Warriors vs Magic Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Mar. 27

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 27, 2024, 4:30 PM
  • The Magic are -4.5 favorites vs. the Warriors
  • Total (Over/Under): 216.5 points
  • Watch the game on BSFL | NSBA

The Golden State Warriors visit Kia Center to take on the Orlando Magic on Wednesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:00pm EDT in Orlando, FL.

The Magic are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-110).

The Warriors vs Magic Over/Under is 218.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Warriors are 38-32 against the spread, while the Magic are 47-24 against the spread.


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Warriors vs. Magic Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Golden State Warriors+4.5 -110O 218.5 -115+155
Orlando Magic -4.5 -110U 218.5 -105-190

Magic vs Warriors Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Magic will win Wednesday‘s game with 63.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Warriors and Magic.

Magic vs Warriors Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Magic will cover the spread for Wednesday‘s game with 51.0% confidence.


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  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the 1H Moneyline in 28 of their last 44 away games (+15.50 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have covered the Spread in 23 of their last 34 away games (+10.90 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have covered the 3Q Spread in 12 of their last 15 away games (+9.45 Units / 53% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 38 of their last 64 games (+9.40 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the Game Total Under in 19 of their last 28 games (+9.10 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Orlando Magic have covered the Spread in 47 of their last 71 games (+20.60 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Orlando Magic have hit the Moneyline in 40 of their last 67 games (+18.40 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Orlando Magic have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 48 of their last 78 games (+15.70 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Orlando Magic have hit the 1H Moneyline in 20 of their last 25 games (+14.65 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Orlando Magic have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 33 of their last 50 games (+13.30 Units / 23% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Warriors have gone 38-32 (+2.8 Units / 3.59% ROI).

  • 37-34 against the Moneyline (-13.65 Units / -9.28% ROI)
  • 36-35 against the Over for game total points (-2.5 Units / -3.2% ROI)
  • 35-36 against the Under for game total points (-4.6 Units / -5.89% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Magic have gone 47-24 (+20.6 Units / 26.38% ROI).

  • 42-29 against the Moneyline (+18.4 Units / 14.27% ROI)
  • 32-38 against the Over for game total points (-9.8 Units / -12.55% ROI)
  • 38-32 against the Under for game total points (+2.8 Units / 3.59% ROI)
  • The Orlando Magic have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 28 of their last 78 games (-26.65 Units / -30% ROI)
  • The Orlando Magic have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 31 of their last 77 games (-21.30 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Orlando Magic have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 17 of their last 50 games (-20.55 Units / -36% ROI)
  • The Orlando Magic have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 24 of their last 62 games (-18.60 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Orlando Magic have only hit the Team Total Over in 18 of their last 49 games (-17.35 Units / -30% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only covered the 4Q Spread in 36 of their last 84 games (-19.10 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 27 of their last 68 games (-18.90 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only hit the Moneyline in 40 of their last 79 games (-18.05 Units / -11% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only hit the Team Total Under in 21 of their last 58 games (-15.50 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only covered the 1H Spread in 41 of their last 90 games (-14.70 Units / -14% ROI)

Jump to:

Golden State Warriors: Keys to the Game vs. the Orlando Magic

Keys to the game – away

Orlando Magic: Keys to the Game vs. the Golden State Warriors

The Magic are 4-11 (.267) when allowing 15 or more three-pointers this season — 9th-worst in the NBA. The Warriors have made 14.8 three-pointers per game this season — 2nd-highest in the NBA.

The Magic are 24-10 (.706) when they win the turnover margin this season — 7th-best in the NBA. The Warriors have averaged 14.2 turnovers per game this season — T-8th-highest in the NBA.

The Magic were 4-24 (.143) when allowing their opponent to shoot 50% or better from the field last season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .263

The Magic were 20-22 (.476) when attempting 25 or more free throws last season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .543

Injury Report: Magic vs. WarriorsWednesday‘s Game, Mar. 27

  • Markelle Fultz (Orlando Magic): Knee, Out
  • Chris Paul (Golden State Warriors): Hand, Out

Golden State Warriors Offensive Stats & Trends

The Warriors averaged 30.5 assists per game (1,250 assists/41 games) at home last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 25.6

The Warriors averaged 14.4 assists per game (1,181 assists/82 games) in the second half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.0

The Warriors averaged 29.8 assists per game (2,446 assists/82 games) last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 25.3

The Warriors averaged 8.2 turnovers per game (673 turnovers/82 games) in the second half last season — highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.0

Orlando Magic Offensive Stats & Trends

The Magic had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.4 (892 assists/ 619 TOs) on the road last season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Magic averaged 21.8 assists per game (892 assists/41 games) on the road last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 25.0

The Magic have made 11.0 three-pointers per game this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.8

The Magic have a 29% free throw rate (3,801 free throw attempts/13,104 field goal attempts) since the start of the 2022-23 season — highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 26%

Golden State Warriors Defensive Stats & Trends

The Warriors averaged 36.6 defensive rebounds per game (2,999 rebounds/82 games) last season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Warriors have averaged 36.6 defensive rebounds per game (2,596 rebounds/71 games) this season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Warriors have averaged 6.8 steals per game (482 steals/71 games) this season — tied for 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.4

The Warriors have averaged 4.3 blocks per game (324 blocks/75 games) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8

Orlando Magic Defensive Stats & Trends

The Magic have allowed 11.2 second chance points per game (391 points/35 games) at home this season — 2nd best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 13.6

The Magic have averaged 8.1 steals per game (574 steals/71 games) this season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.4

The Magic have 1,177 steals since the start of the 2022-23 season — 10th most among NBA teams

The Magic have averaged 34.5 defensive rebounds per game (2,451 rebounds/71 games) this season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.