Wizards vs Bulls Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Mar. 16

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 16, 2024, 5:31 PM
  • The Bulls are -10.5 favorites vs. the Wizards
  • Total (Over/Under): 225.5 points
  • Watch the game on NBCH | MNMT

The Washington Wizards visit United Center to take on the Chicago Bulls on Saturday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EDT in Chicago, IL.

The Bulls are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -10.5 (-105).

The Wizards vs Bulls Over/Under is 222.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Wizards are 30-35 against the spread, while the Bulls are 33-32 against the spread.


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Wizards vs. Bulls Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Washington Wizards+10.5 -115O 222.5 -110+375
Chicago Bulls -10.5 -105U 222.5 -110-500

Bulls vs Wizards Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Bulls will win Saturday‘s game with 87.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Wizards and Bulls.

Bulls vs Wizards Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Wizards will cover the spread for Saturday‘s game with 51.0% confidence.


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  • The Washington Wizards have covered the 4Q Spread in 26 of their last 39 games (+12.00 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have covered the 1Q Spread in 45 of their last 76 games (+11.75 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have hit the Team Total Under in 25 of their last 37 games (+11.35 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 15 of their last 25 games (+9.55 Units / 38% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have hit the 1H Moneyline in 13 of their last 32 away games (+9.25 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Chicago Bulls have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 24 of their last 35 games at home (+12.60 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Chicago Bulls have hit the Moneyline in 27 of their last 48 games (+11.30 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Chicago Bulls have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 46 of their last 78 games (+11.30 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Chicago Bulls have hit the Team Total Over in 21 of their last 30 games (+10.35 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Chicago Bulls have covered the 2Q Spread in 21 of their last 32 games (+8.30 Units / 22% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Wizards have gone 30-35 (-8.5 Units / -11.71% ROI).

  • 11-55 against the Moneyline (-36.4 Units / -52.91% ROI)
  • 32-33 against the Over for game total points (-4.3 Units / -5.92% ROI)
  • 33-32 against the Under for game total points (-2.2 Units / -3.03% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Bulls have gone 33-32 (-2.2 Units / -2.99% ROI).

  • 32-35 against the Moneyline (+0.15 Units / 0.16% ROI)
  • 35-30 against the Over for game total points (+2 Units / 2.71% ROI)
  • 30-35 against the Under for game total points (-8.5 Units / -11.53% ROI)
  • The Chicago Bulls have only covered the 1Q Spread in 32 of their last 83 games (-25.95 Units / -27% ROI)
  • The Chicago Bulls have only hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 30 of their last 78 games (-22.95 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Chicago Bulls have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 31 of their last 75 games (-18.00 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Chicago Bulls have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 29 of their last 74 games (-17.45 Units / -19% ROI)
  • The Chicago Bulls have only hit the Team Total Under in 19 of their last 51 games (-16.10 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have only hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 72 games (-39.90 Units / -53% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have only hit the Team Total Over in 23 of their last 59 games (-19.45 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 25 of their last 60 games (-15.80 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 34 of their last 78 games (-12.95 Units / -14% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have only covered the 2Q Spread in 1 of their last 12 games (-11.50 Units / -84% ROI)

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Washington Wizards: Keys to the Game vs. the Chicago Bulls

The Wizards are 2-27 (.069) when allowing 15 or more fastbreak points this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .440

The Wizards are winless (0-28) when allowing an eFG of 60% or better since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .180

The Wizards are 1-26 (.037) when allowing their opponent to shoot 50% or better from the field this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .220

The Wizards are 4-43 (.085) when allowing 110 or more points this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .358

Chicago Bulls: Keys to the Game vs. the Washington Wizards

The Bulls are winless (0-12) when allowing an eFG of 60% or better this season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .169

The Bulls are 1-24 (.040) when allowing an eFG of 60% or better since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .180

The Bulls are 8-15 (.348) when their opponent attempts 25 or more free throws this season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .438

The Bulls are 2-15 (.118) when allowing their opponent to shoot 50% or better from the field this season — 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .220

Injury Report: Bulls vs. WizardsSaturday‘s Game, Mar. 16

  • Torrey Craig (Chicago Bulls): Knee, Out
  • Lonzo Ball (Chicago Bulls): Knee, Out For Season
  • Zach LaVine (Chicago Bulls): Foot, Out For Season
  • Patrick Williams (Chicago Bulls): Foot, Out For Season
  • Isaiah Livers (Washington Wizards): Hip, Out
  • Deni Avdija (Washington Wizards): Heel, Out

Washington Wizards Offensive Stats & Trends

The Wizards have averaged 9.3 fast break points per game (492 points/53 games) in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 6.8

The Wizards have averaged 18.9 fast break points per game (510 points/27 games) on the road this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.9

The Wizards have averaged 29.3 points in the paint per game (1,552 points/53 games) in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 24.9

The Wizards have averaged 4.9 second chance points per game (262 points/53 games) in the first half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 6.8

Chicago Bulls Offensive Stats & Trends

The Bulls have averaged 21.1 points in the paint per game (1,142 points/54 games) in the first half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 25.6

The Bulls have averaged 5.5 turnovers per game (296 turnovers/54 games) in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 6.7

The Bulls averaged 4.9 second chance points per game (400 points/82 games) in the first half last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 6.7

The Bulls have averaged 12.3 turnovers per game (665 turnovers/54 games) this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.6

Washington Wizards Defensive Stats & Trends

The Wizards have allowed 17.1 second chance points per game (906 points/53 games) this season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 13.9

The Wizards have allowed 18.9 offensive rebounds per game (1,000 rebounds/53 games) this season — 2nd highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 16.5

The Wizards have allowed 19.2 second chance points per game (499 points/26 games) at home this season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 13.8

The Wizards have averaged 33.8 defensive rebounds per game (1,789 rebounds/53 games) this season — 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.1

Chicago Bulls Defensive Stats & Trends

The Bulls averaged 36.1 defensive rebounds per game (2,958 rebounds/82 games) last season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Bulls averaged 7.9 steals per game (644 steals/82 games) last season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3

The Bulls stole the ball 644 times last season — 7th most among NBA teams

The Bulls have averaged 7.8 steals per game (1,062 steals/136 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.