabe Vincent (Los Angeles Lakers): Knee, Out
  • Cam Reddish (Los Angeles Lakers): Ankle, Out
  • Jarred Vanderbilt (Los Angeles Lakers): Foot, Out
  • Christian Wood (Los Angeles Lakers): Knee, Out
  • Chris Paul (Golden State Warriors): Hand, Out

Golden State Warriors Offensive Stats & Trends

The Warriors averaged 8.2 turnovers per game (673 turnovers/82 games) in the second half last season — highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.0

The Warriors had 20.2 free throw attempts per game last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 23.5

The Warriors averaged 30.5 assists per game (1,250 assists/41 games) at home last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 25.6

The Warriors averaged 29.2 assists per game (1,196 assists/41 games) on the road last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 25.0

Los Angeles Lakers Offensive Stats & Trends

The Lakers have averaged 4.7 second chance points per game (370 points/79 games) in the second half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.1

The Lakers have averaged 30.1 points in the paint per game (2,374 points/79 games) in the first half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 25.4

The Lakers have averaged 16.8 fast break points per game (2,699 points/161 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.3

The Lakers have averaged 10.1 second chance points per game (415 points/41 games) at home this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.9

Golden State Warriors Defensive Stats & Trends

The Warriors averaged 3.9 blocks per game (323 blocks/82 games) last season — tied for 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Warriors averaged 36.6 defensive rebounds per game (2,999 rebounds/82 games) last season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Warriors have averaged 36.7 defensive rebounds per game (2,866 rebounds/78 games) this season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Warriors have averaged 4.4 blocks per game (341 blocks/78 games) this season — tied for 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1

Los Angeles Lakers Defensive Stats & Trends

The Lakers averaged 38.0 defensive rebounds per game (3,116 rebounds/82 games) last season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Lakers have averaged 37.7 defensive rebounds per game (6,062 rebounds/161 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3

The Lakers have averaged 37.3 defensive rebounds per game (2,946 rebounds/79 games) this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Lakers have averaged 5.6 blocks per game (442 blocks/79 games) this season — tied for 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.