Arkansas State vs Texas State Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Jan. 20

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Close up of the Texas State coach
(AP Photo)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jan 20, 2024, 11:52 AM
  • Arkansas State (9-8) is a -1.5 point favorite vs Texas State (7-9)
  • Total (Over/Under): 146.5 points
  • Arkansas State / Texas State TV channel: ESPN+

The Arkansas State Red Wolves (9-8) visit Strahan Coliseum to take on the Texas State Bobcats (7-9) on Jan. 20. Tip off is scheduled for 5:15pm EST in San Marcos, TX.

Arkansas State is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -1.5 (-115).

The Arkansas State vs. Texas State Over/Under is 146.5 total points.

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Arkansas State vs. Texas State Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Arkansas State-1.5 -115O 146.5 -110-135
Texas State +1.5 -105U 146.5 -110+110

Arkansas State vs Texas State Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Texas State will win this college basketball game with 51.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Arkansas State vs Texas State Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Texas State will cover the spread with 60.1% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Arkansas State has hit the Game Total Under in 14 of their last 19 away games (+8.50 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Arkansas State have covered the Spread in 19 of their last 31 games (+6.90 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Arkansas State has hit the Team Total Under in 13 of their last 19 away games (+6.05 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Arkansas State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 12 of their last 19 away games (+4.00 Units / 18% ROI)
  • Texas State has hit the Team Total Over in 20 of their last 31 games (+7.45 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Texas State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 19 of their last 31 games (+5.40 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Texas State has hit the Game Total Over in 18 of their last 31 games (+3.70 Units / 11% ROI)

Arkansas State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Arkansas State has a 10-7 record against the spread this college basketball season (+2.3 Units / 11.56% ROI).

  • 8-9 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.25 Units / -9.25% ROI
  • 8-10 when betting the Over for -3 Units / -15.15% ROI
  • 10-8 when betting the Under for +1.2 Units / 6.06% ROI

Texas State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Texas State has a 7-9 record against the spread this college basketball season (-2.9 Units / -16.48% ROI).

  • 5-10 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.6 Units / -29.86% ROI
  • 8-8 when betting the Over for -0.8 Units / -4.55% ROI
  • 8-8 when betting the Under for -0.8 Units / -4.55% ROI

Arkansas State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Arkansas State has an eFG% of 52% this season — 4th best among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 50%

Arkansas State has made 183 three-pointers this season — most among Sunbelt Teams

Arkansas State has averaged 1.27 points per shot (1,408 points/1,110 shots) this season — 3rd best among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 1.22

Arkansas State has averaged 15.3 assists per game (276 assists/18 games) this season — 4th best among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 13.5

Texas State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Texas State has made 4.6 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 7.1

Texas State has made 4.6 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2022-23 season — 3rd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.4

Texas State has an eFG% of 49% this season — tied for 33rd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 51%

Texas State has a TS% of 45% since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 16th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 47%

Arkansas State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Arkansas State has averaged 5.3 steals per game (95 steals/18 games) this season — lowest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 7.3

Arkansas State has averaged 6.2 steals per game (315 steals/51 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 3rd lowest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 7.2

Arkansas State has forced 10.3 turnovers per game (526 turnovers/51 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among Sunbelt Teams ; League Avg: 12.3

Arkansas State has allowed 6.3 made three-pointers per game since the start of the 2022-23 season — 5th best among Sunbelt Teams ; League Avg: 7.0

Texas State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Texas State has averaged 22.2 defensive rebounds per game (1,179 rebounds/53 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 24.1

Texas State has averaged 24.0 defensive rebounds per game (432 rebounds/18 games) this season — tied for 4th lowest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 24.9

Texas State has averaged 6.4 steals per game (116 steals/18 games) this season — tied for 4th lowest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 7.3

Texas State has averaged 22.2 defensive rebounds per game (1,179 rebounds/53 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 23rd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.4


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.