Arizona State vs USC Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Mar. 7

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 07, 2024, 1:27 PM
  • USC (14-15) is a -9.5 point favorite vs Arizona State (13-16)
  • Total (Over/Under): 146.5 points
  • Arizona State / USC TV channel: FS1

The Arizona State Sun Devils (13-16) visit Galen Center to take on the USC Trojans (14-15) on Mar. 7. Tip off is scheduled for 11:00pm EST in Los Angeles, CA.

USC is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -9.5 (-110).

The Arizona State vs. USC Over/Under is 146.5 total points.

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Arizona State vs. USC Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Arizona State+9.5 -110O 146.5 -110+375
USC -9.5 -110U 146.5 -110-500

Arizona State vs USC Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts USC will win this college basketball game with 81.8% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Arizona State vs USC Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts USC will cover the spread with 53.3% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Arizona State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 21 of their last 34 games (+7.25 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Arizona State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 18 of their last 34 games (+5.55 Units / 11% ROI)
  • Arizona State has hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 34 games (+5.15 Units / 9% ROI)
  • USC has hit the Game Total Over in 20 of their last 31 games (+7.90 Units / 23% ROI)
  • USC has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 19 of their last 31 games (+5.30 Units / 15% ROI)
  • USC have covered the 1H Spread in 10 of their last 16 games at home (+3.05 Units / 16% ROI)
  • USC has hit the Team Total Under in 18 of their last 31 games (+2.70 Units / 8% ROI)
  • USC has hit the 1H Moneyline in 11 of their last 16 games at home (+0.25 Units / 0% ROI)

Arizona State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Arizona State has a 13-15 record against the spread this college basketball season (-3.55 Units / -11.13% ROI).

  • 14-15 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.5 Units / 6.99% ROI
  • 15-14 when betting the Over for -0.45 Units / -1.41% ROI
  • 14-15 when betting the Under for -2.5 Units / -7.85% ROI

USC Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

USC has a 14-15 record against the spread this college basketball season (-2.5 Units / -7.82% ROI).

  • 11-17 when betting on the Moneyline for -26.35 Units / -24.96% ROI
  • 19-10 when betting the Over for +8 Units / 25.04% ROI
  • 10-19 when betting the Under for -10.85 Units / -34.07% ROI

Arizona State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Arizona State has averaged 1.25 points per shot (771 points/617 shots) in the second half this season — lowest among Pac 12 Teams; League Avg: 1.37

Arizona State is shooting 67% from the free throw line (427/642) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among Pac 12 Teams; League Avg: 72%

Arizona State is shooting 64% from the free throw line (264/412) this season — lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 73%

Arizona State has averaged 8.0 offensive rebounds per game (169 rebounds/21 games) this season — tied for 3rd lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 11.0

USC Offensive Stats & Trends:

USC has averaged 13.3 turnovers per game (293 turnovers/22 games) this season — tied for highest among Pac 12 Teams; League Avg: 11.9

USC has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.1 (163 assists/ 142 TOs) in the second half this season — tied for lowest among Pac 12 Teams; League Avg: 1.3

USC has averaged 1.32 points per shot (2,444 points/1,855 shots) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 2nd best among Pac 12 Teams; League Avg: 1.29

USC has averaged 16.0 assists per game (352 assists/22 games) this season — 5th best among Pac 12 Teams; League Avg: 14.6

Arizona State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Arizona State has averaged 7.5 steals per game (246 steals/33 games) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for best among Pac 12 Teams; League Avg: 6.5

Arizona State has averaged 7.6 steals per game (435 steals/57 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Pac 12 Teams; League Avg: 6.3

Arizona State has 435 steals since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd most among Pac 12 Teams

Arizona State has 180 steals this season — 2nd most among Pac 12 Teams

USC Defensive Stats & Trends:

USC has averaged 6.7 steals per game (148 steals/22 games) this season — tied for 4th best among Pac 12 Teams; League Avg: 6.5

USC has averaged 7.3 steals per game (234 steals/32 games) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — 5th best among Pac 12 Teams; League Avg: 6.5

USC has allowed opponents to shoot 40% (567/1,416) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Pac 12 Teams; League Avg: 44%

USC has 148 steals this season — 4th most among Pac 12 Teams


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.