Arkansas State vs Appalachian State Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Mar. 1

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Player No 23 from App State dribbling an NBA game ball with No 3 from Louisville defending
(AP Photo)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 01, 2024, 9:59 AM
  • Appalachian State (18-11) is a -6.5 point favorite vs Arkansas State (19-10)
  • Total (Over/Under): 148.5 points
  • Arkansas State / Appalachian State TV channel: ESPN+

The Arkansas State Red Wolves (19-10) visit Holmes Convocation Center to take on the Appalachian State Mountaineers (18-11) on Mar. 1. Tip off is scheduled for 6:30pm EST in Boone, NC.

Appalachian State is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -6.5 (-110).

The Arkansas State vs. Appalachian State Over/Under is 148.5 total points.

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Arkansas State vs. Appalachian State Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Arkansas State+6.5 -110O 148.5 -115+230
Appalachian State -6.5 -110U 148.5 -105-275

Arkansas State vs Appalachian State Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Appalachian State will win this college basketball game with 70.9% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Arkansas State vs Appalachian State Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Arkansas State will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Arkansas State have covered the Spread in 21 of their last 31 games (+11.10 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Arkansas State has hit the Game Total Under in 13 of their last 18 away games (+8.60 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Arkansas State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 19 of their last 31 games (+5.90 Units / 11% ROI)
  • Arkansas State has hit the Team Total Under in 12 of their last 18 away games (+5.30 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Arkansas State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 18 of their last 31 games (+3.10 Units / 9% ROI)
  • Appalachian State has hit the Moneyline in 23 of their last 29 games (+12.70 Units / 10% ROI)
  • Appalachian State has hit the Team Total Over in 7 of their last 8 games at home (+5.95 Units / 65% ROI)
  • Appalachian State have covered the Spread in 18 of their last 29 games (+5.95 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Appalachian State has hit the Game Total Over in 7 of their last 8 games at home (+5.90 Units / 67% ROI)
  • Appalachian State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 8 of their last 10 games at home (+5.70 Units / 50% ROI)

Arkansas State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Arkansas State has a 20-9 record against the spread this college basketball season (+10.1 Units / 30.42% ROI).

  • 17-12 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.75 Units / 4.51% ROI
  • 13-16 when betting the Over for -4.5 Units / -13.68% ROI
  • 16-13 when betting the Under for +1.7 Units / 5.14% ROI

Appalachian State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Appalachian State has a 18-10 record against the spread this college basketball season (+7.05 Units / 22.93% ROI).

  • 23-5 when betting on the Moneyline for +13.7 Units / 11.21% ROI
  • 17-11 when betting the Over for +4.9 Units / 15.91% ROI
  • 11-17 when betting the Under for -7.7 Units / -25% ROI

Arkansas State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Arkansas State has averaged 11.6 offensive rebounds per game (290 rebounds/25 games) this season — tied for 39th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 9.9

Arkansas State has 21.2 free throw attempts per game this season — 4th best among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 19.5

Arkansas State has made 10.0 three-pointers per game this season — tied for 13th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.5

Arkansas State has a 34% free throw rate (529 free throw attempts/1,546 field goal attempts) this season — 5th highest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 32%

Appalachian State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Appalachian State is shooting 67% from the free throw line (665/1,000) since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 70%

Appalachian State is shooting 57% from inside the arc (482/844) this season — best among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 51%

Appalachian State is shooting 47% (712/1,500) this season — tied for 32nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 45%

Appalachian State is shooting 65% from the free throw line (298/457) this season — 2nd lowest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 70%

Arkansas State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Arkansas State has averaged 5.3 steals per game (133 steals/25 games) this season — lowest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 7.3

Arkansas State has averaged 6.1 steals per game (353 steals/58 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 2nd lowest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 7.2

Arkansas State has forced 9.5 turnovers per game (237 turnovers/25 games) this season — lowest among Sunbelt Teams ; League Avg: 11.9

Arkansas State has forced 10.2 turnovers per game (594 turnovers/58 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 13th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 12.3

Appalachian State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Appalachian State has averaged 29.2 defensive rebounds per game (702 rebounds/24 games) this season — best among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 24.8

Appalachian State has allowed an average of 1.03 points per shot (1,596 points/1,554 shots) this season — best among Sunbelt Teams ; League Avg: 1.23

Appalachian State has allowed opponents to shoot 40% (1,355/3,423) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Sunbelt Teams ; League Avg: 43%

Appalachian State has averaged 29.2 defensive rebounds per game (702 rebounds/24 games) this season — 6th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.7


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.