Appalachian State vs Texas State Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 7

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Close up of the Texas State coach
(AP Photo)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 07, 2024, 11:19 AM
  • Appalachian State (13-9) is a -8.5 point favorite vs Texas State (9-12)
  • Total (Over/Under): 133.5 points
  • Appalachian State / Texas State TV channel: ESPN+

The Appalachian State Mountaineers (13-9) visit Strahan Coliseum to take on the Texas State Bobcats (9-12) on Feb. 7. Tip off is scheduled for 8:00pm EST in San Marcos, TX.

Appalachian State is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -8.5 (-105).

The Appalachian State vs. Texas State Over/Under is 133.5 total points.

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Appalachian State vs. Texas State Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Appalachian State-8.5 -105O 133.5 -110-400
Texas State +8.5 -115U 133.5 -110+310

Appalachian State vs Texas State Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Appalachian State will win this college basketball game with 77.8% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Appalachian State vs Texas State Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Texas State will cover the spread with 53.4% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Appalachian State has hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 28 games (+9.90 Units / 10% ROI)
  • Appalachian State has hit the Game Total Over in 19 of their last 28 games (+9.10 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Appalachian State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 19 of their last 28 games (+7.95 Units / 13% ROI)
  • Appalachian State have covered the 1H Spread in 17 of their last 28 games (+4.50 Units / 14% ROI)
  • Appalachian State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 17 of their last 28 games (+4.40 Units / 14% ROI)
  • Texas State has hit the Team Total Over in 18 of their last 31 games (+3.20 Units / 9% ROI)
  • Texas State has hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 13 games at home (+2.50 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Texas State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 8 of their last 13 games at home (+2.45 Units / 17% ROI)

Appalachian State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Appalachian State has a 13-8 record against the spread this college basketball season (+4.25 Units / 18.44% ROI).

  • 17-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +11.4 Units / 12.83% ROI
  • 13-8 when betting the Over for +4.2 Units / 18.18% ROI
  • 8-13 when betting the Under for -6.3 Units / -27.27% ROI

Texas State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Texas State has a 9-12 record against the spread this college basketball season (-4.2 Units / -18.18% ROI).

  • 7-13 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.6 Units / -27.14% ROI
  • 10-11 when betting the Over for -2.1 Units / -9.09% ROI
  • 11-10 when betting the Under for +0 Units / 0% ROI

Appalachian State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Appalachian State is shooting 66% from the free throw line (634/957) since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 70%

Appalachian State is shooting 57% from inside the arc (433/764) this season — best among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 50%

Appalachian State is shooting 65% from the free throw line (267/414) this season — 2nd lowest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 70%

Appalachian State has averaged 78.1 points per game (1,718 points/22 games) this season — 5th best among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 75.2

Texas State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Texas State has made 4.5 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.4

Texas State has made 4.5 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 7.1

Texas State has an assist to turnover ratio of 0.9 (280 assists/ 306 TOs) this season — tied for 16th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.1

Texas State has made 4.7 three-pointers per game this season — lowest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 7.5

Appalachian State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Appalachian State has averaged 29.3 defensive rebounds per game (645 rebounds/22 games) this season — best among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 24.7

Appalachian State has allowed opponents to shoot 38% (538/1,416) this season — best among Sunbelt Teams ; League Avg: 43%

Appalachian State has allowed an average of 1.01 points per shot (1,429 points/1,416 shots) this season — best among Sunbelt Teams ; League Avg: 1.23

Appalachian State has averaged 26.7 defensive rebounds per game (1,440 rebounds/54 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 24.1

Texas State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Texas State has averaged 22.3 defensive rebounds per game (1,296 rebounds/58 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 24.1

Texas State has averaged 22.3 defensive rebounds per game (1,296 rebounds/58 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 17th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.3

Texas State has averaged 6.6 steals per game (152 steals/23 games) this season — 5th lowest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 7.2

Texas State has averaged 23.9 defensive rebounds per game (549 rebounds/23 games) this season — 4th lowest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 24.7


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.