Auburn vs Mississippi State Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Jan. 27

min read
(AP Photo)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jan 27, 2024, 12:39 PM
  • Auburn (12-7) is a -2.5 point favorite vs Mississippi State (9-9)
  • Total (Over/Under): 145.5 points
  • Auburn / Mississippi State TV channel: SECN

The Auburn Tigers (12-7) visit Humphrey Coliseum to take on the Mississippi State Bulldogs (9-9) on Jan. 27. Tip off is scheduled for 3:30pm EST in Starkville, MS.

Auburn is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-115).

The Auburn vs. Mississippi State Over/Under is 145.5 total points.

Bet now on Mississippi State vs Auburn & all college basketball games with BetMGM

Auburn vs. Mississippi State Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Auburn-2.5 -115O 145.5 -110-150
Mississippi State +2.5 -105U 145.5 -110+125

Auburn vs Mississippi State Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Auburn will win this college basketball game with 57.7% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Auburn vs Mississippi State Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Mississippi State will cover the spread with 59.7% confidence for today’s game.


Bet now on Mississippi State vs Auburn and all games with BetMGM


  • Auburn has hit the 1H Moneyline in 22 of their last 32 games (+13.00 Units / 7% ROI)
  • Auburn have covered the 1H Spread in 21 of their last 33 games (+10.60 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Auburn has hit the Team Total Over in 21 of their last 33 games (+7.15 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Auburn have covered the Spread in 19 of their last 33 games (+4.70 Units / 13% ROI)
  • Auburn has hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 16 away games (+1.30 Units / 7% ROI)
  • Mississippi State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 17 of their last 22 games at home (+11.55 Units / 6% ROI)
  • Mississippi State has hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 18 games at home (+11.05 Units / 12% ROI)
  • Mississippi State has hit the Team Total Over in 14 of their last 22 games at home (+4.60 Units / 18% ROI)
  • Mississippi State have covered the Spread in 13 of their last 22 games at home (+4.20 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Mississippi State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 13 of their last 22 games at home (+2.85 Units / 11% ROI)

Auburn Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Auburn has a 12-7 record against the spread this college basketball season (+4.3 Units / 20.53% ROI).

  • 11-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.3 Units / 6.29% ROI
  • 7-12 when betting the Over for -6.2 Units / -29.67% ROI
  • 12-7 when betting the Under for +4.3 Units / 20.57% ROI

Mississippi State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Mississippi State has a 9-9 record against the spread this college basketball season (-0.95 Units / -4.53% ROI).

  • 10-5 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.2 Units / 1.66% ROI
  • 9-10 when betting the Over for -2 Units / -9.55% ROI
  • 10-9 when betting the Under for +0.15 Units / 0.72% ROI

Auburn Offensive Stats & Trends:

Auburn has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.7 (343 assists/ 198 TOs) this season — tied for 9th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.1

Auburn is shooting 47% (549/1,168) this season — tied for 37th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 45%

Auburn has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.3 (350 assists/ 272 TOs) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 1.0

Auburn has averaged 1.35 points per shot (2,284 points/1,698 shots) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — 3rd best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 1.29

Mississippi State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Mississippi State is shooting 28% from three (320/1,121) since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 34%

Mississippi State is shooting 65% from the free throw line (238/367) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 71%

Mississippi State is shooting 28% from three (320/1,121) since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Mississippi State is shooting 63% from the free throw line (256/404) in the first half since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 71%

Auburn Defensive Stats & Trends:

Auburn has averaged 7.8 steals per game (413 steals/53 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 37th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.6

Auburn has allowed opponents to shoot 29% from three (212/742) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Power Conference defenses; League Avg: 34%

Auburn has averaged 7.8 steals per game (413 steals/53 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 4th best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 7.2

Auburn has 413 steals since the start of the 2022-23 season — 4th most among SEC Teams

Mississippi State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Mississippi State has allowed 62.9 points per game (3,334 points/53 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 69.2

Mississippi State has allowed opponents to shoot 28% from three (120/431) this season — best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 32%

Mississippi State has allowed 60.3 points per game (1,930 points/32 games) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 66.8

Mississippi State has averaged 8.4 steals per game (160 steals/19 games) this season — tied for 3rd best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 7.4


Bet now on Mississippi State vs Auburn and all games with BetMGM


College Basketball Betting at BetMGM

At the best online sportsbook, you can bet on updated college basketball betting odds, including parlays and live sports betting. The best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.

Log in to your account now for updated sportsbook promos in your state. If you don’t have an account, check out BetMGM’s welcome offer.

About the Author

BetMGM Betting

Read More @BETMGM

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.