Arkansas vs Florida Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Jan. 13

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jan 13, 2024, 10:55 AM
  • Florida (5-9) is a -7.5 point favorite vs Arkansas (4-11)
  • Total (Over/Under): 163.5 points
  • Arkansas / Florida TV channel: ESPN

The Arkansas Razorbacks (4-11) visit Stephen C. O’Connell Center to take on the Florida Gators (5-9) on Jan. 13. Tip off is scheduled for 4:00pm EST in Gainesville, FL.

Florida is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -7.5 (-115).

The Arkansas vs. Florida Over/Under is 163.5 total points.

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Arkansas vs. Florida Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Arkansas+7.5 -105O 163.5 -110+270
Florida -7.5 -115U 163.5 -110-350

Arkansas vs Florida Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Florida will win this college basketball game with 77.9% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Arkansas vs Florida Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Arkansas will cover the spread with 53.6% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Arkansas has hit the Game Total Over in 22 of their last 35 games (+7.70 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Arkansas has hit the 1H Moneyline in 10 of their last 16 away games (+6.45 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Arkansas have covered the 1H Spread in 10 of their last 16 away games (+3.10 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Arkansas has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 9 of their last 16 away games (+2.15 Units / 12% ROI)
  • Arkansas has hit the Team Total Under in 9 of their last 16 away games (+0.80 Units / 4% ROI)
  • Florida has hit the Game Total Over in 21 of their last 32 games (+10.00 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Florida has hit the Team Total Over in 15 of their last 20 games at home (+9.25 Units / 40% ROI)

Arkansas Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Arkansas has a 4-11 record against the spread this college basketball season (-8.15 Units / 0% ROI).

  • 7-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.65 Units / 0% ROI
  • 11-4 when betting the Over for +6.6 Units / 0% ROI
  • 4-11 when betting the Under for -8.1 Units / 0% ROI

Florida Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Florida has a 5-9 record against the spread this college basketball season (-4.9 Units / 0% ROI).

  • 5-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.4 Units / 0% ROI
  • 11-3 when betting the Over for +7.7 Units / 0% ROI
  • 3-11 when betting the Under for -9.1 Units / 0% ROI

Arkansas Offensive Stats & Trends:

Arkansas has a 46% free throw rate (400 free throw attempts/868 field goal attempts) this season — tied for highest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 34%

Arkansas has 26.7 free throw attempts per game this season — best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 20.3

Arkansas has 23.7 free throw attempts per game since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 18.8

Arkansas has 23.7 free throw attempts per game since the start of the 2022-23 season — 5th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 18.5

Florida Offensive Stats & Trends:

Florida is shooting 66% from the free throw line (154/235) in the second half this season — lowest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 73%

Florida is shooting 65% from the free throw line (255/390) this season — lowest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 73%

Florida has averaged 16.3 offensive rebounds per game (245 rebounds/15 games) this season — 2nd best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 11.3

Florida has attempted 994 shots this season — most among SEC Teams

Arkansas Defensive Stats & Trends:

Arkansas has averaged 5.5 steals per game (82 steals/15 games) this season — 2nd lowest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 7.6

Arkansas has allowed 5.7 made three-pointers per game since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 2nd best among Power Conference defenses; League Avg: 7.4

Arkansas has 384 steals since the start of the 2022-23 season — 4th most among SEC Teams

Arkansas has allowed opponents to shoot 34% from three (114/339) this season — 4th highest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 32%

Florida Defensive Stats & Trends:

Florida has averaged 7.0 steals per game (105 steals/15 games) this season — 5th lowest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 7.6

Florida has averaged 6.9 steals per game (330 steals/48 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 5th lowest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 7.2

Florida has averaged 27.1 defensive rebounds per game (1,301 rebounds/48 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 19th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.4

Florida has averaged 6.7 steals per game (208 steals/31 games) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 4th lowest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 7.6


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.