Alabama vs Texas Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 11

Texas head coach Rodney Terry calls to his players during the second half of an NCAA college basketball game against UConn in Austin, Texas, Sunday, Dec. 8, 2024. (AP Photo/Eric Gay)
(AP Photo/Eric Gay)
  • Alabama is a -3.5 point favorite vs Texas
  • Total (Over/Under): 165.5 points
  • Alabama / Texas TV channel: ESPN

The Alabama Crimson Tide visit Moody Center to take on the Texas Longhorns on Feb. 11. Tip off is scheduled for 9:00pm EST in Austin, TX, USA.

Alabama is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-110).

The Alabama vs. Texas Over/Under is 165.5 total points.

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Alabama vs. Texas Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Alabama-3.5 -110O 165.5 -110-175
Texas +3.5 -110U 165.5 -110+145

Alabama vs Texas Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Alabama will win this college basketball game with 79.9% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Alabama vs Texas Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Alabama will cover the spread with 60.2% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Alabama has hit the Team Total Over in 10 of their last 13 away games (+6.45 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Alabama has hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 13 away games (+5.00 Units / 4% ROI)
  • Alabama has hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 13 away games (+4.60 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Alabama has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 20 of their last 36 games (+2.85 Units / 7% ROI)
  • Alabama have covered the 1H Spread in 19 of their last 36 games (+0.55 Units / 1% ROI)
  • Texas has hit the 1H Moneyline in 21 of their last 32 games (+11.05 Units / 1% ROI)
  • Texas has hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 21 games at home (+5.05 Units / 0% ROI)
  • Texas has hit the Game Total Over in 19 of their last 34 games (+4.70 Units / 13% ROI)
  • Texas have covered the 1H Spread in 19 of their last 34 games (+4.22 Units / 11% ROI)
  • Texas has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 13 of their last 21 games at home (+3.65 Units / 15% ROI)

Alabama Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Alabama has a 12-11 record against the spread this college basketball season (-0.15 Units / -0.59% ROI).

  • 18-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.1 Units / -0.29% ROI
  • 11-12 when betting the Over for -2.2 Units / -8.7% ROI
  • 12-11 when betting the Under for -0.1 Units / -0.4% ROI

Texas Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Texas has a 14-10 record against the spread this college basketball season (+3.05 Units / 11.55% ROI).

  • 15-9 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.85 Units / 0.32% ROI
  • 12-10 when betting the Over for +1 Units / 3.79% ROI
  • 10-12 when betting the Under for -3.2 Units / -12.12% ROI

Alabama Offensive Stats & Trends:

Alabama averaged 89.1 points per game (3,028 points/34 games) last season — tied for best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 73.6

Alabama made 11.1 three-pointers per game last season — 2nd best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 7.7

Alabama has averaged 89.4 points per game (5,098 points/57 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 73.6

Alabama has averaged 90.0 points per game (2,070 points/23 games) this season — best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 76.6

Texas Offensive Stats & Trends:

Texas averaged 1.49 points per shot (73 points/49 shots) in possessions with at least six passes last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 1.25

Texas averaged 4.8 turnovers per game (152 turnovers/32 games) in the second half last season — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 6.2

Texas had an eFG% of 63% in possessions with at least six passes last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 53%

Texas shot 76% from the free throw line (172/226) in the first half last season — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 70%

Alabama Defensive Stats & Trends:

Alabama has averaged 30.7 defensive rebounds per game (707 rebounds/23 games) this season — 2nd best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 25.4

Alabama has averaged 28.7 defensive rebounds per game (1,634 rebounds/57 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 5th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.4

Alabama has allowed 43.3 points per game (997 points/23 games) in the second half this season — highest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 36.8

Alabama has allowed 78.4 points per game (1,804 points/23 games) this season — highest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 69.5

Texas Defensive Stats & Trends:

Texas allowed opponents to shoot 46% from three off the dribble (13/28) in possessions with two to five passes last season in conference play — highest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 28%

Texas allowed an average of 1.88 points per shot (60 points/32 shots) in possessions with at least six passes last season in conference play — highest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 1.25

Texas allowed opponents to shoot 17% from three off the dribble (6/36) in the first half last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 27%

Texas allowed opponents to shoot 29% on catch and shoot opportunities (5/17) on left corner attempts last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 38%


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