Ball State vs Central Michigan Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 27

Central Michigan head coach Tony Barbee directs his team during the first half of an NCAA college basketball game against Kentucky in Lexington, Ky., Monday, Nov. 29, 2021.
(AP Photo/James Crisp)
  • Central Michigan (14-12) is a -2.5 point favorite vs Ball State (14-11)
  • Total (Over/Under): 135.5 points
  • Ball State / Central Michigan TV channel: ESPN+

The Ball State Cardinals (14-11) visit McGuirk Arena to take on the Central Michigan Chippewas (14-12) on Feb. 27. Tip off is scheduled for 7:00pm EST in Mt. Pleasant, MI.

Central Michigan is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-115).

The Ball State vs. Central Michigan Over/Under is 135.5 total points.

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Ball State vs. Central Michigan Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Ball State+2.5 -105O 135.5 -110+125
Central Michigan -2.5 -115U 135.5 -110-150

Ball State vs Central Michigan Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Central Michigan will win this college basketball game with 63.1% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Ball State vs Central Michigan Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Ball State will cover the spread with 58.0% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Ball State has hit the Team Total Over in 18 of their last 28 games (+6.60 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Ball State has hit the Game Total Under in 8 of their last 13 away games (+3.60 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Ball State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 7 of their last 13 away games (+1.35 Units / 9% ROI)
  • Ball State have covered the Spread in 15 of their last 28 games (+0.75 Units / 2% ROI)
  • Central Michigan has hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 24 games (+22.05 Units / 69% ROI)
  • Central Michigan has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 19 of their last 28 games (+8.60 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Central Michigan has hit the Game Total Under in 8 of their last 12 games at home (+4.70 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Central Michigan have covered the Spread in 8 of their last 12 games at home (+3.60 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Central Michigan has hit the 1H Moneyline in 12 of their last 28 games (+2.60 Units / 8% ROI)

Ball State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Ball State has a 14-11 record against the spread this college basketball season (+1.9 Units / 6.91% ROI).

  • 11-13 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.1 Units / -23.61% ROI
  • 11-13 when betting the Over for -3.35 Units / -12.16% ROI
  • 13-11 when betting the Under for +0.9 Units / 3.28% ROI

Central Michigan Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Central Michigan has a 14-12 record against the spread this college basketball season (+0.8 Units / 2.79% ROI).

  • 15-7 when betting on the Moneyline for +24.05 Units / 80.84% ROI
  • 9-16 when betting the Over for -8.55 Units / -30% ROI
  • 16-9 when betting the Under for +6.1 Units / 21.25% ROI

Ball State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Ball State has 22.9 free throw attempts per game since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 19.3

Ball State has a 41% free throw rate (1,259 free throw attempts/3,064 field goal attempts) since the start of the 2022-23 season — highest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 33%

Ball State has averaged 1.35 points per shot (1,734 points/1,280 shots) this season — best among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 1.26

Ball State has made 7.7 three-pointers per game this season — 5th best among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 7.3

Central Michigan Offensive Stats & Trends:

Central Michigan has averaged 66.2 points per game (3,640 points/55 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 74.5

Central Michigan has a TS% of 44% since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 48%

Central Michigan is shooting 42% (1,297/3,074) since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 45%

Central Michigan has averaged 66.8 points per game (1,602 points/24 games) this season — lowest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 73.8

Ball State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Ball State has averaged 5.6 steals per game (128 steals/23 games) this season — tied for 2nd lowest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 6.2

Ball State has allowed an average of 1.23 points per shot (3,925 points/3,196 shots) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 2nd best among Mid-American Teams ; League Avg: 1.26

Ball State has averaged 24.0 defensive rebounds per game (551 rebounds/23 games) this season — tied for 4th best among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 23.6

Ball State has averaged 5.5 steals per game (304 steals/55 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd lowest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 6.3

Central Michigan Defensive Stats & Trends:

Central Michigan has averaged 6.0 steals per game (328 steals/55 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 4th lowest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 6.3

Central Michigan has averaged 23.3 defensive rebounds per game (1,279 rebounds/55 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 4th lowest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 23.6

Central Michigan has 147 steals this season — 5th most among Mid-American Teams

Central Michigan has allowed opponents to shoot 42% from three (43/103) this season — 4th highest among Power Conference defenses; League Avg: 35%


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About the Author

Shane Jackson

Read More @Sjacksonmgm

Shane Jackson is a Web Content Writer for BetMGM, covering MLB and NBA. After graduating from the University of Kansas, his previous stops include MLB.com, Lawrence Journal-World, Manhattan Mercury, Bet Chicago Sports, WynnBET, and Sportsbook Review.

Shane Jackson is a Web Content Writer for BetMGM, covering MLB and NBA. After graduating from the University of Kansas, his previous stops include MLB.com, Lawrence Journal-World, Manhattan Mercury, Bet Chicago Sports, WynnBET, and Sportsbook Review.