Wizards vs Spurs Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Jan. 29

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jan 29, 2024, 4:31 PM
  • The Spurs are -3.5 favorites vs. the Wizards
  • Total (Over/Under): 240.5 points
  • Watch the game on BSSW | MNMT

The Washington Wizards visit Frost Bank Center to take on the San Antonio Spurs on Monday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EST in San Antonio, TX.

The Spurs are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-115).

The Wizards vs Spurs Over/Under is 241.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Wizards are 21-23 against the spread, while the Spurs are 23-23 against the spread.


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Wizards vs. Spurs Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Washington Wizards+3.5 -105O 241.5 -110+140
San Antonio Spurs -3.5 -115U 241.5 -110-165

Spurs vs Wizards Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Spurs will win Monday‘s game with 61.2% confidence, factoring in recent team & player performances for the Wizards and Spurs, plus player injuries and defensive & offensive matchups.

Spurs vs Wizards Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Wizards will cover the spread for Monday‘s game with 55.3% confidence.


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  • The Washington Wizards have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 48 of their last 78 games (+15.30 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have covered the 1Q Spread in 44 of their last 73 games (+12.45 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have hit the 1H Moneyline in 10 of their last 20 away games (+9.85 Units / 49% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 23 of their last 35 away games (+9.70 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 10 of their last 18 away games (+9.55 Units / 53% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have hit the Game Total Over in 24 of their last 32 games at home (+15.20 Units / 43% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 41 of their last 65 games (+14.55 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 32 of their last 68 games (+13.80 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have hit the Team Total Over in 21 of their last 29 games at home (+11.60 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 34 of their last 55 games (+11.00 Units / 18% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Wizards have gone 21-23 (-4.3 Units / -8.69% ROI).

  • 8-37 against the Moneyline (-25.3 Units / -54% ROI)
  • 22-22 against the Over for game total points (-2.25 Units / -4.54% ROI)
  • 22-22 against the Under for game total points (-2.2 Units / -4.45% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Spurs have gone 23-23 (-2.2 Units / -4.36% ROI).

  • 10-36 against the Moneyline (-17.85 Units / -36.88% ROI)
  • 26-19 against the Over for game total points (+5.1 Units / 10.08% ROI)
  • 19-26 against the Under for game total points (-9.6 Units / -18.97% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 41 games (-23.15 Units / -54% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have only covered the 3Q Spread in 30 of their last 78 games (-21.65 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 27 of their last 71 games (-21.45 Units / -27% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the Game Total Under in 24 of their last 65 games (-20.00 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 13 of their last 51 games (-19.25 Units / -37% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have only hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 65 games (-31.50 Units / -38% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 29 of their last 78 games (-24.10 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 26 of their last 76 games (-18.50 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 13 of their last 50 games (-17.60 Units / -34% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have only covered the 3Q Spread in 31 of their last 77 games (-16.35 Units / -19% ROI)

Jump to:

Washington Wizards: Keys to the Game vs. the San Antonio Spurs

The Wizards are 1-23 (.042) when allowing 15 or more fastbreak points this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .442

The Wizards are 1-14 (.067) when they lose the turnover margin this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .463

The Wizards are 1-24 (.040) when allowing their opponent to shoot 50% or better from the field this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .226

The Wizards were winless (0-13) when allowing an eFG of 60% or better last season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .188

San Antonio Spurs: Keys to the Game vs. the Washington Wizards

The Spurs were winless (0-36) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .297

The Spurs were 1-44 (.022) when allowing their opponent to shoot 50% or better from the field last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .263

The Spurs are 4-14 (.222) when allowing 15 or more fastbreak points this season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .442

The Spurs were winless (0-35) when allowing an eFG of 60% or better last season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .188

Injury Report: Spurs vs. WizardsMonday‘s Game, Jan. 29

  • Sir’Jabari Rice (San Antonio Spurs): Undisclosed, Game Time Decision
  • Ryan Rollins (Washington Wizards): Knee, Game Time Decision
  • Johnny Davis (Washington Wizards): Calf, Out
  • Landry Shamet (Washington Wizards): Ribs, Game Time Decision
  • Delon Wright (Washington Wizards): Knee, Out

Washington Wizards Offensive Stats & Trends

The Wizards have averaged 4.9 second chance points per game (221 points/45 games) in the first half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 6.8

The Wizards have averaged 17.4 fast break points per game (781 points/45 games) this season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.3

The Wizards have averaged 13.9 offensive rebounds per game (627 rebounds/45 games) this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 16.7

The Wizards have averaged 55.6 points in the paint per game (2,500 points/45 games) this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 50.5

San Antonio Spurs Offensive Stats & Trends

The Spurs averaged 1.22 points per shot (9,269 points/7,593 shots) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.30

The Spurs are shooting 33% from three (285/856) in the second half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The Spurs have averaged 1.24 points per shot (7,065 points/5,709 shots) in the second half since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.32

The Spurs have averaged 1.20 points per shot (7,191 points/6,000 shots) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.28

Washington Wizards Defensive Stats & Trends

The Wizards have allowed 17.2 second chance points per game (774 points/45 games) this season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 14.0

The Wizards have allowed 19.2 second chance points per game (403 points/21 games) at home this season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 13.8

The Wizards have allowed 9.0 second chance points per game (404 points/45 games) in the second half this season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 7.1

The Wizards have allowed 19.1 offensive rebounds per game (861 rebounds/45 games) this season — 2nd highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 16.7

San Antonio Spurs Defensive Stats & Trends

The Spurs allowed opponents to shoot 51% (1,820/3,571) in the second half last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 47%

The Spurs allowed a TS% of 54% in the second half last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 51%

The Spurs allowed opponents to shoot 39% from three (1,036/2,651) last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 36%

The Spurs averaged 33.9 defensive rebounds per game (2,781 rebounds/82 games) last season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.