Arkansas State vs South Alabama Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 17

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 17, 2024, 8:30 AM
  • Arkansas State (15-10) is a -2.5 point favorite vs South Alabama (13-10)
  • Total (Over/Under): 154.5 points
  • Arkansas State / South Alabama TV channel: ESPN+

The Arkansas State Red Wolves (15-10) visit Mitchell Center to take on the South Alabama Jaguars (13-10) on Feb. 17. Tip off is scheduled for 4:00pm EST in Mobile, AL.

Arkansas State is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-105).

The Arkansas State vs. South Alabama Over/Under is 154.5 total points.

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Arkansas State vs. South Alabama Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Arkansas State-2.5 -105O 154.5 -110-135
South Alabama +2.5 -115U 154.5 -110+110

Arkansas State vs South Alabama Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Arkansas State will win this college basketball game with 56.1% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Arkansas State vs South Alabama Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts South Alabama will cover the spread with 60.2% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Arkansas State have covered the Spread in 21 of their last 31 games (+11.10 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Arkansas State has hit the Game Total Under in 12 of their last 19 away games (+5.40 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Arkansas State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 19 of their last 31 games (+5.25 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Arkansas State has hit the Team Total Over in 18 of their last 31 games (+3.30 Units / 9% ROI)
  • Arkansas State has hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 30 games (+0.55 Units / 1% ROI)
  • South Alabama has hit the Team Total Over in 10 of their last 13 games at home (+6.70 Units / 45% ROI)
  • South Alabama have covered the Spread in 18 of their last 30 games (+4.80 Units / 15% ROI)
  • South Alabama have covered the 1H Spread in 9 of their last 13 games at home (+4.30 Units / 28% ROI)
  • South Alabama has hit the 1H Moneyline in 9 of their last 13 games at home (+3.20 Units / 12% ROI)
  • South Alabama has hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 13 games at home (+2.50 Units / 17% ROI)

Arkansas State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Arkansas State has a 16-9 record against the spread this college basketball season (+6.1 Units / 21.22% ROI).

  • 13-12 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.25 Units / -2.52% ROI
  • 12-13 when betting the Over for -2.2 Units / -7.72% ROI
  • 13-12 when betting the Under for -0.2 Units / -0.7% ROI

South Alabama Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

South Alabama has a 13-10 record against the spread this college basketball season (+2 Units / 7.92% ROI).

  • 11-12 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.05 Units / -7.93% ROI
  • 11-12 when betting the Over for -2.1 Units / -8.33% ROI
  • 12-11 when betting the Under for -0.1 Units / -0.39% ROI

Arkansas State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Arkansas State has averaged 11.6 offensive rebounds per game (290 rebounds/25 games) this season — tied for 39th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 9.9

Arkansas State has 21.2 free throw attempts per game this season — 4th best among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 19.5

Arkansas State has made 10.0 three-pointers per game this season — tied for 13th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.5

Arkansas State has a 34% free throw rate (529 free throw attempts/1,546 field goal attempts) this season — 5th highest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 32%

South Alabama Offensive Stats & Trends:

South Alabama has averaged 9.8 turnovers per game (579 turnovers/59 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 11.5

South Alabama has averaged 6.7 offensive rebounds per game (393 rebounds/59 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 9.7

South Alabama has a 26% free throw rate (890 free throw attempts/3,476 field goal attempts) since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 31%

South Alabama has averaged 6.7 offensive rebounds per game (393 rebounds/59 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 7th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 9.6

Arkansas State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Arkansas State has averaged 5.3 steals per game (133 steals/25 games) this season — lowest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 7.3

Arkansas State has averaged 6.1 steals per game (353 steals/58 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 2nd lowest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 7.2

Arkansas State has forced 9.5 turnovers per game (237 turnovers/25 games) this season — lowest among Sunbelt Teams ; League Avg: 11.9

Arkansas State has forced 10.2 turnovers per game (594 turnovers/58 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 13th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 12.3

South Alabama Defensive Stats & Trends:

South Alabama has averaged 23.5 defensive rebounds per game (563 rebounds/24 games) this season — 3rd lowest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 24.8

South Alabama has averaged 6.4 steals per game (380 steals/59 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 4th lowest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 7.2

South Alabama has allowed 5.8 made three-pointers per game since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 10th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.3

South Alabama has forced 11.0 turnovers per game (647 turnovers/59 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 3rd lowest among Sunbelt Teams ; League Avg: 12.2


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.