Alabama vs Kentucky Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 24

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 24, 2024, 11:09 AM
  • Kentucky (15-11) is a -2.5 point favorite vs Alabama (16-10)
  • Total (Over/Under): 175.5 points
  • Alabama / Kentucky TV channel: CBS

The Alabama Crimson Tide (16-10) visit Rupp Arena at Central Bank Center to take on the Kentucky Wildcats (15-11) on Feb. 24. Tip off is scheduled for 4:00pm EST in Lexington, KY.

Kentucky is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-115).

The Alabama vs. Kentucky Over/Under is 175.5 total points.

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Alabama vs. Kentucky Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Alabama+2.5 -105O 175.5 -110+130
Kentucky -2.5 -115U 175.5 -110-155

Alabama vs Kentucky Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Kentucky will win this college basketball game with 57.7% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Alabama vs Kentucky Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Alabama will cover the spread with 56.9% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Alabama has hit the Game Total Over in 22 of their last 35 games (+7.70 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Alabama has hit the Team Total Over in 22 of their last 35 games (+7.20 Units / 18% ROI)
  • Alabama has hit the Moneyline in 21 of their last 30 games (+4.25 Units / 3% ROI)
  • Alabama has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 8 of their last 12 away games (+3.45 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Alabama have covered the Spread in 20 of their last 35 games (+3.45 Units / 9% ROI)
  • Kentucky has hit the Game Total Over in 21 of their last 32 games (+8.90 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Kentucky has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 19 of their last 32 games (+4.15 Units / 11% ROI)
  • Kentucky has hit the Team Total Over in 19 of their last 32 games (+4.05 Units / 11% ROI)
  • Kentucky have covered the 1H Spread in 18 of their last 32 games (+2.95 Units / 8% ROI)
  • Kentucky have covered the Spread in 18 of their last 32 games (+2.60 Units / 7% ROI)

Alabama Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Alabama has a 16-10 record against the spread this college basketball season (+5 Units / 17.36% ROI).

  • 15-7 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.7 Units / 2.11% ROI
  • 19-7 when betting the Over for +11.3 Units / 39.44% ROI
  • 7-19 when betting the Under for -13.85 Units / -48.51% ROI

Kentucky Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Kentucky has a 15-11 record against the spread this college basketball season (+2.9 Units / 10.14% ROI).

  • 16-8 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.8 Units / -6.73% ROI
  • 18-8 when betting the Over for +9.2 Units / 32.11% ROI
  • 8-18 when betting the Under for -11.75 Units / -41.16% ROI

Alabama Offensive Stats & Trends:

Alabama has made 11.5 three-pointers per game this season — 2nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.5

Alabama has made 299 three-pointers in the second half since the start of the 2022-23 season — most among SEC Teams

Alabama has 1,790 defensive rebounds since the start of the 2022-23 season — most among SEC Teams

Alabama has attempted 871 threes in the second half since the start of the 2022-23 season — most among SEC Teams

Kentucky Offensive Stats & Trends:

Kentucky has averaged 91.0 points per game (1,911 points/21 games) this season — best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 76.1

Kentucky is shooting 41% from three (216/527) this season — best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Kentucky has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.9 (385 assists/ 207 TOs) this season — tied for best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.1

Kentucky has a TS% of 53% this season — 3rd best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 48%

Alabama Defensive Stats & Trends:

Alabama has averaged 29.8 defensive rebounds per game (1,790 rebounds/60 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.3

Alabama has averaged 29.8 defensive rebounds per game (1,790 rebounds/60 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 25.6

Alabama has allowed opponents to shoot 39% (1,492/3,790) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 44%

Alabama has averaged 27.0 defensive rebounds per game (620 rebounds/23 games) this season — tied for 31st best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.7

Kentucky Defensive Stats & Trends:

Kentucky has allowed opponents to shoot 42% (915/2,162) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — 4th highest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 41%

Kentucky has allowed opponents to shoot 33% from three (273/837) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — 5th highest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 31%

Kentucky has allowed 70.4 points per game (2,535 points/36 games) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd highest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 67.3

Kentucky has allowed 79.3 points per game (1,666 points/21 games) this season — highest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 72.2


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.