Arkansas vs Alabama Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Mar. 9

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 09, 2024, 11:09 AM
  • Alabama (17-13) is a -15.5 point favorite vs Arkansas (11-19)
  • Total (Over/Under): 175.5 points
  • Arkansas / Alabama TV channel: ESPN

The Arkansas Razorbacks (11-19) visit Coleman Coliseum to take on the Alabama Crimson Tide (17-13) on Mar. 9. Tip off is scheduled for 12:00pm EST in Tuscaloosa, AL.

Alabama is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -15.5 (-110).

The Arkansas vs. Alabama Over/Under is 175.5 total points.

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Arkansas vs. Alabama Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Arkansas+15.5 -110O 175.5 -110+900
Alabama -15.5 -110U 175.5 -110-1600

Arkansas vs Alabama Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Alabama will win this college basketball game with 92.9% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Arkansas vs Alabama Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Alabama will cover the spread with 52.5% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Arkansas has hit the Game Total Over in 24 of their last 35 games (+11.90 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Arkansas has hit the Team Total Over in 19 of their last 35 games (+0.85 Units / 2% ROI)
  • Arkansas has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 8 of their last 15 away games (+0.10 Units / 1% ROI)
  • Alabama has hit the 1H Moneyline in 19 of their last 22 games at home (+10.95 Units / 6% ROI)
  • Alabama have covered the Spread in 16 of their last 22 games at home (+9.40 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Alabama has hit the Game Total Over in 23 of their last 36 games (+8.70 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Alabama has hit the Team Total Over in 23 of their last 36 games (+8.25 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Alabama has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 14 of their last 22 games at home (+4.65 Units / 18% ROI)

Arkansas Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Arkansas has a 11-19 record against the spread this college basketball season (-10 Units / -30.17% ROI).

  • 13-15 when betting on the Moneyline for -12 Units / -11.48% ROI
  • 22-8 when betting the Over for +13.2 Units / 40% ROI
  • 8-22 when betting the Under for -16.2 Units / -49.09% ROI

Alabama Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Alabama has a 17-13 record against the spread this college basketball season (+2.75 Units / 8.3% ROI).

  • 16-10 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.2 Units / -0.15% ROI
  • 22-8 when betting the Over for +13.2 Units / 39.94% ROI
  • 8-22 when betting the Under for -16.15 Units / -49.01% ROI

Arkansas Offensive Stats & Trends:

Arkansas has 26.6 free throw attempts per game this season — best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 19.9

Arkansas has a 46% free throw rate (558 free throw attempts/1,209 field goal attempts) this season — highest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 33%

Arkansas has a 42% free throw rate (1,368 free throw attempts/3,271 field goal attempts) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 4th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 32%

Arkansas has a 42% free throw rate (1,368 free throw attempts/3,271 field goal attempts) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd highest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 32%

Alabama Offensive Stats & Trends:

Alabama has made 11.5 three-pointers per game this season — 2nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.5

Alabama has made 299 three-pointers in the second half since the start of the 2022-23 season — most among SEC Teams

Alabama has 1,790 defensive rebounds since the start of the 2022-23 season — most among SEC Teams

Alabama has attempted 871 threes in the second half since the start of the 2022-23 season — most among SEC Teams

Arkansas Defensive Stats & Trends:

Arkansas has averaged 5.5 steals per game (116 steals/21 games) this season — 2nd lowest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 7.3

Arkansas has allowed an average of 1.37 points per shot (900 points/655 shots) in the second half this season — highest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 1.28

Arkansas has allowed opponents to shoot 37% from three (84/225) in the second half this season — highest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 31%

Arkansas has allowed 42.9 points per game (900 points/21 games) in the second half this season — highest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 38.1

Alabama Defensive Stats & Trends:

Alabama has averaged 29.8 defensive rebounds per game (1,790 rebounds/60 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.3

Alabama has averaged 29.8 defensive rebounds per game (1,790 rebounds/60 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 25.6

Alabama has allowed opponents to shoot 39% (1,492/3,790) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 44%

Alabama has averaged 27.0 defensive rebounds per game (620 rebounds/23 games) this season — tied for 31st best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.7


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.