Wizards vs Mavericks Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Feb. 12

  • The Mavericks are -14.5 favorites vs. the Wizards
  • Total (Over/Under): 247.5 points
  • Watch the game on MNMT | BSW+

The Washington Wizards visit American Airlines Center to take on the Dallas Mavericks on Monday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:30pm EST in Dallas, TX.

The Mavericks are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -11.5 (-110).

The Wizards vs Mavericks Over/Under is 247.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Wizards are 24-27 against the spread, while the Mavericks are 28-25 against the spread.


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Wizards vs. Mavericks Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Washington Wizards+11.5 -110O 247.5 -110+525
Dallas Mavericks -11.5 -110U 247.5 -110-750

Mavericks vs Wizards Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Mavericks will win Monday‘s game with 95.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Wizards and Mavericks.

Mavericks vs Wizards Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Mavericks will cover the spread for Monday‘s game with 52.4% confidence.


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  • The Washington Wizards have hit the 1H Moneyline in 11 of their last 22 away games (+13.85 Units / 63% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 17 of their last 27 games (+13.50 Units / 49% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have hit the Team Total Under in 18 of their last 23 games (+12.25 Units / 46% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have covered the 1Q Spread in 47 of their last 79 games (+12.20 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 11 of their last 20 away games (+11.85 Units / 59% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 28 of their last 39 games (+15.75 Units / 37% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 27 of their last 38 games at home (+15.00 Units / 36% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have covered the 1H Spread in 24 of their last 34 games (+13.00 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 27 of their last 41 games at home (+11.90 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the Team Total Over in 36 of their last 58 games (+10.70 Units / 16% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Wizards have gone 24-27 (-5.7 Units / -9.97% ROI).

  • 9-43 against the Moneyline (-29.95 Units / -55.62% ROI)
  • 24-27 against the Over for game total points (-5.8 Units / -10.12% ROI)
  • 27-24 against the Under for game total points (+0.6 Units / 1.05% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Mavericks have gone 28-25 (+0.55 Units / 0.95% ROI).

  • 30-23 against the Moneyline (+0.3 Units / 0.32% ROI)
  • 27-25 against the Over for game total points (-0.5 Units / -0.86% ROI)
  • 25-27 against the Under for game total points (-4.6 Units / -7.9% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the Moneyline in 37 of their last 77 games (-32.00 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 12 of their last 35 games at home (-20.40 Units / -42% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 11 of their last 39 games (-20.30 Units / -47% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 36 of their last 77 games (-19.95 Units / -16% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only covered the 3Q Spread in 12 of their last 41 games at home (-19.40 Units / -42% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have only hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 72 games (-36.15 Units / -41% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 13 of their last 57 games (-24.60 Units / -42% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have only covered the 3Q Spread in 19 of their last 57 games (-20.30 Units / -33% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 29 of their last 74 games (-19.65 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have only hit the Team Total Over in 33 of their last 77 games (-18.10 Units / -20% ROI)

Jump to:

Washington Wizards: Keys to the Game vs. the Dallas Mavericks

The Wizards are 2-26 (.071) when allowing 15 or more fastbreak points this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .438

The Wizards are 4-31 (.114) when allowing 15 or more second chance points this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .438

The Wizards are 2-17 (.105) when they lose the turnover margin this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .459

The Wizards are winless (0-28) when allowing an eFG of 60% or better since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .181

Dallas Mavericks: Keys to the Game vs. the Washington Wizards

The Mavericks are 18-4 (.818) when shooting 40% or better from three this season — tied for 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .671

The Mavericks were 22-32 (.407) when scoring fewer second chance points than their opponent last season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .456

The Mavericks are 4-11 (.267) when scoring fewer than 10 fastbreak points this season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .418

The Mavericks are 4-10 (.286) when their opponents turns the ball fewer than 10 times since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .441

Injury Report: Mavericks vs. WizardsMonday‘s Game, Feb. 12

  • Dante Exum (Dallas Mavericks): Knee, Game Time Decision
  • Derrick Jones Jr. (Dallas Mavericks): Wrist, Game Time Decision
  • Kyrie Irving (Dallas Mavericks): Thumb, Game Time Decision
  • Isaiah Livers (Washington Wizards): Hip, Game Time Decision

Washington Wizards Offensive Stats & Trends

The Wizards have averaged 18.8 fast break points per game (490 points/26 games) on the road this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.9

The Wizards have averaged 9.3 fast break points per game (484 points/52 games) in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 6.8

The Wizards have averaged 11.3 second chance points per game (588 points/52 games) this season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.9

The Wizards are shooting 34% from three (286/851) in the second half this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 37%

Dallas Mavericks Offensive Stats & Trends

The Mavericks have averaged 42.4 points in the paint per game (2,796 points/66 games) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 50.2

The Mavericks have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.8 (149 assists/ 54 TOs) in close and late situations this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Mavericks averaged 42.8 points in the paint per game (3,510 points/82 games) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 50.5

The Mavericks have averaged 44.0 points in the paint per game (5,940 points/135 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 50.5

Washington Wizards Defensive Stats & Trends

The Wizards have allowed 19.2 second chance points per game (499 points/26 games) at home this season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 13.8

The Wizards have allowed 18.9 offensive rebounds per game (981 rebounds/52 games) this season — 2nd highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 16.5

The Wizards have averaged 33.6 defensive rebounds per game (1,746 rebounds/52 games) this season — 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.1

The Wizards averaged 36.0 defensive rebounds per game (2,956 rebounds/82 games) last season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

Dallas Mavericks Defensive Stats & Trends

The Mavericks have averaged 6.4 steals per game (864 steals/135 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3

The Mavericks averaged 33.8 defensive rebounds per game (2,774 rebounds/82 games) last season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Mavericks averaged 3.7 blocks per game (304 blocks/82 games) last season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Mavericks averaged 6.3 steals per game (514 steals/82 games) last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3


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Our BetMGM editors and authors are sports experts with a wealth of knowledge of the sports industry at all levels. Their coverage includes sports news, previews and predictions, fun facts, and betting.