Air Force vs Utah State Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Mar. 1

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 01, 2024, 10:09 AM
  • Utah State (13-11) is a -16.5 point favorite vs Air Force (8-19)
  • Total (Over/Under): 138.5 points
  • Air Force / Utah State TV channel: FS1

The Air Force Falcons (8-19) visit Dee Glen Smith Spectrum to take on the Utah State Aggies (13-11) on Mar. 1. Tip off is scheduled for 11:00pm EST in Logan, UT.

Utah State is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -16.5 (-105).

The Air Force vs. Utah State Over/Under is 138.5 total points.

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Air Force vs. Utah State Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Air Force+16.5 -115O 138.5 -110+850
Utah State -16.5 -105U 138.5 -110-1600

Air Force vs Utah State Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Utah State will win this college basketball game with 92.7% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Air Force vs Utah State Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Utah State will cover the spread with 51.9% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Air Force has hit the 1H Moneyline in 8 of their last 13 away games (+12.70 Units / 87% ROI)
  • Air Force has hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 13 away games (+10.80 Units / 71% ROI)
  • Air Force has hit the Game Total Over in 20 of their last 29 games (+10.10 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Air Force have covered the 1H Spread in 10 of their last 13 away games (+6.65 Units / 45% ROI)
  • Air Force has hit the Team Total Over in 9 of their last 13 away games (+4.40 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Utah State has hit the Moneyline in 23 of their last 31 games (+13.45 Units / 11% ROI)
  • Utah State has hit the Team Total Over in 21 of their last 31 games (+9.65 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Utah State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 12 of their last 15 games at home (+6.90 Units / 12% ROI)
  • Utah State have covered the Spread in 11 of their last 15 games at home (+6.60 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Utah State has hit the Game Total Over in 18 of their last 31 games (+4.80 Units / 14% ROI)

Air Force Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Air Force has a 8-19 record against the spread this college basketball season (-12.9 Units / -43.43% ROI).

  • 9-18 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.85 Units / -4.46% ROI
  • 19-8 when betting the Over for +10.2 Units / 34.46% ROI
  • 8-19 when betting the Under for -13 Units / -43.62% ROI

Utah State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Utah State has a 11-12 record against the spread this college basketball season (-2.15 Units / -7.83% ROI).

  • 19-6 when betting on the Moneyline for +11.65 Units / 10.06% ROI
  • 15-9 when betting the Over for +5.1 Units / 18.55% ROI
  • 9-15 when betting the Under for -7.5 Units / -27.27% ROI

Air Force Offensive Stats & Trends:

Air Force has averaged 67.9 points per game (1,494 points/22 games) this season — lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 75.2

Air Force is shooting 46% (524/1,147) this season — tied for 4th lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 47%

Air Force has averaged 7.3 offensive rebounds per game (394 rebounds/54 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 9.3

Air Force is shooting 37% from three (197/532) this season — 2nd best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 35%

Utah State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Utah State has averaged 16.9 assists per game (964 assists/57 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 9th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 13.3

Utah State is shooting 32% from three (131/409) this season — lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 35%

Utah State has averaged 17.1 assists per game (377 assists/22 games) this season — 2nd best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 14.6

Utah State has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.5 (377 assists/ 254 TOs) this season — tied for 2nd best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 1.3

Air Force Defensive Stats & Trends:

Air Force has allowed an average of 1.32 points per shot (1,548 points/1,170 shots) this season — highest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 1.22

Air Force has averaged 22.2 defensive rebounds per game (489 rebounds/22 games) this season — lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 25.2

Air Force has allowed an average of 1.28 points per shot (3,694 points/2,888 shots) since the start of the 2022-23 season — highest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 1.22

Air Force has allowed 6.2 made three-pointers per game since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 7.2

Utah State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Utah State has allowed opponents to shoot 28% from three (127/449) this season — best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 33%

Utah State has allowed 5.8 made three-pointers per game this season — tied for best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 7.0

Utah State has averaged 26.8 defensive rebounds per game (590 rebounds/22 games) this season — 2nd best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 25.2

Utah State has allowed 68.7 points per game (1,511 points/22 games) this season — 5th best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 69.7


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.