Air Force vs Colorado State Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Jan. 16

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jan 16, 2024, 12:20 PM
  • Colorado State (9-5) is a -15.5 point favorite vs Air Force (5-10)
  • Total (Over/Under): 135.5 points
  • Air Force / Colorado State TV channel: ESPN+

The Air Force Falcons (5-10) visit Moby Arena to take on the Colorado State Rams (9-5) on Jan. 16. Tip off is scheduled for 9:00pm EST in Fort Collins, CO.

Colorado State is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -15.5 (-105).

The Air Force vs. Colorado State Over/Under is 135.5 total points.

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Air Force vs. Colorado State Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Air Force+15.5 -115O 135.5 -115+900
Colorado State -15.5 -105U 135.5 -105-1600

Air Force vs Colorado State Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Colorado State will win this college basketball game with 95.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Air Force vs Colorado State Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Colorado State will cover the spread with 51.1% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Air Force has hit the Game Total Over in 17 of their last 29 games (+3.80 Units / 12% ROI)
  • Air Force have covered the 1H Spread in 8 of their last 13 away games (+2.30 Units / 16% ROI)
  • Air Force has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 16 of their last 29 games (+1.00 Units / 3% ROI)
  • Colorado State has hit the Game Total Over in 11 of their last 15 games at home (+6.60 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Colorado State has hit the Team Total Under in 18 of their last 28 games (+6.45 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Colorado State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 17 of their last 28 games (+4.30 Units / 13% ROI)
  • Colorado State have covered the 1H Spread in 16 of their last 28 games (+2.00 Units / 6% ROI)

Air Force Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Air Force has a 5-10 record against the spread this college basketball season (-6 Units / -100% ROI).

  • 7-8 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.9 Units / -100% ROI
  • 9-6 when betting the Over for +2.4 Units / 86.96% ROI
  • 6-9 when betting the Under for -3.9 Units / -100% ROI

Colorado State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Colorado State has a 7-7 record against the spread this college basketball season (-0.7 Units / -100% ROI).

  • 8-5 when betting on the Moneyline for +2 Units / -100% ROI
  • 6-7 when betting the Over for -1.75 Units / 86.96% ROI
  • 7-6 when betting the Under for +0.4 Units / -100% ROI

Air Force Offensive Stats & Trends:

Air Force has averaged 67.4 points per game (1,011 points/15 games) this season — lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 76.1

Air Force has averaged 7.0 offensive rebounds per game (331 rebounds/47 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 9.3

Air Force has averaged 67.1 points per game (3,153 points/47 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 73.2

Air Force is shooting 36% from three (385/1,077) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 4th best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 35%

Colorado State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Colorado State has an eFG% of 59% this season — best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 53%

Colorado State has a TS% of 54% this season — best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 49%

Colorado State has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.8 (316 assists/ 171 TOs) this season — tied for 6th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.1

Colorado State has averaged 1.43 points per shot (1,307 points/913 shots) this season — best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 1.32

Air Force Defensive Stats & Trends:

Air Force has allowed 5.7 made three-pointers per game since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 7.1

Air Force has averaged 23.2 defensive rebounds per game (1,089 rebounds/47 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 25.4

Air Force has averaged 23.6 defensive rebounds per game (354 rebounds/15 games) this season — lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 25.8

Air Force has allowed an average of 1.25 points per shot (1,005 points/801 shots) this season — tied for highest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 1.19

Colorado State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Colorado State has forced 13.1 turnovers per game (210 turnovers/16 games) this season — 5th best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 13.0

Colorado State has allowed opponents to shoot 32% from three (105/327) this season — 5th highest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 32%

Colorado State has allowed opponents to shoot 43% (399/920) this season — 5th highest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 43%

Colorado State has allowed opponents to shoot 35% from three (400/1,137) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd highest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 33%


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.