Auburn vs Tennessee Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 28

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 28, 2024, 11:57 AM
  • Tennessee (13-13) is a -6.5 point favorite vs Auburn (17-10)
  • Total (Over/Under): 152.5 points
  • Auburn / Tennessee TV channel: ESPN2

The Auburn Tigers (17-10) visit Thompson-Boling Arena to take on the Tennessee Volunteers (13-13) on Feb. 28. Tip off is scheduled for 7:00pm EST in Knoxville, TN.

Tennessee is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -6.5 (-110).

The Auburn vs. Tennessee Over/Under is 152.5 total points.

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Auburn vs. Tennessee Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Auburn+6.5 -110O 152.5 -110+225
Tennessee -6.5 -110U 152.5 -110-275

Auburn vs Tennessee Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Tennessee will win this college basketball game with 70.8% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Auburn vs Tennessee Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Auburn will cover the spread with 54.1% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Auburn has hit the 1H Moneyline in 23 of their last 31 games (+14.00 Units / 7% ROI)
  • Auburn have covered the Spread in 20 of their last 32 games (+7.90 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Auburn have covered the 1H Spread in 20 of their last 32 games (+7.25 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Auburn has hit the Team Total Over in 11 of their last 15 away games (+6.30 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Auburn has hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 27 games (+2.30 Units / 2% ROI)
  • Tennessee has hit the 1H Moneyline in 17 of their last 19 games at home (+10.05 Units / 5% ROI)
  • Tennessee have covered the 1H Spread in 15 of their last 20 games at home (+9.20 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Tennessee has hit the Game Total Under in 13 of their last 20 games at home (+5.35 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Tennessee have covered the Spread in 12 of their last 20 games at home (+4.30 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Tennessee has hit the Team Total Over in 19 of their last 34 games (+1.70 Units / 4% ROI)

Auburn Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Auburn has a 17-10 record against the spread this college basketball season (+6 Units / 20.17% ROI).

  • 16-6 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.3 Units / 2.69% ROI
  • 11-16 when betting the Over for -6.6 Units / -22.18% ROI
  • 16-11 when betting the Under for +3.95 Units / 13.32% ROI

Tennessee Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Tennessee has a 13-13 record against the spread this college basketball season (-1.25 Units / -4.22% ROI).

  • 16-6 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.2 Units / 0.15% ROI
  • 15-12 when betting the Over for +1.8 Units / 6.05% ROI
  • 12-15 when betting the Under for -4.45 Units / -15.01% ROI

Auburn Offensive Stats & Trends:

Auburn has averaged 18.0 assists per game (413 assists/23 games) this season — tied for 6th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 13.5

Auburn has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.7 (413 assists/ 242 TOs) this season — tied for 8th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.1

Auburn has averaged 83.4 points per game (1,918 points/23 games) this season — 14th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 74.0

Auburn has 384 assists on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — most among SEC Teams

Tennessee Offensive Stats & Trends:

Tennessee has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.7 (664 assists/ 398 TOs) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 1.2

Tennessee has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.7 (366 assists/ 219 TOs) this season — tied for 8th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.1

Tennessee has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.5 (967 assists/ 650 TOs) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 6th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.1

Tennessee has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.6 (462 assists/ 292 TOs) in the second half since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 1.2

Auburn Defensive Stats & Trends:

Auburn has allowed opponents to shoot 38% (510/1,348) this season — best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 44%

Auburn has allowed opponents to shoot 38% (510/1,348) this season — best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 42%

Auburn has averaged 27.5 defensive rebounds per game (633 rebounds/23 games) this season — tied for 18th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.7

Auburn has allowed opponents to shoot 37% (329/890) this season — best among Power Conference defenses; League Avg: 45%

Tennessee Defensive Stats & Trends:

Tennessee has allowed 57.6 points per game (2,073 points/36 games) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 67.3

Tennessee has allowed opponents to shoot 28% from three (357/1,273) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Tennessee has allowed opponents to shoot 38% (1,180/3,126) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 42%

Tennessee has allowed opponents to shoot 35% (707/1,990) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 41%


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.