Auburn vs Missouri Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Mar. 5

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 05, 2024, 11:51 AM
  • Auburn (18-11) is a -11.5 point favorite vs Missouri (8-21)
  • Total (Over/Under): 149.5 points
  • Auburn / Missouri TV channel: SECN

The Auburn Tigers (18-11) visit Mizzou Arena to take on the Missouri Tigers (8-21) on Mar. 5. Tip off is scheduled for 9:00pm EST in Columbia, MO.

Auburn is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -11.5 (-110).

The Auburn vs. Missouri Over/Under is 149.5 total points.

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Auburn vs. Missouri Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Auburn-11.5 -110O 149.5 -115-800
Missouri +11.5 -110U 149.5 -105+550

Auburn vs Missouri Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Auburn will win this college basketball game with 87.7% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Auburn vs Missouri Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Auburn will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Auburn has hit the 1H Moneyline in 23 of their last 31 games (+12.85 Units / 6% ROI)
  • Auburn have covered the 1H Spread in 20 of their last 32 games (+8.45 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Auburn has hit the Team Total Over in 11 of their last 15 away games (+6.30 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Auburn have covered the Spread in 19 of their last 32 games (+5.80 Units / 16% ROI)
  • Auburn has hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 27 games (+2.30 Units / 2% ROI)
  • Missouri has hit the Team Total Under in 20 of their last 33 games (+5.20 Units / 14% ROI)
  • Missouri has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 12 of their last 20 games at home (+2.75 Units / 12% ROI)
  • Missouri has hit the Game Total Under in 11 of their last 20 games at home (+1.10 Units / 5% ROI)

Auburn Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Auburn has a 18-11 record against the spread this college basketball season (+5.9 Units / 18.47% ROI).

  • 17-7 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.3 Units / 2.55% ROI
  • 12-17 when betting the Over for -6.7 Units / -20.97% ROI
  • 17-12 when betting the Under for +3.85 Units / 12.09% ROI

Missouri Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Missouri has a 8-20 record against the spread this college basketball season (-13.95 Units / -43.8% ROI).

  • 5-20 when betting on the Moneyline for -17.8 Units / -25.37% ROI
  • 15-14 when betting the Over for -0.4 Units / -1.25% ROI
  • 14-15 when betting the Under for -2.5 Units / -7.84% ROI

Auburn Offensive Stats & Trends:

Auburn has averaged 18.0 assists per game (413 assists/23 games) this season — tied for 6th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 13.5

Auburn has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.7 (413 assists/ 242 TOs) this season — tied for 8th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.1

Auburn has averaged 83.4 points per game (1,918 points/23 games) this season — 14th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 74.0

Auburn has 384 assists on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — most among SEC Teams

Missouri Offensive Stats & Trends:

Missouri has 16.3 free throw attempts per game this season — tied for 29th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 19.3

Missouri has a 28% free throw rate (374 free throw attempts/1,351 field goal attempts) this season — lowest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 36%

Missouri has a 30% free throw rate (677 free throw attempts/2,279 field goal attempts) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd lowest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 36%

Missouri is shooting 77% from the free throw line (523/677) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 72%

Auburn Defensive Stats & Trends:

Auburn has allowed opponents to shoot 38% (510/1,348) this season — best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 44%

Auburn has allowed opponents to shoot 38% (510/1,348) this season — best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 42%

Auburn has averaged 27.5 defensive rebounds per game (633 rebounds/23 games) this season — tied for 18th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.7

Auburn has allowed opponents to shoot 37% (329/890) this season — best among Power Conference defenses; League Avg: 45%

Missouri Defensive Stats & Trends:

Missouri has averaged 22.4 defensive rebounds per game (515 rebounds/23 games) this season — tied for lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 26.1

Missouri has allowed an average of 1.26 points per shot (2,080 points/1,653 shots) in the first half since the start of the 2022-23 season — highest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 1.11

Missouri has averaged 9.3 steals per game (540 steals/58 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 5th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.6

Missouri has averaged 21.8 defensive rebounds per game (1,267 rebounds/58 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 25.6


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.