Warriors vs Timberwolves Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Mar. 24

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 24, 2024, 4:30 PM
  • The Timberwolves are -2.5 favorites vs. the Warriors
  • Total (Over/Under): 218.5 points
  • Watch the game on BSN | NSBA

The Golden State Warriors visit Target Center to take on the Minnesota Timberwolves on Sunday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:00pm EDT in Minneapolis, MN.

The Timberwolves are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-105).

The Warriors vs Timberwolves Over/Under is 220.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Warriors are 37-31 against the spread, while the Timberwolves are 36-33 against the spread.


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Warriors vs. Timberwolves Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Golden State Warriors+2.5 -115O 220.5 -110+110
Minnesota Timberwolves -2.5 -105U 220.5 -110-135

Timberwolves vs Warriors Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Timberwolves will win Sunday‘s game with 61.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Warriors and Timberwolves.

Timberwolves vs Warriors Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Warriors will cover the spread for Sunday‘s game with 52.4% confidence.


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  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the 1H Moneyline in 27 of their last 42 away games (+16.25 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have covered the Spread in 22 of their last 32 away games (+11.00 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have covered the 3Q Spread in 11 of their last 13 away games (+9.75 Units / 64% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 37 of their last 62 games (+9.55 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the Game Total Under in 18 of their last 26 games (+9.20 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 28 of their last 37 games at home (+18.50 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 31 of their last 44 games (+17.05 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have covered the 3Q Spread in 49 of their last 80 games (+14.60 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 50 of their last 85 games (+14.55 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 50 of their last 85 games (+10.70 Units / 11% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Warriors have gone 37-31 (+2.9 Units / 3.82% ROI).

  • 36-33 against the Moneyline (-13.65 Units / -9.48% ROI)
  • 35-34 against the Over for game total points (-2.4 Units / -3.16% ROI)
  • 34-35 against the Under for game total points (-4.5 Units / -5.93% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Timberwolves have gone 36-33 (-0.4 Units / -0.52% ROI).

  • 48-22 against the Moneyline (+5.15 Units / 2.4% ROI)
  • 35-35 against the Over for game total points (-3.5 Units / -4.55% ROI)
  • 35-35 against the Under for game total points (-3.5 Units / -4.55% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 32 of their last 85 games (-27.80 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 31 of their last 85 games (-25.90 Units / -27% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 34 of their last 85 games (-22.95 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 38 of their last 75 games (-21.20 Units / -13% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the Moneyline in 27 of their last 39 games at home (-20.45 Units / -12% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only covered the 4Q Spread in 35 of their last 82 games (-18.80 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 26 of their last 66 games (-18.75 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only hit the Moneyline in 39 of their last 77 games (-18.05 Units / -11% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only covered the 1H Spread in 40 of their last 90 games (-16.70 Units / -16% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only hit the Team Total Under in 21 of their last 56 games (-13.20 Units / -21% ROI)

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Golden State Warriors: Keys to the Game vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves

The Warriors were 24-11 (.686) when scoring more second chance points than their opponent last season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .544

The Warriors were 26-6 (.812) when shooting 50% or better from the field last season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .733

The Warriors are winless (0-12) when shooting 40% or worse from the field since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .114

The Warriors were 6-23 (.207) when allowing 15 or more three-pointers last season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .298

Minnesota Timberwolves: Keys to the Game vs. the Golden State Warriors

The Timberwolves are winless (0-3) when shooting 40% or worse from the field since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .114

The Timberwolves are 20-1 (.952) when scoring 15 or more fastbreak points this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .561

The Timberwolves were 14-17 (.452) when scoring 15 or more second chance points last season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .531

The Timberwolves are 37-10 (.787) when scoring 110 or more points this season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .654

Injury Report: Timberwolves vs. WarriorsSunday‘s Game, Mar. 24

  • Rudy Gobert (Minnesota Timberwolves): Ankle, Game Time Decision
  • Jaylen Clark (Minnesota Timberwolves): Achilles, Out
  • Chris Paul (Golden State Warriors): Hand, Out

Golden State Warriors Offensive Stats & Trends

The Warriors made 16.6 three-pointers per game last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.3

The Warriors averaged 29.8 assists per game (2,446 assists/82 games) last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 25.3

The Warriors averaged 30.5 assists per game (1,250 assists/41 games) at home last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 25.6

The Warriors averaged 14.4 assists per game (1,181 assists/82 games) in the second half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.0

Minnesota Timberwolves Offensive Stats & Trends

The Timberwolves have averaged 14.2 turnovers per game (994 turnovers/70 games) this season — tied for 8th highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.6

The Timberwolves averaged 1.32 points per shot (9,494 points/7,167 shots) last season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.30

The Timberwolves shot 49% (3,515/7,167) last season — tied for 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 48%

The Timberwolves have an eFG% of 50% in close and late situations this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 53%

Golden State Warriors Defensive Stats & Trends

The Warriors averaged 3.9 blocks per game (323 blocks/82 games) last season — tied for 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Warriors have averaged 36.5 defensive rebounds per game (5,518 rebounds/151 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Warriors averaged 36.6 defensive rebounds per game (2,999 rebounds/82 games) last season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Warriors have averaged 4.3 blocks per game (316 blocks/73 games) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8

Minnesota Timberwolves Defensive Stats & Trends

The Timberwolves have allowed an eFG% of 51% this season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 55%

The Timberwolves have allowed an eFG% of 49% at home this season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 54%

The Timberwolves have allowed 103.0 points per game (3,400 points/33 games) at home this season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 113.5

The Timberwolves have allowed 51.2 points per game (3,587 points/70 games) in the second half this season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 56.7


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