Arkansas vs LSU Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 3

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The coach from LSU Tigers clapping his hands in encouragement
(AP Photo)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 03, 2024, 9:53 AM
  • LSU (8-12) is a -5.5 point favorite vs Arkansas (6-15)
  • Total (Over/Under): 152.5 points
  • Arkansas / LSU TV channel: ESPN2

The Arkansas Razorbacks (6-15) visit Pete Maravich Assembly Center to take on the LSU Tigers (8-12) on Feb. 3. Tip off is scheduled for 12:00pm EST in Baton Rouge, LA.

LSU is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -5.5 (-115).

The Arkansas vs. LSU Over/Under is 152.5 total points.

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Arkansas vs. LSU Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Arkansas+5.5 -105O 152.5 -115+200
LSU -5.5 -115U 152.5 -105-250

Arkansas vs LSU Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts LSU will win this college basketball game with 70.9% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Arkansas vs LSU Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Arkansas will cover the spread with 52.3% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Arkansas has hit the Game Total Over in 22 of their last 35 games (+7.70 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Arkansas has hit the Team Total Under in 10 of their last 16 away games (+3.05 Units / 16% ROI)
  • Arkansas has hit the 1H Moneyline in 8 of their last 16 away games (+2.10 Units / 10% ROI)
  • LSU has hit the Team Total Over in 11 of their last 18 games at home (+2.70 Units / 13% ROI)
  • LSU has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 17 of their last 31 games (+2.10 Units / 6% ROI)
  • LSU have covered the 1H Spread in 17 of their last 31 games (+1.90 Units / 5% ROI)

Arkansas Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Arkansas has a 6-15 record against the spread this college basketball season (-10.6 Units / -45.69% ROI).

  • 9-10 when betting on the Moneyline for -11 Units / -12.44% ROI
  • 14-7 when betting the Over for +6.3 Units / 27.27% ROI
  • 7-14 when betting the Under for -8.4 Units / -36.36% ROI

LSU Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

LSU has a 8-12 record against the spread this college basketball season (-5.15 Units / -23.52% ROI).

  • 7-8 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.55 Units / 5.65% ROI
  • 10-10 when betting the Over for -1 Units / -4.55% ROI
  • 10-10 when betting the Under for -1 Units / -4.55% ROI

Arkansas Offensive Stats & Trends:

Arkansas has a 46% free throw rate (525 free throw attempts/1,154 field goal attempts) this season — highest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 34%

Arkansas has 26.2 free throw attempts per game this season — best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 20.0

Arkansas has 23.8 free throw attempts per game since the start of the 2022-23 season — 5th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 18.5

Arkansas has made 5.4 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 7th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.4

LSU Offensive Stats & Trends:

LSU has an assist to turnover ratio of 0.9 (232 assists/ 255 TOs) this season — tied for 13th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.1

LSU has averaged 13.4 turnovers per game (255 turnovers/19 games) this season — highest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 11.4

LSU has an assist to turnover ratio of 0.9 (232 assists/ 255 TOs) this season — tied for lowest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 1.3

LSU has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.0 (402 assists/ 403 TOs) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for lowest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 1.2

Arkansas Defensive Stats & Trends:

Arkansas has averaged 5.4 steals per game (108 steals/20 games) this season — 2nd lowest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 7.4

Arkansas has allowed opponents to shoot 37% from three (79/214) in the second half this season — highest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 31%

Arkansas has allowed an average of 1.36 points per shot (850 points/626 shots) in the second half this season — highest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 1.27

Arkansas has forced 10.9 turnovers per game (218 turnovers/20 games) this season — tied for 2nd lowest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 12.4

LSU Defensive Stats & Trends:

LSU has allowed an average of 1.17 points per shot (678 points/580 shots) in the second half this season — best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 1.27

LSU has forced 14.5 turnovers per game (275 turnovers/19 games) this season — best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 12.4

LSU has averaged 9.3 steals per game (176 steals/19 games) this season — tied for 3rd best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 6.8

LSU has allowed opponents to shoot 40% (450/1,129) this season — 3rd best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 42%


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.