Wizards vs Hawks Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Jan. 13

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jan 13, 2024, 4:30 PM
  • The Hawks are -7.5 favorites vs. the Wizards
  • Total (Over/Under): 251.5 points
  • Watch the game on MNMT | BSSE

The Washington Wizards visit State Farm Arena to take on the Atlanta Hawks on Saturday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EST in Atlanta, GA.

The Hawks are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -6.5 (-115).

The Wizards vs Hawks Over/Under is 248.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Wizards are 17-19 against the spread, while the Hawks are 9-28 against the spread.


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Wizards vs. Hawks Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Washington Wizards+6.5 -105O 248.5 -110+220
Atlanta Hawks -6.5 -115U 248.5 -110-275

Hawks vs Wizards Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Hawks will win Saturday‘s game with 74.4% confidence, factoring in recent team & player performances for the Wizards and Hawks, plus player injuries and defensive & offensive matchups.

Hawks vs Wizards Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Hawks will cover the spread for Saturday‘s game with 51.9% confidence.


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  • The Washington Wizards have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 49 of their last 75 games (+20.55 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have covered the 1Q Spread in 47 of their last 75 games (+16.50 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 38 of their last 77 games (+14.55 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have hit the 1H Moneyline in 21 of their last 47 games (+11.90 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 23 of their last 37 away games (+7.40 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have hit the Game Total Over in 51 of their last 83 games (+16.90 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 28 of their last 40 games at home (+14.35 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have hit the Team Total Over in 42 of their last 67 games (+12.95 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 21 of their last 29 games at home (+12.50 Units / 39% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 22 of their last 32 games at home (+12.10 Units / 34% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Wizards have gone 17-19 (-3.95 Units / -9.69% ROI).

  • 6-31 against the Moneyline (-22.2 Units / -59.12% ROI)
  • 20-16 against the Over for game total points (+2.35 Units / 5.77% ROI)
  • 16-20 against the Under for game total points (-6 Units / -14.76% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Hawks have gone 9-28 (-21.7 Units / -53.45% ROI).

  • 15-22 against the Moneyline (-11.85 Units / -20.14% ROI)
  • 22-14 against the Over for game total points (+6.6 Units / 16.22% ROI)
  • 14-22 against the Under for game total points (-10.2 Units / -25.06% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have only covered the Spread in 24 of their last 73 games (-29.80 Units / -37% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have only hit the Game Total Under in 31 of their last 83 games (-25.10 Units / -27% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have only hit the Team Total Under in 34 of their last 84 games (-23.70 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have only hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 33 of their last 83 games (-23.60 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have only hit the Moneyline in 35 of their last 80 games (-22.90 Units / -15% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 25 of their last 75 games (-29.45 Units / -35% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have only hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 57 games (-28.40 Units / -39% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have only covered the 3Q Spread in 26 of their last 69 games (-18.15 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 23 of their last 68 games (-17.25 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 10 of their last 42 games (-16.70 Units / -39% ROI)

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Washington Wizards: Keys to the Game vs. the Atlanta Hawks

The Wizards are 1-19 (.050) when allowing 15 or more fastbreak points this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .446

The Wizards are winless (0-3) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points this season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .557

The Wizards are 4-26 (.133) when losing the rebounding margin this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .373

The Wizards are 1-21 (.045) when allowing their opponent to shoot 50% or better from the field this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .216

Atlanta Hawks: Keys to the Game vs. the Washington Wizards

The Hawks are 5-9 (.357) when their opponent attempts 25 or more free throws this season — tied for 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .434

The Hawks were 18-27 (.400) when allowing 15 or more fastbreak points last season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .442

The Hawks were 14-14 (.500) when attempting 25 or more free throws last season — tied for 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .543

The Hawks were undefeated (19-0) when forcing an eFG of 50% or worse last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .777

Injury Report: Hawks vs. WizardsSaturday‘s Game, Jan. 13

  • Jalen Johnson (Atlanta Hawks): Wrist, Out
  • Mouhamed Gueye (Atlanta Hawks): Back, Out
  • Kobe Bufkin (Atlanta Hawks): Thumb, Out
  • Ryan Rollins (Washington Wizards): Knee, Game Time Decision
  • Johnny Davis (Washington Wizards): Calf, Out
  • Landry Shamet (Washington Wizards): Ribs, Game Time Decision
  • Delon Wright (Washington Wizards): Knee, Out

Washington Wizards Offensive Stats & Trends

The Wizards have averaged 10.4 second chance points per game (384 points/37 games) this season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.1

The Wizards have averaged 9.6 fast break points per game (357 points/37 games) in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 6.7

The Wizards have averaged 29.3 points in the paint per game (1,084 points/37 games) in the second half this season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 24.8

The Wizards have averaged 13.6 offensive rebounds per game (503 rebounds/37 games) this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 16.8

Atlanta Hawks Offensive Stats & Trends

The Hawks averaged 118.4 points per game (9,711 points/82 games) last season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 114.7

The Hawks have averaged 18.9 offensive rebounds per game (701 rebounds/37 games) this season — tied for 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 16.8

The Hawks shot 35% from three (882/2,505) last season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The Hawks have averaged 15.8 second chance points per game (586 points/37 games) this season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.1

Washington Wizards Defensive Stats & Trends

The Wizards have allowed 9.3 second chance points per game (344 points/37 games) in the second half this season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 7.2

The Wizards averaged 6.8 steals per game (561 steals/82 games) last season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3

The Wizards have averaged 32.8 defensive rebounds per game (1,214 rebounds/37 games) this season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.1

The Wizards have allowed 125.9 points per game (4,660 points/37 games) this season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 115.7

Atlanta Hawks Defensive Stats & Trends

The Hawks have allowed an eFG% of 58% this season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 55%

The Hawks have averaged 4.6 blocks per game (169 blocks/37 games) this season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.2

The Hawks have averaged 34.4 defensive rebounds per game (4,088 rebounds/119 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Hawks have averaged 33.1 defensive rebounds per game (1,226 rebounds/37 games) this season — tied for 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.1


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.