Alabama State vs Southern University Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 12

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 12, 2024, 10:21 AM
  • Southern University (10-10) is a -4.5 point favorite vs Alabama State (13-7)
  • Total (Over/Under): 135.5 points
  • Alabama State / Southern University TV channel: ESPN+

The Alabama State Hornets (13-7) visit F.G. Clark Activity Center to take on the Southern University Jaguars (10-10) on Feb. 12. Tip off is scheduled for 6:30pm EST in Baton Rouge, LA.

Southern University is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-110).

The Alabama State vs. Southern University Over/Under is 135.5 total points.

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Alabama State vs. Southern University Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Alabama State+4.5 -110O 135.5 -105+165
Southern University -4.5 -110U 135.5 -115-200

Alabama State vs Southern University Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Southern University will win this college basketball game with 66.1% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Alabama State vs Southern University Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Alabama State will cover the spread with 51.4% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Alabama State has hit the Game Total Under in 17 of their last 26 games (+7.10 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Alabama State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 16 of their last 26 games (+4.80 Units / 16% ROI)
  • Alabama State has hit the Team Total Under in 16 of their last 26 games (+4.50 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Alabama State have covered the Spread in 11 of their last 17 away games (+4.45 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Alabama State have covered the 1H Spread in 10 of their last 17 away games (+2.15 Units / 11% ROI)
  • Southern has hit the Game Total Under in 18 of their last 27 games (+8.10 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Southern has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 17 of their last 27 games (+6.90 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Southern has hit the Team Total Under in 8 of their last 10 games at home (+5.60 Units / 48% ROI)
  • Southern have covered the Spread in 6 of their last 10 games at home (+1.60 Units / 15% ROI)

Alabama State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Alabama State has a 13-7 record against the spread this college basketball season (+5.35 Units / 24.37% ROI).

  • 7-8 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.75 Units / -6.47% ROI
  • 8-12 when betting the Over for -5.2 Units / -23.64% ROI
  • 12-8 when betting the Under for +3.2 Units / 14.55% ROI

Southern University Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Southern University has a 10-10 record against the spread this college basketball season (-1 Units / -4.55% ROI).

  • 9-5 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.35 Units / 7.31% ROI
  • 7-13 when betting the Over for -7.3 Units / -33.18% ROI
  • 13-7 when betting the Under for +5.3 Units / 24.09% ROI

Alabama State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Alabama State is shooting 38% (522/1,386) this season — lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 45%

Alabama State has an eFG% of 43% this season — lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 51%

Alabama State has averaged 12.6 offensive rebounds per game (265 rebounds/21 games) this season — best among SWAC Teams; League Avg: 10.0

Alabama State has averaged 1.05 points per shot (1,460 points/1,386 shots) this season — lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.25

Southern University Offensive Stats & Trends:

Southern University has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.0 (742 assists/ 723 TOs) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for best among SWAC Teams; League Avg: 0.8

Southern University has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.0 (291 assists/ 278 TOs) this season — tied for 3rd best among SWAC Teams; League Avg: 0.9

Southern University has made 7.3 three-pointers per game this season — 2nd best among SWAC Teams; League Avg: 6.2

Southern University is shooting 45% (562/1,263) this season — 2nd best among SWAC Teams; League Avg: 42%

Alabama State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Alabama State has allowed 67.4 points per game (1,416 points/21 games) this season — best among SWAC Teams ; League Avg: 76.6

Alabama State has averaged 24.6 defensive rebounds per game (517 rebounds/21 games) this season — best among SWAC Teams; League Avg: 22.4

Alabama State has averaged 7.2 steals per game (373 steals/52 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 4th lowest among SWAC Teams; League Avg: 7.6

Alabama State has averaged 23.4 defensive rebounds per game (1,218 rebounds/52 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 3rd best among SWAC Teams; League Avg: 22.4

Southern University Defensive Stats & Trends:

Southern University has allowed opponents to shoot 53% (163/308) this season — highest among Power Conference defenses; League Avg: 45%

Southern University has averaged 9.4 steals per game (497 steals/53 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among SWAC Teams; League Avg: 7.6

Southern University has allowed an average of 1.44 points per shot (445 points/308 shots) this season — 3rd highest among Power Conference defenses; League Avg: 1.28

Southern University has forced 16.4 turnovers per game (870 turnovers/53 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among SWAC Teams ; League Avg: 13.5


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.