Arkansas vs Texas Tech Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Mar. 27

Texas Tech guard Elijah Hawkins advances the ball against Texas A&M during an NCAA college basketball game in Fort Worth, Texas, Sunday, Dec. 8, 2024. (AP Photo/Tony Gutierrez)
(AP Photo/Tony Gutierrez)
  • Texas Tech is a -5.5 point favorite vs Arkansas
  • Total (Over/Under): 147.5 points
  • Arkansas / Texas Tech TV channel: TBS

The Arkansas Razorbacks visit Chase Center to take on the Texas Tech Red Raiders on Mar. 27. Tip off is scheduled for 10:09pm EDT in San Francisco, CA, USA.

Texas Tech is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -5.5 (-110).

The Arkansas vs. Texas Tech Over/Under is 147.5 total points.

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Arkansas vs. Texas Tech Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Arkansas+5.5 -110O 147.5 -105+195
Texas Tech -5.5 -110U 147.5 -115-235

Arkansas vs Texas Tech Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Texas Tech will win this college basketball game with 75.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Arkansas vs Texas Tech Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Arkansas will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Arkansas has hit the Moneyline in 22 of their last 33 games (+18.80 Units / 3% ROI)
  • Arkansas have covered the Spread in 11 of their last 15 games (+8.80 Units / 53% ROI)
  • Arkansas has hit the Team Total Over in 8 of their last 9 games (+6.85 Units / 67% ROI)
  • Arkansas has hit the 1H Moneyline in 5 of their last 6 games (+6.05 Units / 87% ROI)
  • Arkansas has hit the Game Total Over in 7 of their last 9 games (+4.80 Units / 48% ROI)
  • Texas Tech has hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 23 games (+13.55 Units / 10% ROI)
  • Texas Tech has hit the Team Total Over in 10 of their last 12 games (+7.85 Units / 57% ROI)
  • Texas Tech has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 7 of their last 8 games (+5.85 Units / 64% ROI)
  • Texas Tech has hit the 1H Moneyline in 6 of their last 7 games (+5.05 Units / 18% ROI)
  • Texas Tech has hit the Game Total Over in 6 of their last 7 games (+4.90 Units / 64% ROI)

Arkansas Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Arkansas has a 17-15 record against the spread this college basketball season (+0.6 Units / 1.56% ROI).

  • 23-12 when betting on the Moneyline for +18.8 Units / 2.8% ROI
  • 16-19 when betting the Over for -4.95 Units / -12.86% ROI
  • 19-16 when betting the Under for +1.35 Units / 3.51% ROI

Texas Tech Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Texas Tech has a 18-17 record against the spread this college basketball season (-0.85 Units / -2.2% ROI).

  • 27-8 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.55 Units / 0.91% ROI
  • 20-14 when betting the Over for +4.65 Units / 12.09% ROI
  • 14-20 when betting the Under for -8 Units / -20.75% ROI

Arkansas Offensive Stats & Trends:

Arkansas had 26.3 free throw attempts per game last season — best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 19.6

Arkansas had 26.3 free throw attempts per game last season — 2nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 19.2

Arkansas averaged 46% free throw attempts for every field goal attempt (815 free throw attempts/1,789 field goal attempts) last season — highest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 33%

Arkansas averaged 46% free throw attempts for every field goal attempt (815 free throw attempts/1,789 field goal attempts) last season — highest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 36%

Texas Tech Offensive Stats & Trends:

Texas Tech attempted 43 threes on right corner attempts last season in conference play — most among Big 12 Teams

Texas Tech shot 81% from the free throw line (311/385) in the second half last season — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 72%

Texas Tech made 0.3 three-pointers per game in transition last season in conference play — lowest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 1.0

Texas Tech attempted 43 shots on right corner attempts last season in conference play — most among Big 12 Teams

Arkansas Defensive Stats & Trends:

Arkansas averaged 5.9 steals per game (184 steals/31 games) last season — 2nd lowest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 6.9

Arkansas has averaged 26.3 defensive rebounds per game (1,736 rebounds/66 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 30th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.3

Arkansas has averaged 26.5 defensive rebounds per game (928 rebounds/35 games) this season — tied for 33rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.2

Arkansas has averaged 6.5 steals per game (253 steals/39 games) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd lowest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 7.6

Texas Tech Defensive Stats & Trends:

Texas Tech allowed opponents to shoot 34% on catch and shoot opportunities (15/44) in transition last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 48%

Texas Tech allowed 25.4 points per game (457 points/18 games) in possessions with two to five passes last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 28.4

Texas Tech allowed 29.1 points per game (523 points/18 games) in possessions with a paint touch last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 36.2

Texas Tech allowed 6.7 points per game (121 points/18 games) in transition last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 9.4


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