Warriors vs Spurs Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Mar. 31

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 31, 2024, 4:31 PM
  • The Warriors are -8.5 favorites vs. the Spurs
  • Total (Over/Under): 226.5 points
  • Watch the game on NBAt | BSSW | NSBA

The Golden State Warriors visit Frost Bank Center to take on the San Antonio Spurs on Sunday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:00pm EDT in San Antonio, TX.

The Warriors are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -9.5 (-110).

The Warriors vs Spurs Over/Under is 226.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Warriors are 40-32 against the spread, while the Spurs are 38-36 against the spread.


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Warriors vs. Spurs Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Golden State Warriors-9.5 -110O 226.5 -110-400
San Antonio Spurs +9.5 -110U 226.5 -110+310

Spurs vs Warriors Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Warriors will win Sunday‘s game with 78.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Warriors and Spurs.

Spurs vs Warriors Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Warriors will cover the spread for Sunday‘s game with 56.4% confidence.


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  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the 1H Moneyline in 30 of their last 46 away games (+17.70 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have covered the Spread in 25 of their last 36 away games (+12.90 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 16 away games (+11.30 Units / 36% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the Game Total Under in 21 of their last 30 games (+11.10 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 39 of their last 66 games (+9.30 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 40 of their last 80 games (+20.45 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 30 of their last 52 games (+15.95 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 15 games (+12.90 Units / 77% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have covered the 4Q Spread in 33 of their last 52 games (+12.05 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have hit the Game Total Under in 27 of their last 43 games (+11.60 Units / 25% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Warriors have gone 40-32 (+4.8 Units / 5.98% ROI).

  • 39-34 against the Moneyline (-11.2 Units / -7.2% ROI)
  • 36-37 against the Over for game total points (-4.7 Units / -5.85% ROI)
  • 37-36 against the Under for game total points (-2.6 Units / -3.24% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Spurs have gone 38-36 (-1.6 Units / -1.97% ROI).

  • 18-56 against the Moneyline (-15.45 Units / -19.64% ROI)
  • 35-37 against the Over for game total points (-5.7 Units / -7% ROI)
  • 37-35 against the Under for game total points (-1.5 Units / -1.84% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have only covered the 2Q Spread in 29 of their last 76 games (-24.65 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 23 of their last 76 games (-21.90 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 32 of their last 77 games (-19.95 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have only covered the 3Q Spread in 31 of their last 77 games (-19.85 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 29 of their last 75 games (-18.60 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only covered the 4Q Spread in 37 of their last 86 games (-19.25 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 28 of their last 70 games (-19.05 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 22 of their last 55 games (-15.10 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 30 games (-14.10 Units / -43% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only covered the 1H Spread in 42 of their last 91 games (-13.85 Units / -13% ROI)

Jump to:

Golden State Warriors: Keys to the Game vs. the San Antonio Spurs

The Warriors were 2-21 (.087) when allowing their opponent to shoot 50% or better from the field last season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .263

The Warriors were 1-16 (.059) when allowing an eFG of 60% or better last season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .188

The Warriors are 3-27 (.100) when allowing an eFG of 60% or better since the start of the 2022-23 season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .169

The Warriors are 27-36 (.429) when their opponent attempts 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2022-23 season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .452

San Antonio Spurs: Keys to the Game vs. the Golden State Warriors

The Spurs are 1-10 (.091) when scoring fewer than 10 fastbreak points this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .395

The Spurs were winless (0-36) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .297

The Spurs were 1-44 (.022) when allowing their opponent to shoot 50% or better from the field last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .263

The Spurs are 3-19 (.136) when their opponents turns the ball fewer than 10 times since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .425

Injury Report: Spurs vs. WarriorsSunday‘s Game, Mar. 31

  • Marcus Morris Sr. (San Antonio Spurs): Not Injury Related, Out
  • Charles Bassey (San Antonio Spurs): Knee, Out For Season
  • Chris Paul (Golden State Warriors): Hand, Out

Golden State Warriors Offensive Stats & Trends

The Warriors made 16.6 three-pointers per game last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.3

The Warriors averaged 30.5 assists per game (1,250 assists/41 games) at home last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 25.6

The Warriors averaged 8.2 turnovers per game (673 turnovers/82 games) in the second half last season — highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.0

The Warriors averaged 22% free throw attempts for every field goal attempt (1,655 free throw attempts/7,393 field goal attempts) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 27%

San Antonio Spurs Offensive Stats & Trends

The Spurs averaged 1.19 points per shot (4,551 points/3,809 shots) on the road last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.28

The Spurs had 21.2 free throw attempts per game last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 23.5

The Spurs have averaged 1.23 points per shot (17,571 points/14,296 shots) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.29

The Spurs have averaged 29.8 assists per game (2,202 assists/74 games) this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 26.7

Golden State Warriors Defensive Stats & Trends

The Warriors averaged 3.9 blocks per game (323 blocks/82 games) last season — tied for 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Warriors have averaged 4.4 blocks per game (319 blocks/73 games) this season — tied for 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1

The Warriors have averaged 36.7 defensive rebounds per game (2,679 rebounds/73 games) this season — tied for 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Warriors have averaged 4.1 blocks per game (642 blocks/155 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

San Antonio Spurs Defensive Stats & Trends

The Spurs allowed an eFG% of 59% on the road last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 55%

The Spurs allowed opponents to shoot 51% (3,780/7,460) last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 48%

The Spurs allowed opponents to shoot 39% from three (1,036/2,651) last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 36%

The Spurs allowed 123.1 points per game (10,092 points/82 games) last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 114.7


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