Alabama vs Florida Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Mar. 5

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 05, 2024, 11:52 AM
  • Florida (13-15) is a -1.5 point favorite vs Alabama (17-12)
  • Total (Over/Under): 175.5 points
  • Alabama / Florida TV channel: ESPN

The Alabama Crimson Tide (17-12) visit Stephen C. O’Connell Center to take on the Florida Gators (13-15) on Mar. 5. Tip off is scheduled for 7:00pm EST in Gainesville, FL.

Florida is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -1.5 (-110).

The Alabama vs. Florida Over/Under is 175.5 total points.

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Alabama vs. Florida Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Alabama+1.5 -110O 175.5 -105+105
Florida -1.5 -110U 175.5 -115-125

Alabama vs Florida Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Florida will win this college basketball game with 54.6% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Alabama vs Florida Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Alabama will cover the spread with 56.5% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Alabama has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 10 of their last 12 away games (+7.80 Units / 57% ROI)
  • Alabama has hit the Game Total Over in 22 of their last 35 games (+7.70 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Alabama has hit the Team Total Over in 22 of their last 35 games (+7.25 Units / 18% ROI)
  • Alabama has hit the 1H Moneyline in 24 of their last 35 games (+6.50 Units / 3% ROI)
  • Alabama have covered the Spread in 21 of their last 35 games (+5.60 Units / 14% ROI)
  • Florida has hit the Team Total Over in 20 of their last 31 games (+7.40 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Florida have covered the 1H Spread in 19 of their last 31 games (+5.40 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Florida has hit the Game Total Over in 18 of their last 31 games (+4.80 Units / 14% ROI)
  • Florida has hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 15 games at home (+3.95 Units / 6% ROI)
  • Florida has hit the 1H Moneyline in 22 of their last 31 games (+2.50 Units / 1% ROI)

Alabama Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Alabama has a 17-12 record against the spread this college basketball season (+3.8 Units / 11.84% ROI).

  • 16-9 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.8 Units / 0.6% ROI
  • 21-8 when betting the Over for +12.2 Units / 38.18% ROI
  • 8-21 when betting the Under for -15.05 Units / -47.25% ROI

Florida Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Florida has a 13-15 record against the spread this college basketball season (-3.55 Units / -11.11% ROI).

  • 15-9 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.45 Units / 6.88% ROI
  • 17-11 when betting the Over for +4.9 Units / 15.36% ROI
  • 11-17 when betting the Under for -7.7 Units / -24.14% ROI

Alabama Offensive Stats & Trends:

Alabama has made 11.5 three-pointers per game this season — 2nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.5

Alabama has made 299 three-pointers in the second half since the start of the 2022-23 season — most among SEC Teams

Alabama has 1,790 defensive rebounds since the start of the 2022-23 season — most among SEC Teams

Alabama has attempted 871 threes in the second half since the start of the 2022-23 season — most among SEC Teams

Florida Offensive Stats & Trends:

Florida has averaged 16.0 offensive rebounds per game (369 rebounds/23 games) this season — best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 9.9

Florida has averaged 16.0 offensive rebounds per game (369 rebounds/23 games) this season — 2nd best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 11.0

Florida has 24.5 free throw attempts per game this season — tied for 9th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 19.3

Florida has averaged 84.7 points per game (1,949 points/23 games) this season — 5th best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 76.1

Alabama Defensive Stats & Trends:

Alabama has averaged 29.8 defensive rebounds per game (1,790 rebounds/60 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.3

Alabama has averaged 29.8 defensive rebounds per game (1,790 rebounds/60 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 25.6

Alabama has allowed opponents to shoot 39% (1,492/3,790) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 44%

Alabama has averaged 27.0 defensive rebounds per game (620 rebounds/23 games) this season — tied for 31st best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.7

Florida Defensive Stats & Trends:

Florida has averaged 28.5 defensive rebounds per game (655 rebounds/23 games) this season — tied for 9th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.7

Florida has averaged 6.8 steals per game (382 steals/56 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 5th lowest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 7.2

Florida has averaged 27.2 defensive rebounds per game (1,524 rebounds/56 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 19th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.3

Florida has averaged 6.8 steals per game (237 steals/35 games) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 4th lowest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 7.5


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.