- Arkansas State (15-10) is a -2.5 point favorite vs South Alabama (13-10)
- Total (Over/Under): 154.5 points
- Arkansas State / South Alabama TV channel: ESPN+
The Arkansas State Red Wolves (15-10) visit Mitchell Center to take on the South Alabama Jaguars (13-10) on Feb. 17. Tip off is scheduled for 4:00pm EST in Mobile, AL.
Arkansas State is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-105).
The Arkansas State vs. South Alabama Over/Under is 154.5 total points.
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Arkansas State vs. South Alabama Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Arkansas State | -2.5 -105 | O 154.5 -110 | -135 |
| South Alabama | +2.5 -115 | U 154.5 -110 | +110 |
Arkansas State vs South Alabama Prediction for Today:
The winning team model predicts Arkansas State will win this college basketball game with 56.1% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.
Arkansas State vs South Alabama Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts South Alabama will cover the spread with 60.2% confidence for today’s game.
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Arkansas State Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Arkansas State have covered the Spread in 21 of their last 31 games (+11.10 Units / 32% ROI)
- Arkansas State has hit the Game Total Under in 12 of their last 19 away games (+5.40 Units / 26% ROI)
- Arkansas State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 19 of their last 31 games (+5.25 Units / 15% ROI)
- Arkansas State has hit the Team Total Over in 18 of their last 31 games (+3.30 Units / 9% ROI)
- Arkansas State has hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 30 games (+0.55 Units / 1% ROI)
South Alabama Basketball Best Bets Today:
- South Alabama has hit the Team Total Over in 10 of their last 13 games at home (+6.70 Units / 45% ROI)
- South Alabama have covered the Spread in 18 of their last 30 games (+4.80 Units / 15% ROI)
- South Alabama have covered the 1H Spread in 9 of their last 13 games at home (+4.30 Units / 28% ROI)
- South Alabama has hit the 1H Moneyline in 9 of their last 13 games at home (+3.20 Units / 12% ROI)
- South Alabama has hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 13 games at home (+2.50 Units / 17% ROI)
Arkansas State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Arkansas State has a 16-9 record against the spread this college basketball season (+6.1 Units / 21.22% ROI).
- 13-12 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.25 Units / -2.52% ROI
- 12-13 when betting the Over for -2.2 Units / -7.72% ROI
- 13-12 when betting the Under for -0.2 Units / -0.7% ROI
South Alabama Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
South Alabama has a 13-10 record against the spread this college basketball season (+2 Units / 7.92% ROI).
- 11-12 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.05 Units / -7.93% ROI
- 11-12 when betting the Over for -2.1 Units / -8.33% ROI
- 12-11 when betting the Under for -0.1 Units / -0.39% ROI
Arkansas State Offensive Stats & Trends:
Arkansas State has averaged 11.6 offensive rebounds per game (290 rebounds/25 games) this season — tied for 39th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 9.9
Arkansas State has 21.2 free throw attempts per game this season — 4th best among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 19.5
Arkansas State has made 10.0 three-pointers per game this season — tied for 13th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.5
Arkansas State has a 34% free throw rate (529 free throw attempts/1,546 field goal attempts) this season — 5th highest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 32%
South Alabama Offensive Stats & Trends:
South Alabama has averaged 9.8 turnovers per game (579 turnovers/59 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 11.5
South Alabama has averaged 6.7 offensive rebounds per game (393 rebounds/59 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 9.7
South Alabama has a 26% free throw rate (890 free throw attempts/3,476 field goal attempts) since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 31%
South Alabama has averaged 6.7 offensive rebounds per game (393 rebounds/59 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 7th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 9.6
Arkansas State Defensive Stats & Trends:
Arkansas State has averaged 5.3 steals per game (133 steals/25 games) this season — lowest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 7.3
Arkansas State has averaged 6.1 steals per game (353 steals/58 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 2nd lowest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 7.2
Arkansas State has forced 9.5 turnovers per game (237 turnovers/25 games) this season — lowest among Sunbelt Teams ; League Avg: 11.9
Arkansas State has forced 10.2 turnovers per game (594 turnovers/58 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 13th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 12.3
South Alabama Defensive Stats & Trends:
South Alabama has averaged 23.5 defensive rebounds per game (563 rebounds/24 games) this season — 3rd lowest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 24.8
South Alabama has averaged 6.4 steals per game (380 steals/59 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 4th lowest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 7.2
South Alabama has allowed 5.8 made three-pointers per game since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 10th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.3
South Alabama has forced 11.0 turnovers per game (647 turnovers/59 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 3rd lowest among Sunbelt Teams ; League Avg: 12.2
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