- James Madison (17-14) is a -5.5 point favorite vs Arkansas State (21-11)
- Total (Over/Under): 149.5 points
- Arkansas State / James Madison TV channel: ESPN2
The Arkansas State Red Wolves (21-11) visit Pensacola Bay Center to take on the James Madison Dukes (17-14) on Mar. 11. Tip off is scheduled for 7:00pm EDT in Pensacola, FL.
James Madison is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -5.5 (-105).
The Arkansas State vs. James Madison Over/Under is 149.5 total points.
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Arkansas State vs. James Madison Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Arkansas State | +5.5 -115 | O 149.5 -110 | +185 |
| James Madison | -5.5 -105 | U 149.5 -110 | -225 |
Arkansas State vs James Madison Prediction for Today:
The winning team model predicts James Madison will win this college basketball game with 68.4% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.
Arkansas State vs James Madison Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Arkansas State will cover the spread with 54.1% confidence for today’s game.
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Arkansas State Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Arkansas State have covered the Spread in 22 of their last 31 games (+13.15 Units / 38% ROI)
- Arkansas State has hit the Game Total Under in 14 of their last 18 away games (+10.70 Units / 54% ROI)
- Arkansas State has hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 12 games (+10.00 Units / 40% ROI)
- Arkansas State has hit the Team Total Under in 13 of their last 18 away games (+7.50 Units / 36% ROI)
- Arkansas State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 19 of their last 29 games (+7.25 Units / 15% ROI)
James Madison Basketball Best Bets Today:
- James Madison has hit the Moneyline in 25 of their last 28 games (+26.30 Units / 13% ROI)
- James Madison has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 14 of their last 21 games (+7.05 Units / 29% ROI)
- James Madison has hit the Game Total Under in 17 of their last 26 games (+7.05 Units / 25% ROI)
- James Madison has hit the 1H Moneyline in their last 5 games at home (+5.00 Units / 19% ROI)
- James Madison has hit the Team Total Under in 15 of their last 24 games (+4.90 Units / 18% ROI)
Arkansas State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Arkansas State has a 22-10 record against the spread this college basketball season (+11 Units / 30.1% ROI).
- 19-13 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.45 Units / 6.89% ROI
- 13-19 when betting the Over for -7.8 Units / -21.55% ROI
- 19-13 when betting the Under for +4.7 Units / 12.91% ROI
James Madison Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
James Madison has a 17-14 record against the spread this college basketball season (+1.55 Units / 4.39% ROI).
- 25-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +26.3 Units / 13.07% ROI
- 14-17 when betting the Over for -4.6 Units / -13.11% ROI
- 17-14 when betting the Under for +1.6 Units / 4.53% ROI
Arkansas State Offensive Stats & Trends:
Arkansas State has averaged 11.6 offensive rebounds per game (290 rebounds/25 games) this season — tied for 39th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 9.9
Arkansas State has 21.2 free throw attempts per game this season — 4th best among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 19.5
Arkansas State has made 10.0 three-pointers per game this season — tied for 13th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.5
Arkansas State has a 34% free throw rate (529 free throw attempts/1,546 field goal attempts) this season — 5th highest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 32%
James Madison Offensive Stats & Trends:
James Madison has averaged 85.7 points per game (1,970 points/23 games) this season — best among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 75.3
James Madison has averaged 85.7 points per game (1,970 points/23 games) this season — 4th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 74.0
James Madison has an eFG% of 55% this season — best among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 50%
James Madison has averaged 82.9 points per game (4,642 points/56 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 5th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 72.5
Arkansas State Defensive Stats & Trends:
Arkansas State has averaged 5.3 steals per game (133 steals/25 games) this season — lowest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 7.3
Arkansas State has averaged 6.1 steals per game (353 steals/58 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 2nd lowest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 7.2
Arkansas State has forced 9.5 turnovers per game (237 turnovers/25 games) this season — lowest among Sunbelt Teams ; League Avg: 11.9
Arkansas State has forced 10.2 turnovers per game (594 turnovers/58 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 13th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 12.3
James Madison Defensive Stats & Trends:
James Madison has averaged 9.3 steals per game (520 steals/56 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 5th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.6
James Madison has averaged 9.7 steals per game (222 steals/23 games) this season — tied for 9th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.8
James Madison has averaged 27.2 defensive rebounds per game (626 rebounds/23 games) this season — 2nd best among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 24.8
James Madison has averaged 9.3 steals per game (520 steals/56 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for best among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 7.2
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