Wizards vs Grizzlies Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Mar. 12

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 12, 2024, 5:30 PM
  • The Wizards are -1.5 favorites vs. the Grizzlies
  • Total (Over/Under): 220.5 points
  • Watch the game on BSSM | MNMT

The Washington Wizards visit FedExForum to take on the Memphis Grizzlies on Tuesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EDT in Memphis, TN.

The Wizards are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-110).

The Wizards vs Grizzlies Over/Under is 218.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Wizards are 30-33 against the spread, while the Grizzlies are 31-34 against the spread.


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Wizards vs. Grizzlies Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Washington Wizards-2.5 -110O 218.5 -105-145
Memphis Grizzlies +2.5 -110U 218.5 -115+120

Grizzlies vs Wizards Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Wizards will win Tuesday‘s game with 60.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Wizards and Grizzlies.

Grizzlies vs Wizards Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Wizards will cover the spread for Tuesday‘s game with 51.8% confidence.


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  • The Washington Wizards have covered the 1Q Spread in 44 of their last 74 games (+11.90 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have hit the 1H Moneyline in 13 of their last 30 away games (+11.55 Units / 38% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have hit the Team Total Under in 24 of their last 35 games (+11.50 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have covered the 4Q Spread in 25 of their last 37 games (+11.00 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 14 of their last 23 games (+9.55 Units / 41% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 49 of their last 73 games (+22.80 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the Team Total Under in 28 of their last 37 games at home (+17.80 Units / 42% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the Game Total Under in 26 of their last 37 games at home (+13.90 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 40 games (+13.75 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 33 of their last 53 games (+12.60 Units / 21% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Wizards have gone 30-33 (-6.3 Units / -8.95% ROI).

  • 11-53 against the Moneyline (-34.1 Units / -51.28% ROI)
  • 31-32 against the Over for game total points (-4.2 Units / -5.97% ROI)
  • 32-31 against the Under for game total points (-2.1 Units / -2.98% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Grizzlies have gone 31-34 (-6.4 Units / -8.95% ROI).

  • 22-43 against the Moneyline (+1.35 Units / 1.78% ROI)
  • 29-36 against the Over for game total points (-10.6 Units / -14.83% ROI)
  • 36-29 against the Under for game total points (+4.1 Units / 5.73% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 30 of their last 87 games (-33.30 Units / -34% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only covered the 2Q Spread in 34 of their last 87 games (-25.60 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the Team Total Over in 32 of their last 80 games (-23.60 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 31 of their last 80 games (-22.70 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the Game Total Over in 12 of their last 39 games at home (-17.70 Units / -41% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have only hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 70 games (-37.60 Units / -52% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have only hit the Team Total Over in 22 of their last 57 games (-19.30 Units / -29% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 24 of their last 58 games (-15.65 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 26 of their last 61 games (-13.05 Units / -19% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 33 of their last 76 games (-12.75 Units / -15% ROI)

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Washington Wizards: Keys to the Game vs. the Memphis Grizzlies

The Wizards are 2-27 (.069) when allowing 15 or more fastbreak points this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .440

The Wizards are winless (0-4) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .538

The Wizards are 4-31 (.114) when allowing 15 or more second chance points this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .440

The Wizards are winless (0-28) when allowing an eFG of 60% or better since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .180

Memphis Grizzlies: Keys to the Game vs. the Washington Wizards

The Grizzlies were 26-11 (.703) when allowing 15 or more second chance points last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .466

The Grizzlies are winless (0-18) when allowing their opponent to shoot 50% or better from the field this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .220

The Grizzlies are winless (0-12) when allowing an eFG of 60% or better this season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .169

The Grizzlies are 2-17 (.105) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .325

Injury Report: Grizzlies vs. WizardsTuesday‘s Game, Mar. 12

  • Ja Morant (Memphis Grizzlies): Shoulder, Out For Season
  • Brandon Clarke (Memphis Grizzlies): Achilles, Out
  • Desmond Bane (Memphis Grizzlies): Ankle, Out
  • Marcus Smart (Memphis Grizzlies): Finger, Out
  • Scotty Pippen Jr. (Memphis Grizzlies): Back, Out
  • Isaiah Livers (Washington Wizards): Hip, Out
  • Deni Avdija (Washington Wizards): Heel, Out

Washington Wizards Offensive Stats & Trends

The Wizards have averaged 18.9 fast break points per game (510 points/27 games) on the road this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.9

The Wizards have averaged 9.3 fast break points per game (492 points/53 games) in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 6.8

The Wizards have averaged 4.9 second chance points per game (262 points/53 games) in the first half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 6.8

The Wizards are shooting 33% from three (290/871) in the second half this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 37%

Memphis Grizzlies Offensive Stats & Trends

The Grizzlies had a TS% of 44% in close and late situations last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 49%

The Grizzlies are shooting 44% (2,091/4,767) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 48%

The Grizzlies are shooting 43% (943/2,203) at home this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 48%

The Grizzlies have averaged 103.9 points per game (2,598 points/25 games) at home this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 116.7

Washington Wizards Defensive Stats & Trends

The Wizards have allowed 17.1 second chance points per game (906 points/53 games) this season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 13.9

The Wizards have allowed 19.2 second chance points per game (499 points/26 games) at home this season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 13.8

The Wizards averaged 36.0 defensive rebounds per game (2,956 rebounds/82 games) last season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Wizards blocked 425 shots last season — tied for 8th most among NBA teams

Memphis Grizzlies Defensive Stats & Trends

The Grizzlies averaged 36.9 defensive rebounds per game (3,022 rebounds/82 games) last season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Grizzlies have averaged 6.1 blocks per game (331 blocks/54 games) this season — tied for 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.2

The Grizzlies blocked 473 shots last season — 3rd most among NBA teams

The Grizzlies have blocked 331 shots this season — 3rd most among NBA teams


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.