Arkansas State vs Louisiana-Monroe Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Jan. 28

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jan 28, 2024, 10:58 AM
  • Arkansas State (10-9) is a -5.5 point favorite vs Louisiana-Monroe
  • Total (Over/Under): 147.5 points
  • Arkansas State / Louisiana-Monroe TV channel: ESPN+

The Arkansas State Red Wolves (10-9) visit Fant-Ewing Coliseum to take on the Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks on Jan. 28. Tip off is scheduled for 2:00pm EST in Monroe, LA.

Arkansas State is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -5.5 (-110).

The Arkansas State vs. Louisiana-Monroe Over/Under is 147.5 total points.

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Arkansas State vs. Louisiana-Monroe Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Arkansas State-5.5 -110O 147.5 -110-250
Louisiana-Monroe +5.5 -110U 147.5 -110+195

Arkansas State vs Louisiana-Monroe Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Arkansas State will win this college basketball game with 70.8% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Arkansas State vs Louisiana-Monroe Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Louisiana-Monroe will cover the spread with 53.1% confidence for today’s game.


Bet now on Louisiana-Monroe vs Arkansas State and all games with BetMGM


  • Arkansas State have covered the Spread in 19 of their last 31 games (+6.90 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Arkansas State has hit the Game Total Under in 13 of their last 20 away games (+6.40 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Arkansas State has hit the Team Total Under in 13 of their last 20 away games (+4.95 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Arkansas State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 12 of their last 20 away games (+2.85 Units / 12% ROI)
  • UL – Monroe has hit the Team Total Under in 17 of their last 26 games (+6.55 Units / 22% ROI)
  • UL – Monroe has hit the 1H Moneyline in 11 of their last 26 games (+4.75 Units / 16% ROI)
  • UL – Monroe have covered the 1H Spread in 15 of their last 26 games (+3.60 Units / 12% ROI)
  • UL – Monroe has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 14 of their last 26 games (+1.25 Units / 4% ROI)

Arkansas State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Arkansas State has a 11-8 record against the spread this college basketball season (+2.2 Units / 9.95% ROI).

  • 9-10 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.25 Units / -8.68% ROI
  • 9-10 when betting the Over for -2 Units / -9.09% ROI
  • 10-9 when betting the Under for +0.1 Units / 0.45% ROI

Louisiana-Monroe Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Louisiana-Monroe has a 7-9 record against the spread this college basketball season (-2.9 Units / -16.48% ROI).

  • 4-11 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.15 Units / -17.5% ROI
  • 8-8 when betting the Over for -0.8 Units / -4.55% ROI
  • 8-8 when betting the Under for -0.8 Units / -4.55% ROI

Arkansas State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Arkansas State has made 200 three-pointers this season — most among Sunbelt Teams

Arkansas State has averaged 11.6 offensive rebounds per game (231 rebounds/20 games) this season — tied for 36th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 10.0

Arkansas State has an eFG% of 51% this season — 4th best among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 50%

Arkansas State has made 10.0 three-pointers per game this season — tied for 13th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.5

Louisiana-Monroe Offensive Stats & Trends:

Louisiana-Monroe has a TS% of 42% this season — lowest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 46%

Louisiana-Monroe has a TS% of 42% this season — lowest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 46%

Louisiana-Monroe is shooting 41% (1,207/2,941) since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 44%

Louisiana-Monroe has averaged 68.6 points per game (1,234 points/18 games) this season — lowest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 75.2

Arkansas State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Arkansas State has averaged 5.6 steals per game (112 steals/20 games) this season — lowest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 7.2

Arkansas State has averaged 6.3 steals per game (332 steals/53 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 3rd lowest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 7.2

Arkansas State has allowed opponents to shoot 35% from three (330/931) since the start of the 2022-23 season — highest among Sunbelt Teams ; League Avg: 33%

Arkansas State has allowed an average of 1.31 points per shot (1,572 points/1,203 shots) this season — tied for 2nd highest among Sunbelt Teams ; League Avg: 1.23

Louisiana-Monroe Defensive Stats & Trends:

Louisiana-Monroe has allowed opponents to shoot 34% from three (164/479) this season — 4th highest among Sunbelt Teams ; League Avg: 32%

Louisiana-Monroe has allowed 9.1 made three-pointers per game this season — 3rd highest among Sunbelt Teams ; League Avg: 7.2

Louisiana-Monroe has allowed opponents to shoot 42% (434/1,040) this season — 4th best among Sunbelt Teams ; League Avg: 43%

Louisiana-Monroe has allowed opponents to shoot 34% from three (164/479) this season — 4th highest among Sunbelt Teams ; League Avg: 32%


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.