Warriors vs Raptors Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Mar. 1

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 01, 2024, 4:30 PM
  • The Warriors are -3.5 favorites vs. the Raptors
  • Total (Over/Under): 237.5 points
  • Watch the game on NSBA | TSN

The Golden State Warriors visit Scotiabank Arena to take on the Toronto Raptors on Friday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EST in Toronto, ON.

The Warriors are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-115).

The Warriors vs Raptors Over/Under is 237.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Warriors are 32-25 against the spread, while the Raptors are 28-30 against the spread.


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Warriors vs. Raptors Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Golden State Warriors-2.5 -115O 237.5 -115-150
Toronto Raptors +2.5 -105U 237.5 -105+125

Raptors vs Warriors Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Warriors will win Friday‘s game with 65.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Warriors and Raptors.

Raptors vs Warriors Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Raptors will cover the spread for Friday‘s game with 62.5% confidence.


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  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the 1H Moneyline in 28 of their last 39 away games (+23.05 Units / 38% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 34 of their last 51 games (+15.25 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 19 of their last 26 games (+14.70 Units / 43% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have covered the 3Q Spread in 20 of their last 26 games (+14.40 Units / 50% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 26 of their last 40 games (+10.65 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have hit the Team Total Under in 24 of their last 35 games at home (+11.40 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 43 of their last 72 games (+11.05 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 44 of their last 75 games (+9.90 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 34 of their last 58 games (+7.65 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have hit the Game Total Under in 12 of their last 16 games at home (+7.60 Units / 43% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Warriors have gone 32-25 (+4.5 Units / 7.05% ROI).

  • 31-27 against the Moneyline (-1.4 Units / -1.21% ROI)
  • 30-28 against the Over for game total points (-0.8 Units / -1.25% ROI)
  • 28-30 against the Under for game total points (-5.05 Units / -7.91% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Raptors have gone 28-30 (-5 Units / -7.7% ROI).

  • 22-37 against the Moneyline (-20.1 Units / -22.92% ROI)
  • 31-27 against the Over for game total points (+1.3 Units / 2% ROI)
  • 27-31 against the Under for game total points (-7.05 Units / -10.87% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have only hit the Moneyline in 32 of their last 79 games (-25.25 Units / -16% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 32 of their last 78 games (-18.60 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 32 of their last 77 games (-17.75 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 24 of their last 64 games (-17.70 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have only hit the Team Total Over in 11 of their last 35 games at home (-16.40 Units / -41% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only covered the 4Q Spread in 26 of their last 71 games (-21.80 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 18 of their last 53 games (-19.80 Units / -34% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 27 of their last 71 games (-18.90 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only covered the 1H Spread in 39 of their last 91 games (-17.80 Units / -18% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 14 of their last 40 games (-15.05 Units / -34% ROI)

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Golden State Warriors: Keys to the Game vs. the Toronto Raptors

The Warriors were 7-11 (.389) when attempting 25 or more free throws last season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .543

The Warriors were 1-16 (.059) when allowing an eFG of 60% or better last season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .188

The Warriors are 16-4 (.800) when shooting 40% or better from three this season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .675

The Warriors were 24-11 (.686) when scoring more second chance points than their opponent last season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .544

Toronto Raptors: Keys to the Game vs. the Golden State Warriors

The Raptors are 4-17 (.190) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points since the start of the 2022-23 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .451

The Raptors were undefeated (8-0) when making 15 or more three-pointers last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .700

The Raptors are 4-23 (.148) when allowing their opponent to shoot 50% or better from the field this season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .220

The Raptors were 18-19 (.486) when attempting 25 or more free throws last season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .543

Injury Report: Raptors vs. WarriorsFriday‘s Game, Mar. 1

  • Markquis Nowell (Toronto Raptors): Hamstring, Game Time Decision
  • RJ Barrett (Toronto Raptors): Knee, Out
  • Chris Paul (Golden State Warriors): Hand, Out

Golden State Warriors Offensive Stats & Trends

The Warriors averaged 14.4 assists per game (1,181 assists/82 games) in the second half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.0

The Warriors made 16.6 three-pointers per game last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.3

The Warriors averaged 8.2 turnovers per game (673 turnovers/82 games) in the second half last season — highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.0

The Warriors averaged 16.3 turnovers per game (1,336 turnovers/82 games) last season — highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.1

Toronto Raptors Offensive Stats & Trends

The Raptors have averaged 17.7 fast break points per game (2,409 points/136 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.1

The Raptors averaged 11.7 turnovers per game (956 turnovers/82 games) last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.1

The Raptors are shooting 33% from three (276/832) at home this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 37%

The Raptors had an assist to turnover ratio of 2.1 (987 assists/ 480 TOs) on the road last season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

Golden State Warriors Defensive Stats & Trends

The Warriors have averaged 36.7 defensive rebounds per game (1,870 rebounds/51 games) this season — tied for 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.1

The Warriors have averaged 4.1 blocks per game (211 blocks/51 games) this season — 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.2

The Warriors averaged 36.6 defensive rebounds per game (2,999 rebounds/82 games) last season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Warriors have averaged 3.7 blocks per game (254 blocks/68 games) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

Toronto Raptors Defensive Stats & Trends

The Raptors stole the ball 772 times last season — most among NBA teams

The Raptors averaged 9.4 steals per game (772 steals/82 games) last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3

The Raptors averaged 31.9 defensive rebounds per game (2,615 rebounds/82 games) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Raptors have averaged 32.7 defensive rebounds per game (4,451 rebounds/136 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.