Air Force vs New Mexico Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Mar. 13

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(AP Photo)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 13, 2024, 9:49 AM
  • New Mexico (19-11) is a -15.5 point favorite vs Air Force (10-20)
  • Total (Over/Under): 144.5 points
  • Air Force / New Mexico TV channel: ESPN+

The Air Force Falcons (10-20) visit Thomas & Mack Center to take on the New Mexico Lobos (19-11) on Mar. 13. Tip off is scheduled for 7:00pm EDT in Las Vegas, NV.

New Mexico is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -15.5 (-115).

The Air Force vs. New Mexico Over/Under is 144.5 total points.

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Air Force vs. New Mexico Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Air Force+15.5 -105O 144.5 -110+1050
New Mexico -15.5 -115U 144.5 -110-2500

Air Force vs New Mexico Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts New Mexico will win this college basketball game with 93.7% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Air Force vs New Mexico Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts New Mexico will cover the spread with 52.5% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Air Force has hit the Game Total Over in 18 of their last 22 games (+13.65 Units / 57% ROI)
  • Air Force has hit the 1H Moneyline in 7 of their last 12 away games (+11.70 Units / 94% ROI)
  • Air Force has hit the Moneyline in 2 of their last 7 away games (+10.20 Units / 146% ROI)
  • Air Force has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 15 of their last 22 games (+7.00 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Air Force has hit the Team Total Over in 8 of their last 11 away games (+4.60 Units / 36% ROI)
  • New Mexico have covered the 1H Spread in 19 of their last 31 games (+6.40 Units / 18% ROI)
  • New Mexico has hit the Game Total Over in 18 of their last 31 games (+3.70 Units / 11% ROI)
  • New Mexico have covered the Spread in 11 of their last 18 games at home (+3.30 Units / 17% ROI)
  • New Mexico has hit the Team Total Under in 11 of their last 18 games at home (+2.85 Units / 14% ROI)
  • New Mexico has hit the 1H Moneyline in 22 of their last 31 games (+2.45 Units / 2% ROI)

Air Force Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Air Force has a 10-20 record against the spread this college basketball season (-12 Units / -36.36% ROI).

  • 9-21 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.85 Units / -8.74% ROI
  • 21-9 when betting the Over for +11.15 Units / 33.94% ROI
  • 9-21 when betting the Under for -14.2 Units / -42.84% ROI

New Mexico Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

New Mexico has a 17-13 record against the spread this college basketball season (+2.7 Units / 8.18% ROI).

  • 19-11 when betting on the Moneyline for -26.85 Units / -14.72% ROI
  • 18-12 when betting the Over for +4.8 Units / 14.55% ROI
  • 12-18 when betting the Under for -7.8 Units / -23.64% ROI

Air Force Offensive Stats & Trends:

Air Force has averaged 67.9 points per game (1,494 points/22 games) this season — lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 75.2

Air Force is shooting 46% (524/1,147) this season — tied for 4th lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 47%

Air Force has averaged 7.3 offensive rebounds per game (394 rebounds/54 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 9.3

Air Force is shooting 37% from three (197/532) this season — 2nd best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 35%

New Mexico Offensive Stats & Trends:

New Mexico has made 6.1 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 7.5

New Mexico has averaged 84.4 points per game (1,942 points/23 games) this season — 10th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 74.0

New Mexico has averaged 84.4 points per game (1,942 points/23 games) this season — best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 75.2

New Mexico has 23.0 free throw attempts per game since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 9th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 18.6

Air Force Defensive Stats & Trends:

Air Force has allowed an average of 1.32 points per shot (1,548 points/1,170 shots) this season — highest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 1.22

Air Force has averaged 22.2 defensive rebounds per game (489 rebounds/22 games) this season — lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 25.2

Air Force has allowed an average of 1.28 points per shot (3,694 points/2,888 shots) since the start of the 2022-23 season — highest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 1.22

Air Force has allowed 6.2 made three-pointers per game since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 7.2

New Mexico Defensive Stats & Trends:

New Mexico has averaged 9.7 steals per game (223 steals/23 games) this season — best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 6.8

New Mexico has 223 steals this season — most among Mountain West Teams

New Mexico has forced 15.5 turnovers per game (357 turnovers/23 games) this season — best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 12.5

New Mexico has forced 15.5 turnovers per game (357 turnovers/23 games) this season — 10th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 12.0


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.