Arkansas State vs Louisiana-Monroe Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Jan. 28

min read
Picture of Scott Drew the Baylor Bears coach doing hand signals. The camera is facing towards him.
(AP Photo)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jan 28, 2024, 10:58 AM
  • Arkansas State (10-9) is a -5.5 point favorite vs Louisiana-Monroe
  • Total (Over/Under): 147.5 points
  • Arkansas State / Louisiana-Monroe TV channel: ESPN+

The Arkansas State Red Wolves (10-9) visit Fant-Ewing Coliseum to take on the Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks on Jan. 28. Tip off is scheduled for 2:00pm EST in Monroe, LA.

Arkansas State is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -5.5 (-110).

The Arkansas State vs. Louisiana-Monroe Over/Under is 147.5 total points.

Bet now on Louisiana-Monroe vs Arkansas State & all college basketball games with BetMGM

Arkansas State vs. Louisiana-Monroe Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Arkansas State-5.5 -110O 147.5 -110-250
Louisiana-Monroe +5.5 -110U 147.5 -110+195

Arkansas State vs Louisiana-Monroe Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Arkansas State will win this college basketball game with 70.8% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Arkansas State vs Louisiana-Monroe Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Louisiana-Monroe will cover the spread with 53.1% confidence for today’s game.


Bet now on Louisiana-Monroe vs Arkansas State and all games with BetMGM


  • Arkansas State have covered the Spread in 19 of their last 31 games (+6.90 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Arkansas State has hit the Game Total Under in 13 of their last 20 away games (+6.40 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Arkansas State has hit the Team Total Under in 13 of their last 20 away games (+4.95 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Arkansas State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 12 of their last 20 away games (+2.85 Units / 12% ROI)
  • UL – Monroe has hit the Team Total Under in 17 of their last 26 games (+6.55 Units / 22% ROI)
  • UL – Monroe has hit the 1H Moneyline in 11 of their last 26 games (+4.75 Units / 16% ROI)
  • UL – Monroe have covered the 1H Spread in 15 of their last 26 games (+3.60 Units / 12% ROI)
  • UL – Monroe has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 14 of their last 26 games (+1.25 Units / 4% ROI)

Arkansas State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Arkansas State has a 11-8 record against the spread this college basketball season (+2.2 Units / 9.95% ROI).

  • 9-10 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.25 Units / -8.68% ROI
  • 9-10 when betting the Over for -2 Units / -9.09% ROI
  • 10-9 when betting the Under for +0.1 Units / 0.45% ROI

Louisiana-Monroe Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Louisiana-Monroe has a 7-9 record against the spread this college basketball season (-2.9 Units / -16.48% ROI).

  • 4-11 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.15 Units / -17.5% ROI
  • 8-8 when betting the Over for -0.8 Units / -4.55% ROI
  • 8-8 when betting the Under for -0.8 Units / -4.55% ROI

Arkansas State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Arkansas State has made 200 three-pointers this season — most among Sunbelt Teams

Arkansas State has averaged 11.6 offensive rebounds per game (231 rebounds/20 games) this season — tied for 36th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 10.0

Arkansas State has an eFG% of 51% this season — 4th best among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 50%

Arkansas State has made 10.0 three-pointers per game this season — tied for 13th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.5

Louisiana-Monroe Offensive Stats & Trends:

Louisiana-Monroe has a TS% of 42% this season — lowest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 46%

Louisiana-Monroe has a TS% of 42% this season — lowest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 46%

Louisiana-Monroe is shooting 41% (1,207/2,941) since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 44%

Louisiana-Monroe has averaged 68.6 points per game (1,234 points/18 games) this season — lowest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 75.2

Arkansas State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Arkansas State has averaged 5.6 steals per game (112 steals/20 games) this season — lowest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 7.2

Arkansas State has averaged 6.3 steals per game (332 steals/53 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 3rd lowest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 7.2

Arkansas State has allowed opponents to shoot 35% from three (330/931) since the start of the 2022-23 season — highest among Sunbelt Teams ; League Avg: 33%

Arkansas State has allowed an average of 1.31 points per shot (1,572 points/1,203 shots) this season — tied for 2nd highest among Sunbelt Teams ; League Avg: 1.23

Louisiana-Monroe Defensive Stats & Trends:

Louisiana-Monroe has allowed opponents to shoot 34% from three (164/479) this season — 4th highest among Sunbelt Teams ; League Avg: 32%

Louisiana-Monroe has allowed 9.1 made three-pointers per game this season — 3rd highest among Sunbelt Teams ; League Avg: 7.2

Louisiana-Monroe has allowed opponents to shoot 42% (434/1,040) this season — 4th best among Sunbelt Teams ; League Avg: 43%

Louisiana-Monroe has allowed opponents to shoot 34% from three (164/479) this season — 4th highest among Sunbelt Teams ; League Avg: 32%


Bet now on Louisiana-Monroe vs Arkansas State and all games with BetMGM


College Basketball Betting at BetMGM

At the best online sportsbook, you can bet on updated college basketball betting odds, including parlays and live sports betting. The best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.

Log in to your account now for updated sportsbook promos in your state. If you donโ€™t have an account, check out BetMGMโ€™s welcome offer.

About the Author

BetMGM Betting

Read More @BETMGM

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.