Ball State vs Texas State Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 10

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Close up of the Texas State coach
(AP Photo)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 10, 2024, 11:34 AM
  • Texas State (10-12) is a -2.5 point favorite vs Ball State (13-8)
  • Total (Over/Under): 136.5 points
  • Ball State / Texas State TV channel: ESPN+

The Ball State Cardinals (13-8) visit Strahan Coliseum to take on the Texas State Bobcats (10-12) on Feb. 10. Tip off is scheduled for 5:00pm EST in San Marcos, TX.

Texas State is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-110).

The Ball State vs. Texas State Over/Under is 136.5 total points.

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Ball State vs. Texas State Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Ball State+2.5 -110O 136.5 -115+120
Texas State -2.5 -110U 136.5 -105-145

Ball State vs Texas State Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Texas State will win this college basketball game with 57.6% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Ball State vs Texas State Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Ball State will cover the spread with 59.2% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Ball State has hit the Team Total Over in 21 of their last 29 games (+11.75 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Ball State has hit the Game Total Over in 17 of their last 29 games (+5.90 Units / 18% ROI)
  • Ball State have covered the Spread in 16 of their last 29 games (+1.75 Units / 5% ROI)
  • Ball State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 6 of their last 12 away games (+0.30 Units / 2% ROI)
  • Texas State has hit the Team Total Over in 18 of their last 31 games (+3.20 Units / 9% ROI)
  • Texas State has hit the Game Total Over in 7 of their last 13 games at home (+0.40 Units / 3% ROI)
  • Texas State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 7 of their last 13 games at home (+0.30 Units / 2% ROI)

Ball State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Ball State has a 13-8 record against the spread this college basketball season (+4.2 Units / 18.18% ROI).

  • 10-10 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.6 Units / -8.67% ROI
  • 11-9 when betting the Over for +1 Units / 4.31% ROI
  • 9-11 when betting the Under for -3.1 Units / -13.48% ROI

Texas State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Texas State has a 10-12 record against the spread this college basketball season (-3.2 Units / -13.22% ROI).

  • 8-13 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.55 Units / -15.69% ROI
  • 10-12 when betting the Over for -3.2 Units / -13.22% ROI
  • 12-10 when betting the Under for +1 Units / 4.13% ROI

Ball State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Ball State has a 41% free throw rate (1,259 free throw attempts/3,064 field goal attempts) since the start of the 2022-23 season — highest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 33%

Ball State has 21.7 free throw attempts per game this season — tied for 3rd best among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 19.5

Ball State has 22.9 free throw attempts per game since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 19.4

Ball State has an eFG% of 53% this season — 5th best among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 51%

Texas State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Texas State has made 4.5 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 7.1

Texas State has made 4.5 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2022-23 season — 3rd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.4

Texas State has made 4.6 three-pointers per game this season — lowest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 7.5

Texas State has averaged 68.3 points per game (1,640 points/24 games) this season — lowest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 75.1

Ball State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Ball State has averaged 5.6 steals per game (128 steals/23 games) this season — tied for 2nd lowest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 6.2

Ball State has averaged 5.5 steals per game (304 steals/55 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd lowest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 6.3

Ball State has averaged 24.1 defensive rebounds per game (1,326 rebounds/55 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 5th best among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 23.6

Ball State has forced 11.4 turnovers per game (625 turnovers/55 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 2nd lowest among Mid-American Teams ; League Avg: 12.1

Texas State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Texas State has averaged 22.4 defensive rebounds per game (1,321 rebounds/59 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 24th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.3

Texas State has averaged 22.4 defensive rebounds per game (1,321 rebounds/59 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 24.2

Texas State has averaged 23.9 defensive rebounds per game (574 rebounds/24 games) this season — 4th lowest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 24.8

Texas State has allowed 6.0 made three-pointers per game this season — 4th best among Sunbelt Teams ; League Avg: 7.2


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.