Wizards vs Heat Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Mar. 10

• The – are favorites vs. the –
• Total (Over/Under): Total points
• Watch the game on FSUN | MNMT

The Washington Wizards visit Kaseya Center to take on the Miami Heat on Tuesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:30 pm in Miami, FL.

The – are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at ().

The Wizards vs Heat Over/Under is total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Wizards are 26-37 against the spread, while the Heat are 38-26 against the spread.

Bet now on Heat vs Wizards and all NBA games with BetMGM

Wizards vs. Heat Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

Heat vs Wizards Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Heat will win Tuesday‘s game with 79.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Wizards and Heat.

Heat vs Wizards Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Wizards will cover the spread for Tuesday‘s game with 70.0% confidence.

Bet now on Heat vs Wizards and all NBA games with BetMGM

Wizards Best Bets for Tonight:

• The Washington Wizards have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 18 of their last 40 away games (+10.80 Units / 27% ROI)
• The Washington Wizards have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 20 of their last 30 away games (+8.25 Units / 24% ROI)
• The Washington Wizards have hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 40 away games (+6.65 Units / 17% ROI)
• The Washington Wizards have hit the Game Total Over in 12 of their last 17 games (+6.50 Units / 35% ROI)
• The Washington Wizards have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 12 of their last 17 games (+6.35 Units / 32% ROI)

Heat Best Bets for Tonight:

• The Miami Heat have covered the 1H Spread in 33 of their last 50 games (+15.80 Units / 27% ROI)
• The Miami Heat have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 33 of their last 50 games (+14.45 Units / 20% ROI)
• The Miami Heat have hit the 1H Moneyline in 29 of their last 45 games at home (+11.25 Units / 14% ROI)
• The Miami Heat have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 11 of their last 12 games (+11.00 Units / 57% ROI)
• The Miami Heat have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 26 of their last 40 games at home (+9.95 Units / 22% ROI)

Washington Wizards Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:

Against the spread this NBA season, the Wizards have gone 26-37 (-14.65 Units / -21.16% ROI).

• 16-47 against the Moneyline (-3.05 Units / -4.69% ROI)
• 34-29 against the Over for game total points (+2.1 Units / 3.03% ROI)
• 29-34 against the Under for game total points (-8.4 Units / -12.12% ROI)

Miami Heat Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:

Against the spread this NBA season, the Heat have gone 38-26 (+9.4 Units / 13.14% ROI).

• 36-29 against the Moneyline (+4.1 Units / 3.39% ROI)
• 33-30 against the Over for game total points (+0 Units / 0% ROI)
• 30-33 against the Under for game total points (-6.3 Units / -8.81% ROI)

Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Heat:

• The Miami Heat have only hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 14 of their last 40 games at home (-15.90 Units / -35% ROI)
• The Miami Heat have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 12 of their last 35 games (-14.20 Units / -36% ROI)
• The Miami Heat have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 18 of their last 45 games at home (-13.25 Units / -25% ROI)
• The Miami Heat have only hit the 2H Game Total Under in 18 of their last 45 games at home (-12.94 Units / -25% ROI)
• The Miami Heat have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 2 of their last 11 games (-11.65 Units / -68% ROI)

Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Wizards:

• The Washington Wizards have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 15 of their last 40 away games (-13.60 Units / -30% ROI)
• The Washington Wizards have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 21 of their last 50 games (-12.80 Units / -22% ROI)
• The Washington Wizards have only covered the Spread in 15 of their last 40 away games (-12.45 Units / -28% ROI)
• The Washington Wizards have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 4 of their last 24 away games (-12.40 Units / -52% ROI)
• The Washington Wizards have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 2 of their last 17 games (-11.20 Units / -63% ROI)

Jump to:

• Keys to Winning for the Washington Wizards
• Keys to Winning for the Miami Heat
• Player Injuries for Washington Wizards vs. Miami Heat
• Washington Wizards Offensive stats
• Miami Heat Offensive stats
• Washington Wizards Defensive stats
• Miami Heat Defensive stats

Washington Wizards: Keys to the Game vs. the Miami Heat

The Wizards are 20-66 (.233) when scoring 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .546

The Wizards are 23-115 (.167) when allowing 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .454

The Wizards are 19-93 (.170) when their opponent attempts 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .448

The Wizards are 2-23 (.080) when forcing fewer than 5 steals since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .388

Miami Heat: Keys to the Game vs. the Washington Wizards

The Heat are 5-17 (.227) when they lose the turnover margin this season — 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .395

The Heat are 20-10 (.667) when shooting 80% or better from the free throw line this season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .526

The Heat are 50-29 (.633) when scoring 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2023-24 season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .546

The Heat were 33-8 (.805) when scoring 110 or more points in the 2023-24 season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .659

Washington Wizards Offensive Stats & Trends

The Wizards averaged 17.6 fast break points per game (1,442 points/82 games) in the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.4

The Wizards averaged 28.4 points in the paint per game (2,330 points/82 games) in the second half in the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 24.6

The Wizards shot 34% from three (473/1,396) in the second half in the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The Wizards averaged 19.2 fast break points per game (788 points/41 games) on the road in the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.0

Miami Heat Offensive Stats & Trends

The Heat have averaged 19.3 fast break points per game (617 points/32 games) at home this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 15.2

The Heat have averaged 61.8 points per game (3,954 points/64 games) in the first half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 58.0

The Heat have averaged 120.2 points per game (7,692 points/64 games) this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 115.2

The Heat have averaged 10.3 fast break points per game (660 points/64 games) in the first half this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.0

Washington Wizards Defensive Stats & Trends

The Wizards allowed 17.5 second chance points per game (716 points/41 games) at home in the 2023-24 season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 13.6

The Wizards allowed 16.4 second chance points per game (1,345 points/82 games) in the 2023-24 season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 13.8

The Wizards have averaged 5.9 blocks per game (370 blocks/63 games) this season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

The Wizards have allowed 18.8 offensive rebounds per game (4,271 rebounds/227 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 17.0

Miami Heat Defensive Stats & Trends

The Heat averaged 3.8 blocks per game (314 blocks/82 games) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

The Heat have averaged 3.8 blocks per game (435 blocks/114 games) on the road since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

The Heat have averaged 3.8 blocks per game (875 blocks/228 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.0

The Heat averaged 3.4 blocks per game (280 blocks/82 games) in the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1

Bet now on Heat vs Wizards and all NBA games with BetMGM

Bet on NBA Odds at BetMGM

At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated NBA betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.