Arizona vs Arizona State Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 28

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No 32 from Sun Devils preparing to shoot for the hoop
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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 28, 2024, 12:01 PM
  • Arizona (17-10) is a -11.5 point favorite vs Arizona State (13-15)
  • Total (Over/Under): 159.5 points
  • Arizona / Arizona State TV channel: PAC12

The Arizona Wildcats (17-10) visit Desert Financial Arena to take on the Arizona State Sun Devils (13-15) on Feb. 28. Tip off is scheduled for 10:00pm EST in Tempe, AZ.

Arizona is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -11.5 (-115).

The Arizona vs. Arizona State Over/Under is 159.5 total points.

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Arizona vs. Arizona State Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Arizona-11.5 -115O 159.5 -110-750
Arizona State +11.5 -105U 159.5 -110+525

Arizona vs Arizona State Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Arizona will win this college basketball game with 89.1% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Arizona vs Arizona State Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Arizona will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Arizona have covered the Spread in 21 of their last 33 games (+7.80 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Arizona has hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 12 away games (+5.70 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Arizona has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 8 of their last 12 away games (+4.65 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Arizona has hit the Team Total Over in 8 of their last 12 away games (+3.55 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Arizona State has hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 19 games at home (+8.40 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Arizona State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 21 of their last 35 games (+6.10 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Arizona State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 12 of their last 19 games at home (+5.00 Units / 16% ROI)
  • Arizona State has hit the Team Total Over in 11 of their last 19 games at home (+1.65 Units / 7% ROI)
  • Arizona State have covered the Spread in 10 of their last 19 games at home (+1.20 Units / 6% ROI)

Arizona Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Arizona has a 17-10 record against the spread this college basketball season (+6 Units / 20.2% ROI).

  • 16-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -26.85 Units / -12.86% ROI
  • 14-13 when betting the Over for -0.3 Units / -1.01% ROI
  • 13-14 when betting the Under for -2.35 Units / -7.93% ROI

Arizona State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Arizona State has a 13-14 record against the spread this college basketball season (-2.45 Units / -7.95% ROI).

  • 14-14 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.5 Units / 9.17% ROI
  • 15-13 when betting the Over for +0.65 Units / 2.11% ROI
  • 13-15 when betting the Under for -3.5 Units / -11.38% ROI

Arizona Offensive Stats & Trends:

Arizona has averaged 41.4 points per game (2,359 points/57 games) in the first half since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Pac 12 Teams; League Avg: 33.9

Arizona has averaged 1.37 points per shot (4,805 points/3,519 shots) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Pac 12 Teams; League Avg: 1.25

Arizona has averaged 84.3 points per game (4,805 points/57 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Pac 12 Teams; League Avg: 72.4

Arizona has averaged 18.9 assists per game (1,079 assists/57 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 13.3

Arizona State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Arizona State has averaged 1.25 points per shot (771 points/617 shots) in the second half this season — lowest among Pac 12 Teams; League Avg: 1.37

Arizona State is shooting 67% from the free throw line (427/642) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among Pac 12 Teams; League Avg: 72%

Arizona State is shooting 64% from the free throw line (264/412) this season — lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 73%

Arizona State has averaged 8.0 offensive rebounds per game (169 rebounds/21 games) this season — tied for 3rd lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 11.0

Arizona Defensive Stats & Trends:

Arizona has averaged 29.5 defensive rebounds per game (1,680 rebounds/57 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 2nd best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 25.6

Arizona has averaged 29.5 defensive rebounds per game (1,680 rebounds/57 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 2nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.3

Arizona has averaged 7.5 steals per game (284 steals/38 games) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for best among Pac 12 Teams; League Avg: 6.5

Arizona has averaged 29.5 defensive rebounds per game (648 rebounds/22 games) this season — 4th best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 26.1

Arizona State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Arizona State has averaged 7.5 steals per game (246 steals/33 games) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for best among Pac 12 Teams; League Avg: 6.5

Arizona State has averaged 7.6 steals per game (435 steals/57 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Pac 12 Teams; League Avg: 6.3

Arizona State has 435 steals since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd most among Pac 12 Teams

Arizona State has 180 steals this season — 2nd most among Pac 12 Teams


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.